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    • Don't look now, but shares of BlackBerry-maker Research in Motion (RIMM) are up over 50% since the start of November.

      Several analyst upgrades for RIM have created a splash of confidence that's having a positive ripple effect for the stock price. But the sustainability of the recent rise is contingent upon the success of the BlackBerry 10, expected to officially launch on Jan. 30 and begin shipping in February.

      "They have been clowns for the last five years. Let's state that upfront," says Eric Jackson, founder of IronFire Capital. "I just don't think at this point they're going to screw up from here."

      Just today, the company launched its BlackBerry 10 Ready Program aimed at helping businesses prepare for the new platform. The BB10 will run on a new operating system and offer keyboard and touch versions of the device.

      Until recently, the only position Jackson ever had in RIM was shorting the stock from $70 to $20 a share. He detailed his change of heart in a blog post: "Why I —A Former Short—Just Bought Blackberry's Stock And Think It Can Go to $40".

      "The reason why I own it is I'm anticipating no new people migrate to the BlackBerry, but what they do have is 80 million net subscribers," he explains in the attached video. "A lot of lawyers, a lot of investment bankers, finance people, still carry these things around. I'm constantly amazed when I look around and I see people walking around in the street with them."

      Read More »from RIM on the Rebound! It’s Time to Get Bullish on BlackBerry, Says Jackson
    • Just four weeks after a hard fought election and a jobs report that saw the unemployment rate holding below 8% for a second straight month, investors are preparing to hear about the labor market all over again tomorrow.

      Officially, economists are looking for hiring to stall to just 80,000 new jobs from the 171,000 figure generated in October. Unofficially, many market observers will tell you they don't know what to expect given the growing attention on the so-called fiscal cliff over the past month, as well as the disruptions and power outages Hurricane Sandy inflicted, particularly in the Northeast. The November non-farm payroll data will be released at 8:30 a.m. EST on Friday.

      According to Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak, investors should expect a good number, but resist the urge to panic if it's noisy and bad.

      "The background to this report is that we've seen quite a substantial pickup in the pace of hiring," Wilkinson says in the attached video. "The three-month average gain is about 170,000, and that's pretty good." As for his own estimate, he's expecting a number closer to 125,000.

      Read More »from Jobs Report Preview: Resist the Urge to Panic on Weakness Says Wilkinson
    • A 3% bounce in Chinese stocks in overnight trade has given investors the world over a bit more confidence today — tradings have something fresh to digest rather than the steady drip of headlines about the ebb and flow of the fiscal cliff talks. While the Shanghai Composite chalked up its best one-day gain in three months, my colleague Michael Santoli, senior columnist at Yahoo! Finance, says there have been 20 comparable pops over the past three years.

      "There's lots behind it, namely that the [Chinese] market has been beaten down so much over there that it really was poised to show some kind of bounce," Santoli says in the attached video.

      Related: China vs. The World: Trade Spats Mount and Spread

      Cynics would point out that those previous rallies were little more than bear market bumps in an index that has slumped 40% since August 2009. And they might be right again. But whether or not this pop turns out to be something different, Santoli says the prior ones have typically lead to a 5% subsequent gain over the next month.

      As far as reasoning is concerned, the China rally was fueled by at least two themes: first, coordinated easing by global central banks and second, the expectation that the newly selected Communist Party leadership will usher in a fresh round of economic stimulus.

      "Global easing is a big deal for these guys," Santioli points out. He adds that heavy money printing by the Fed and its peers "benefits oil and commodity-related stuff, and that really drives the Chinese market."

      Read More »from Are Surging Chinese Stocks a Turning Point or Another Head Fake?
    • In a country that's home to more than 4,000 patented mousetrap designs, it only makes sense that we'd try to build a better jobs barometer too. And why not given the government report put out each month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been shrouded in controversy while it is widely known that the official unemployment rate flagrantly understates the current level of joblessness. That's exactly what ADP, with the help of Moody's (MCO) now, is trying to do, and the latest report might just reflect that.

      While today's headline number of 118,000 private jobs being created in November is being reported to be less than the 125,000 economists expected, that summation misses the big picture and some important underlying trends.

      RelatedWeak ADP Data Raises Stakes (and Fears) for Friday's Govt. Jobs Report

      "Compared to the consensus for non-farm private payrolls (currently estimated to be 50,000) it still shows a decent clip of private hiring," says Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller, Tabak & Co. in the attached video. While many economists appear to have been spooked by the disruption of Hurricane Sandy and uncertainty from the fiscal cliff, Wilkinson thinks the rejuvenated tool from ADP is valuable.

      Related: Who's Hiring? High Paying Jobs That Nobody Wants

      Here's what he recently wrote in a note to clients:

      "What we find especially encouraging in the latest ADP report is the advance of hiring amongst companies employing more than 1000 employees. Those companies added 62,000 positions in November bringing the level to 2.9% below its value when payrolls peaked at the start of 2008."

      It's a trend that he says "tends to fly in the face of claims that the fiscal cliff is limiting job creation at big companies."

      Read More »from Is the New ADP Payroll Report a Better Mousetrap?

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