• Robert Frost once said, "In three words I can sum up everything I've learned about life - it goes on." Somehow these immortal words from the greatest American poet seem fitting for today, the day after Fed day, and the precipice that awaits us on the other side of a meeting that's been hyped, discussed and anticipated for the better part of four months.

    Despite the build-up, the unexpected move to delay tapering caught markets by surprise, with stocks and bonds soaring and the dollar plunging on the news, but ultimately the decision to wait only defers the inevitable.

    Related: No Taper! Dovish Bernanke Fuels Dow, S&P to Record Highs

    "We've just had too much taper-talk and I think people just want to get it behind us" says Sam Stovall, chief equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ in the attached video, adding that a "digestion of the recent gains" in the coming days would not surprise him. If he's right, and stocks do lose some ground in the short term, Stovall says that could serve as a spring board for the next leg of a rally that could push the market higher.

    In fact, longer term, Stovall and the S&P Capital IQ Investment Policy Committee are now more bullish than ever. In a note to clients after the Fed announcement they "raised their 12-month price target for the S&P 500 to 1845 from 1780, implying a near 7% increase from the September 18th closing level. Our asset allocation remains unchanged, with a recommended overweighting of equities, and a cyclical sector bias. We are maintaining our suggested under-weighting of bonds."

    Related: No Fed Taper Until New Year Means New Highs: Fahmy

    "People want to hear some good news about the economy going in to 2014," he says, "but we really need to flick the switch and go from liquidity-led to fundamentally-driven and then we can focus more on valuations and the things that are normally looked upon by fundamental analysts."

    Like earnings season, which will soon see JPMorgan Chase (JPM) kicking off the earnings parade just three weeks from now, on October 11th, as the new first member of the Dow to report its third quarter results. This as Alcoa (AA) is being dropped from the index after the close this Friday.

    Read More »from Still Plenty to Fret About After Fed Decision on Taper: Stovall
  • Until a tiny 14-year-old girl from Romania scored a perfect ten on the uneven bars at the Olympics in 1976, theoretically, there was always room for gymnasts to do a little bit better.

    Since our 2.5% economy is hardly performing like Nadia Comaneci, it's not a stretch to say that things could be better. But according to Doug Cote, chief market strategist for ING U.S. Investment Management, the economy is already better than you think.

    "And it's not only the U.S. It's happening globally," Cote says in the attached video, where he cites recent economic statistics out of Europe, Japan and China."It looks like we have a global resurgence going on that's focused on the developed economies and the U.S. is the biggest beneficiary."

    While the Federal Reserve just passed on tapering and lowered its GDP growth target for next year, their new 3% projection for 2014 is still an improvement from this year and would mark a growth rate that is closer in-line with long-term averages.

    At the same time, the latest data also conflicts the dovishness of the Fed, as the Philadelphia Fed report touched a 10-year high, and existing home sales at their best level in over six years.

    Related: No Taper! Dovish Bernanke Fuels Dow, S&P to Record Highs

    To play this good-but-not-great growth story, Cote says equities are the place to be. Specifically, he says investors need to be globally diversified beyond the U.S. and the S&P 500 (^GSPC), and would be wise to mimic his bias towards faster growing, small and mid-cap companies.

    Read More »from Surprise! The Economy Is Better Than You Think: ING’s Cote
  • U.S. stocks rallied 1% across the board after the Federal Reserve announced it will not reduce its $85 billion monthly asset purchasing program. The unexpected decision propelled the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the S&P 500 (^GSPC) to close at fresh record highs, topping the previous records of 15,658 and 1,709, respectively; both set on August 2nd. The Nasdaq (^IXIC) rose 1% to close at a 13-year high of 3,783. And gold prices saw even greater gains than stocks rising over 4% to $1,360 an ounce in after hours trading.

    The Fed's decision came as a big surprise to many on Wall Street who were expecting a $10 billion to $20 billion reduction in monthly stimulus.

    In a news conference late this afternoon, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke said recent economic data has not provided sufficient reason to begin scaling back stimulus. Further, he insinuated that Washington, DC could be factoring into the central bank's decision-making process, stating "upcoming fiscal debates may involve

    Read More »from No Taper! Dow, S&P 500 Soar to Record Closing Highs
  • It has been said that behind the President of the United States, the chairman of the Federal Reserve is one of the most powerful people in Washington, if not the world. While other institutions may be older, when it comes to raw power and impact, few can match the scope and clout of the country's 100 year-old central bank.

    For this installment of Investing 101, we take a look inside this esteemed institution for a look at how it works and what it does.

    What is the Federal Reserve System and why does it exist?

    Created by the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, the Fed, as it's known, has evolved and grown over the years but its primary structure, role and objective remains the same. Based in Washington but also represented nationally via a dozen regional reserve banks, the Fed's primary job is to ensure that our monetary and financial system are safe, flexible and stable.

    To do so, the central bank focuses on four general areas: the supervision and regulation of banks, the administration of monetary policy, mitigating risk and crisis, and providing payment services to commercial banks, the government and official foreign institutions.

    How does the Fed work?

    The Fed is overseen by a seven-member Board of Governors, which is headed by a chairman (currently Ben Bernanke) who is appointed by the President every four years, as well as the presidents of the twelve regional banks who are responsible for activity in their districts.

    Read More »from How the Federal Reserve Safeguards the Financial System

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(2,719 Stories)

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