Posts by Aaron Task
- Aaron Task at Yahoo Finance9 hrs ago
If the definition of insanity is "doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result," then clearly Albert Einstein is not responsible for America's housing policies.
- Aaron Task at Yahoo Finance2 days ago
In his 2013 book The Age of Oversupply, Westwood Capital's Dan Alpert argued the global economy is suffering an oversupply of labor, capital and productive capacity relative to demand. He called it a "reverse supply shock." The book featured a number of solutions to the issue -- namely more government spending on infrastructure. But the problem Alpert identified -- the specter of deflation -- has raised its ugly head and given financial markets a jolt this month.
"The problem is that when you have this global deflationary pressure that is bearing down on the advanced nations that’s even affecting the emerging nations, that’s a big problem," Alpert says. "And the big problem is that eventually prices are going to start to fall. Prices for goods and services."
Related: Why deflation is so scary
- Aaron Task at Yahoo Finance15 days ago
In late August, The New York Times ran a provocative op-ed by Jared Bernstein entitled "Dethrone King Dollar."
Yes, here was a former White House economist -- Vice President Joe Biden's chief economist, no less -- arguing that the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency is a "privilege...America can no longer afford."
- Aaron Task at Yahoo Finance29 days ago
U.S. Treasuries continue to benefit from the combination of rising geopolitical tension and fears of slowing global growth. At 2.54%, the yield on the 10-year Treasury hit their lowest level since Sept. 11 on Tuesday morning.
Nevertheless, the conventional wisdom on Wall Street is bond yields are set to rise as the Federal Reserve winds down its quantitative easing program next month and (presumably) starts to actually tighten policy next year. Goldman Sachs Asset Management predicts yields on the 10-year will rise to as high as 4% in the next 12 months, Bloomberg reports.
Of course, predictions of rising Treasury yields have been a mainstay of Wall Street forecasts in recent years and -- save for the "taper tantrum" last spring -- have proven greatly exaggerated. In short, the continued strength in U.S. Treasury prices (which move in opposition to yields) has been one of the most surprising developments in financial markets in recent years -- certainly in 2014.
More than 300,000 people marched through Manhattan Sunday, in an effort to bring attention to climate change, with companion efforts in 150 other countries. On Monday, a small subset of Sunday's participants marched on Wall Street to protest the financing of greenhouse gas-emitting industries.
The marches come ahead of a United Nations summit on climate change Tuesday, where President Obama is scheduled to speak. In addition, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon is hosting a meeting to discuss climate change with executives from companies such as Air France-KLM, Siemens, Royal Dutch Shell and McDonald’s, as well as former U.S. Vice President Al Gore, Bloomberg reports.
Ahead of the President's address, White House budget director Shaun Donovan on Friday said: "Climate denial will cost us billions of dollars."
As if the anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks weren't enough,President Obama's address Wednesday evening was a stark reminder that the world is a dangerous place. The President's plan to "degrade and ultimately destroy" the extremist group Islamic State -- also known as ISIS and ISIL -- was notable because it called for expanding American airstrikes into Syria and will involve a coalition of regional and European allies, but not U.S. ground troops.
"I have made it clear that we will hunt down terrorists who threaten our country, wherever they are," the President said. "That means I will not hesitate to take action against ISIL in Syria, as well as Iraq. This is a core principle of my presidency: if you threaten America, you will find no safe haven."
Netflix, Reddit, Upworthy and hundreds of other websites are placing those annoying spinning-wheel icons on their home pages today -- you know, the ones you get when the Web is loading. But don't call your broadband provider or cable company. These sites are joining a online effort called Internet Slowdown Day designed to protest the FCC's plan to allow content provides to pay for faster lanes on the Internet.
Supporters of so-called net neutrality believe all data is created equal and should be uniformly accessible to users who have already paid for Internet access. "At Yahoo, we firmly believe that a free and open Internet is critical to ensure our users have unfettered access to content and tools that enhance their lives," reads a statement from Yahoo! Inc., our corporate parent and my employer.
Organizers of Internet Slowdown Day say the FCC's proposal will give unfair advantage to entrenched players and stifle innovative startups who presumably can't afford to pay for faster lanes. They also claim it will give cable companies too much control over the Web.
In the aftermath of the financial crisis, a heated debate emerged over how to regulate America's biggest banks. Four years after Dodd-Frank legislation passed Congress, it appears the banks' lobbying efforts have failed to stem a tide of oversight that's even tougher than global standards.
On Tuesday, Daniel Tarullo, the Fed governor who oversees regulatory policies is expected to announce new capital requirements for what the central bank calls global systemically important banks (GSIBs) that exceed the international standards set by the Basel accords. Specifically, the Fed will require America's biggest banks to hold as much as 2.5 percentage points more capital than the 8% to 9.5% of assets required by Basel III, effective in 2018.
Notably, this is in addition to the new liquidity requirements the Fed imposed last week and totally separate from the parade of fines and settlements the industry has reached with the DOJ and various state attorneys general. But they're all variations on a theme: An effort to ensure the American taxpayer (and the Federal Reserve) will never again be compelled to bail out the banks.