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    • There's been a change at the top of Proctor and Gamble (PG). Sort of. This morning the company announced the immediate departure of CEO Bob McDonald. McDonald has been under pressure from activist investor Bill Ackman making the "retirement" somewhat predictable. The wrinkle is that McDonald will be replaced by his predecessor AG Lafley who returns from retirement four years after leaving the company.

      PG's move is the second time in as many months that a floundering corporation has gone back to the future by bringing back a departed CEO. Last month JC Penney (JCP) did much the same thing when it brought back Myron "Mike" Ullman just 17 months after firing him in favor of Ron Johnson.

      The week also saw JP Morgan (JPM) CEO and Chairman Jamie Dimon win a shareholder vote of approval allowing him to keep both titles. Taken as a whole it's hard not to see P&G's move in the context of a larger bifurcation of corporate America. On one side are younger, more innovative companies seeking change through youth movements. On the other are more traditional retreats back to more comfortable world where elderly white males exert dictatorial power and radical change is frowned upon if not rejected out of hand.

      Call it the rise of the Zombie CEO's.

      As my Breakout co-Host Matt Nesto points out, McDonald had hardly been an unmitigated failure at P&G. The stock has seen strong gains over the last 52-weeks and is up nearly 20% year-to-date. "It's not like it's been lagging, they just did a big acquisition things are moving, they've acknowledged some mistakes in their growth areas; it's a big company."

      All three moves are a function of risk aversion. In prosperous times there's an unwillingness to make radical changes even when a situation calls for change. Lafley, Dimon, and Ullman are all more than capable but decidedly old school. Three years ago tradition was crumbling all around the world and upheaval was welcome and needed.

      Read More »from P&G Brings Back Lafley: The Rise of the Zombie CEOs
    • To the vast majority of the movie going world The Great Gatsby is a fantasized glimpse of a bygone era seen through the lens of a star-struck protagonist. The opulence is overwhelming and serves only as a metaphor of nation's corrupt dreams.

      To hedge fund managers operating in a bull market the movie just looks like summer in the Hamptons. Nick Colas of ConvergEx Group says the steep price hedgies are willing to pay for the right to gaze wistfully at the green light is flashing a red light for investors.

      Colas says the cost of renting a house in the Hamptons is an indicator, not just of how well New York is doing financially, but also how the big money ballers are going to spend their summer. Spoiler alert! It's going to be lonely in the canyons of Wall Street.

      "Let's face it, a lot of hedge fund managers are the guys who rent these houses," Colas explains. "If they're spending...$600,000 or more to rent them, where are they going to be this summer? At their desks churning the market or out in the Hamptons trying to relax a little bit?"

      Hedge funds famously underperform the broader market but this year a 10% gain has almost been a lay-up. If you're running a billion dollars and still getting away with taking 20% of the upside that's $20 million of income, a pretty good year by most measures.

      Read More »from Hedgies Hit the Hamptons! Time to Take Profits
    • The problem with having a "buy the dip" strategy is that sell-offs are the scariest time to put money into stocks. People sitting on the sidelines have spent nearly 6 months telling themselves they were going to get long as soon as they got a meaningful pullback. Now that the most serious drop of 2013 is upon us the question is whether or not it's a good idea to be getting long when China is contracting, the Fed might taper, and stocks are still arguably way overbought.

      Todd Schoenberger, managing partner at LandColt Capital, mocks the idea of taking profits and hitting the beach. "No Way! Are you kidding me?" he shouts in the attached clip. "If the markets go down 2 to 5% it's a great entry point for your viewers to get back into the market. Dow 16,000 by the end of the year."

      The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) topped just over 15,530 on Wednesday morning. For those not carrying a slide rule at the moment, a 5% correction would put the Dow at 14,750, give or take. From there a recovery to 16,000 would be a gain of 8%. That's just the arithmetic, not a trading thesis.

      Schoenberger's idea on the sectors that will do well into a pullback and during a subsequent recovery are oil and gas, travel and leisure, and almost anything multinational. As he sees it the DC ineptitude and geopolitical risk are priced into the tape.

      Read More »from Buy the Dip, We’re Going to Dow 16,000! Says Schoenberger
    • It didn't take much to bring beleaguered gold traders back from the brink. Jitters in Japan and fear over the Fed have stoked a reversal in gold that follows a seven month, 25% slump.

      While the most widely traded metal is still only about $25 away from the two and a half year low it hit in April, Paul Schatz, president of Heritage Capital, thinks there's currently a lot more upside than downside in gold.

      "This is probably only half or three-quarters of the way done," Schatz says in the attached video of the long-term rally in gold. In fact, in a recent note to clients he wrote, "I do not believe there is enough evidence at this time to conclude that the secular bull market in gold has ended."

      What that means, Schatz predicts, is that "if you give gold 3-5% on the downside, I think your upside is probably 15%," which would push gold north of $1500 again. Not only does he think it is "way too early" to give up on gold given what's happening in Japan and Europe, Schatz thinks most investors have it wrong.

      "I'm a very big believer in the masses being embarrassingly wrong at major turning points," Schatz writes to clients, adding that the skepticism about the metal's future has gotten ahead of itself.

      Read More »from Gold Skeptics Have Peaked but Gold Prices Haven’t: Paul Schatz

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