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    • It didn't take much to bring beleaguered gold traders back from the brink. Jitters in Japan and fear over the Fed have stoked a reversal in gold that follows a seven month, 25% slump.

      While the most widely traded metal is still only about $25 away from the two and a half year low it hit in April, Paul Schatz, president of Heritage Capital, thinks there's currently a lot more upside than downside in gold.

      "This is probably only half or three-quarters of the way done," Schatz says in the attached video of the long-term rally in gold. In fact, in a recent note to clients he wrote, "I do not believe there is enough evidence at this time to conclude that the secular bull market in gold has ended."

      What that means, Schatz predicts, is that "if you give gold 3-5% on the downside, I think your upside is probably 15%," which would push gold north of $1500 again. Not only does he think it is "way too early" to give up on gold given what's happening in Japan and Europe, Schatz thinks most investors have it wrong.

      "I'm a very big believer in the masses being embarrassingly wrong at major turning points," Schatz writes to clients, adding that the skepticism about the metal's future has gotten ahead of itself.

      Read More »from Gold Skeptics Have Peaked but Gold Prices Haven’t: Paul Schatz
    • After rising 80% in the past seven months, Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 (^N225) stock index finally blinked. A staggering 7% single-day decline rocked Tokyo's market in ways not seen since the Earthquake-Tsunami disaster of 2011.

      While the cause of the sell-off is being laid at the feet of weaker than expected Chinese manufacturing data and worries about the Fed curtailing its five year bond buying spree, Paul Schatz, president of Heritage Capital sees it a little differently.

      "It's an elevator shaft decline," Schatz says in the attached video. "You can attribute any kind of news you want to it, but the fact of the matter is, this was a balloon so blown up with air, the slightest little prick was going to take an awful lot of air out really quickly."

      So now the question is, will it continue in Japan? And will it spread to the U.S. and rest of the world?

      From Schatz's stand point, what happens today and tomorrow is not as important as what happens in the next few weeks. While he predicts weakness here and "reverberations around the world" he thinks this will make for a great buying opportunity, albeit one that many people will miss out on.

      "All the people sitting on the sidelines have been salivating for any chance to get in," Schatz says, adding, now that it's here, they won't. "I'll argue those people are not going to buy, that markets are going to stabilize" and then resume their uptrend.

      Read More »from Japan Fuels Global Market Sell-Off
    • Earlier this week, Apple (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook went to Washington DC to discuss the company's use of tax loopholes. It seemed like an outstanding opportunity for political leaders to discuss tax reform with the head of the most well-capitalized company in the world. Instead most of the Senators chose to attack Cook for, in the words of Sen. John McCain, violating the spirit of corporate tax laws.

      Naturally Cook made the Senators look out-of-touch with reality. Americans have a natural distrust of the rich but the entire country was founded as a mass protest against "taxation without representation." Despising taxes is part of our national DNA. The only conceivable way Tim Cook and Apple could appear sympathetic is being attacked by Senate for not maximizing their tax bill.

      By the end of the ordeal the Senators were falling all over themselves praising Cook, Apple and iPhones. Ironically it was Apple's worst moment. Having a 78-year-old man swooning over your newest product isn't the kind of PR Apple needs. Making matters worse, Cook's command of arcane international tax code showed him at his very best and worst. He came across as an incredibly capable CPA running a company in desperate need of vision.

      Todd Schoenberger, managing partner at LandColt Capital, isn't sweating it. In his view, the testimony reignites the bullish case for Apple.

      "What it brought to the attention of everybody is how much money this company is actually saving and how much money they have in cash," he states in the attached video. "That's why you want to be long this stock."

      Read More »from Tim Cook Reignites the Case to Buy Apple: Schoenberger
    • Sony (SNE), Nintendo (NTDOY) and Microsoft (MSFT) each spent the better part of eight years and hundreds of millions of dollars developing hardware for the next generation of gaming consoles. Individuals at each of the companies have spent significant portions of their lives eating, drinking and breathing chips, pixels, ergonomics, resolution and God only knows what else, trying to divine where the game market would be at the end of this year. Remember, when they started these projects the iPad hadn't been invented and "mobile gaming" was largely conceptual.

      Perversely, the person who's going to make the most money off all that work is apt to be Dan Loeb, an American hedge fund manager with a huge position in the company that's going to finish in last place. Loeb has a 6.5% interest in Sony. Last week he hand-delivered a letter to Sony CEO Kazuo Hirai suggesting that the company separate its lucrative entertainment interests from its moribund electronics division.

      Normally when American investors try to exert influence over Japanese companies they are met with stony silence. That was the initial response to Loeb as well. Then yesterday Microsoft demoed its Xbox One and everything changed.

      The cool kids at Microsoft work in the Xbox division. Unlike virtually everything else out of Redmond, Xbox products are invariably slick, ambitious and at least somewhat customer friendly. It's hard to believe the people who created the Halo franchise have ever even met the guys behind Windows 8. The Xbox One is a realistic stab at creating the long-dreamed-of central "hub" in the living room.

      Read More »from Game Over: Dan Loeb Wins the Console Wars

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