As we head into the extended Memorial Day weekend, stocks are set to snap a 3-week losing streak and post their biggest weekly gain in over 2 months. You could argue that the back of the bear has been broken and the worst is behind us, but Richard Suttmeier, Chief Market Strategist at ValuEngine.com, is not seeing that in the charts.
The market technician says we could be in for a rocky summer since his works argues that the highs for the year have already been set. Adding to his unease, Suttmeier says 2 weeks ago he got simultaneous ''sell signals" from all 5 of the major stock indexes: Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), S&P 500 (^GSPC), Nasdaq (^IXIC), Dow Transports (^DJT), and the Russell 2000 (^RUT).
"Simultaneous is the key," he says, pointing out that while the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq were setting new highs this year, the Transports and Russell weren't following the move. "That to me is a big negative divergence and they (Transports and Small Caps) started leading to the downside and pulled the rest of them with them," warns Suttmeier.
So while we have we have put together a nice little rally in the face of continued stress out of Europe, China and elsewhere, Suttmeier advises to stay clear and keep an eye on the support of the Nasdaq at 2698.
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