Mon, May 28, 2012, 9:51 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

  • As we head into the extended Memorial Day weekend, stocks are set to snap a 3-week losing streak and post their biggest weekly gain in over 2 months. You could argue that the back of the bear has been broken and the worst is behind us, but Richard Suttmeier, Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine.com, is not seeing that in the charts.

    The market technician says we could be in for a rocky summer since his works argues that the highs for the year have already been set. Adding to his unease, Suttmeier says 2 weeks ago he got simultaneous ''sell signals" from all 5 of the major stock indexes: Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), S&P 500 (^GSPC), Nasdaq (^IXIC), Dow Transports (^DJT), and the Russell 2000 (^RUT).

    "Simultaneous is the key," he says, pointing out that while the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq were setting new highs this year, the Transports and Russell weren't following the move. "That to me is a big negative divergence and they (Transports and Small Caps) started leading to the downside and pulled the rest of them with them," warns Suttmeier.

    So while we have we have put together a nice little rally in the face of continued stress out of Europe, China and elsewhere, Suttmeier advises to stay clear and keep an eye on the support of the Nasdaq at 2698.

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  • Smartphones have quickly gone from tech gadget to indispensable for consumers. According to Forrester Research, by the year 2016 one billion people around the world will be walking around with these mini super computers in their pockets. With this explosive growth comes several challenges.

    Privacy is a key concern for consumers, while monetizing it is major challenge for the smartest tech/internet companies including Apple (AAPL) and Facebook (FB). Still, neither hurdle is slowing the innovators who continue to release new and potentially game-changing products.

    Michael Eisenberg, a partner at Benchmark Capital, is on the hunt for those game changers who he thinks are part of a major sea change. "What's interesting is the innovation that's powered by this mobile device and the way it's changing communication, it's changing emotional connections and changing the way people communicate one with the other," he says.

    One of the greatest innovative success stories so far is Instagram. The company's creators took the iPhone's camera software, filled it with features and ultimately personalized the experience. The result is a wildly popular app that increased mobile communication so significantly that Facebook swooped in and bought the 13-employee company for a cool $1 billion. (Note: Benchmark was an early investor in Instagram and reportedly made about $180 million off the deal).

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  • This week the Congressional Budget Office issued a dire warning that the U.S. will be pushed into a recession if we don't get our budget in order prior to reaching a fiscal cliff at the end of the year. The report raised many questions, not least of which are: what is the fiscal cliff and how will it impact stocks? In the attached clip Mark Luschini of Janney Montgomery Scott explains the looming impact on the market.

    "If you look at the calculation as to what's set to expire at the end of 2012 and in addition to that some of the budget control act starting to cutting into fiscal spending collectively the number can be high as a half a trillion dollars," he says.

    By Luschini's math, the $500 billion hit to our $16 trillion economy translates into a 3-4% reduction of GDP. With growth stuck at 2% and falling, we're going to be in a recession by the first quarter of 2013 if policies proceed as scheduled.

    Inasmuch as markets attempt to be forward-looking, participants will begin cutting estimates for corporate earnings. At that point traders will start to "de-risk equity markets."

    Read More »

Pagination

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