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    • At the beginning of 2012 gold bulls had a straight forward thesis: Central banks around the world will continue to debase their currencies. The virtually unfettered money printing with no set ending would, the thinking went, result in rampant inflation and in so doing drive investors into gold.

      Jeff Kilburg, founder and CEO of KKM Financial, is among those with a bullish gold thesis. In November he came on Breakout suggesting investors get long the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) in anticipation of the FOMC's balance sheet expansion. He got the expansion, but the GLD yawned.

      "It's a head scratcher," Kilburg says of gold's lack of reaction, in the attached video. He believes gold's lack of zest is yet another unintended consequence of the fiscal cliff. The focus on the nation's fiscal nightmares has traders fixated on the cliff rather than the currency debasement.

      The Fed is fighting deflation. Inflation is something they can control, but no credible economist has yet to find a solution for no one buying goods no matter how low prices fall. That may or may not be the right play for now, but Kilburg says when inflation comes it's going to come in a fast and furious manner, driving gold well above $2,000.

      Read More »from Gold Will Top $2,000 in 2013: Kilburg
    • High Frequency Trading: Must Separate Fact From Fiction Says NYSE COO Leibowitz

      As 2012 peters out, trading activity is slow and market volatility low. Yet this state of relative calm hasn't quieted the anxious chatter about hyper-fast trading by automated systems aimed at capturing tiny price blips in stocks, over fractions of a second.

      This is the industry landscape facing Larry Leibowitz, chief operating officer of NYSE Euronext Inc. (NYX), the parent of the New York Stock Exchange and other trading venues. Speaking with us at Minyanville.com's Festivus charity event on Dec. 7, Leibowitz blamed what he called the market's case of the volume "blahs" on general investor hesitancy in the face of open questions on taxes, government budgets and regulation. The bulge in volumes experience during and right after the 2008 financial crisis has been entirely unwound, with average daily trading volume in U.S. stocks now around 2007 levels.

      Some unknowable portion of these volume declines is related to individual investors steadily pulling cash from actively managed equity funds --withdrawals only partially offset by inflows into exchange-traded index funds. The public remains wary of stocks after the indexes were twice cut in half between 2000 and 2009, and fears have grown among small investors about computer-propelled trading on privileged access to order flow.

      Leibowitz suggested that clearer reporting on the activities of high-frequency traders is necessary to help counter some of the worry about the business and rebuild investor confidence in the public equity markets.

      "The reality is, technology is here to stay, and has been a huge windfall for end investors, whether retail or institutional" through lower trading costs and faster systems, he said. "The real question is: How do we regulate and surveil it in a way that gives people confidence that they have a chance?"

      Read More »from High Frequency Trading: Must Separate Fact From Fiction Says NYSE COO Leibowitz
    • With dividend tax hikes looming, special dividends being announced, and government security yields at all time lows, it's easy to forget the basics. Specifically, how can you create a portfolio of dividend paying stocks that separates Blue Chip yield from the value traps.

      In this edition of Investing 101, Barbara Marcin, portfolio manager of the four-star rated Gabelli Dividend Growth Fund (GABBX) walks us through the basics of building a portfolio of stocks that spins off some income to patient investors.

      Tip #1: Be Patient and "Layer" into Positions

      Dividend stocks aren't about catching every rally. The idea is to take the long-view and create a portfolio built to last. Marcin suggests investors with a 3-year horizon slowly build positions rather than dive in all at once. "Put in a third now, a third in three months, and a third after that," she suggests in the attached video.

      In a volatile environment, having a set schedule like this keeps investors from getting unnerved and making impulsive decisions.

      Tip #2: Look at the Company Then the Dividend

      Marcin says investors should buy stocks of companies they believe in first and foremost, with the yield coming second. Paradoxically, stocks with high yields can be the least safe on the market. When you see a name kicking off 5 or 6% while the rest of the blue chips are yielding half that, it's a sign that institutional investors are skeptical of both the company and its ability to pay the listed dividend.

      If 2 or 3% seems low to you, Marcin begs to differ. Dividends are "the highest current return available compared to anything 'safe'... Treasuires, CDs, anything."

      Read More »from 3 Tips to Build a Strong Dividend Portfolio
    • Apple (AAPL) has become synonymous with hand-held gadgetry but the stock of late has been the definition of pain. In the attached clip Breakout welcomes Jeff Kilburg, founder & CEO of KKM Financial to give us his thoughts on Apple and other ways to play the undeniable boom in all things wireless.

      Apple

      Kilburg hasn't given up on the stock yet but he's not exactly pounding the table either. "I still like holding it here," he says in the attached clip. "There's a lot of volatility in Apple right now; for a lot of folks who don't have the stomach, you have get on the sidelines."

      For those who do actively trade, Kilburg suggests using the volatility in Apple as a way to sell puts against long positions to eliminate some of the risk out without giving up the position.

      Cisco (CSCO) and Juniper (JNPR)

      Stepping away from the fray between Apple and every other tablet-maker, Kilburg is taking a look at the guys behind the scenes.

      "There's more and more junk we walk around with" he notes, ticking off just a few of the items he had with him at the moment. Whichever devices win the demands on networks is going to win. To Kilburg that means revisiting these long left for dead names.

      Read More »from Apple Volatility: If You Can’t Deal, Get on the Sidelines Says Kilburg

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    About Breakout

    Breakout is Yahoo! Finance’s daily all-out, roll-up-your-sleeves, dive-in, interactive investing show, offering fresh segments throughout the trading day. If you love making money, if you want to protect what you have, if you’re passionate about understanding these crazy markets, you’re in the right place.

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