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    • One of the proven strategies for success on Wall Street is to "let your winners run," which means resisting the temptation to take profits and close out a trade that is working. When it comes to global markets, few places in the world right now can claim to be working as well as Turkey (TUR). It's 60% gain over the past year has pushed it to the top of the rankings, and also landed it atop the where-in-the-world watch list for 2013.

      "It's slightly more risky than the average country, and is slightly more rich (in terms of valuations)," says David Garff, President and CIO of Accuvest Global Investment Advisors in the attached video. "But because of the fantastic fundamentals and the momentum, we think that Turkey is a great opportunity" he adds.

      For the record, the Turkey Fund has been going through a bit of a boom-bust cycle the past few years, falling 40% in 2011 after rising 25% in 2010.

      Meanwhile, Garff tucks China (MCHI) into the second spot on his most-favored nation list, calling it ''cheap, with good fundamentals and improving momentum."

      More specifically, Garff calls China "the fifth cheapest market that we follow," albeit one that also carries "elevated risk." Like many global investors, he is also optimistic about the trickle down effect that a fresh round of stimulus spending would have (should it materialize) on the underlying earnings of Chinese companies. However, if the new leadership doesn't deliver it, or it worsens an already toppy real estate market, then the risk side of this trade could swiftly come into play.

      Read More »from Where in the World to Invest in 2013
    • It's being called a failure, a miscalculation and a move that could even cost House Speaker John Boehner his job, but in reality, it's the country that ends up losing. Sure, the Ohio Republican failed to get enough support within his own party to pass his "Plan-B" proposal to avoid the Fiscal Cliff. But even if he had gotten the votes and it passed the House, the bill that would have extended tax cuts on anyone earning less than a million dollars was facing certain death in the Senate and the White House.

      Reaction to the latest impasse in the negotiations has been predictably partisan in Washington and mostly mixed on Wall Street, where stocks began the day lower, though only by about one percent. As my co-host Jeff Macke and I discuss in the attached video, the matter goes into the "now what?" phase, where the two sides will endeavor to vilify each other in an attempt to win the blame game, rather than working to "actually fix the problem," as House Majority Leader Eric Cantor says.

      Although the stakes are high, in fact in the trillions of dollars, it is our belief that a clean-up pact will be reached some time in early 2013 that will undo most of the damage done as a result of the automated tax increases and spending and benefit cuts that are set to take place ten days from now. Until then, as I say in the attached clip, we will all continue to be witness to a huge political game where the American people will serve as referees to determine who wins the battle to spin a better story.

      Read More »from Boehner’s No-Brainer; Let The White House Own It
    • Traditionally, Santa Claus is the person making a list and checking it twice, but this year one company decided to turn the tables and have a little fun with numbers. Yes, Santa has been audited. ParenteBeard, a top 25 U.S. accounting firm, decided to balance the books of what would be the world's largest non-profit organization — Santa, Inc.

      "With what's going on in the economy, with the fiscal cliff, we thought it would be a good idea to check in on Santa and see whether or not he had solid operations," says Jeff Ferro, president of ParenteBeard, in the attached video. "We found out he's got a pretty expensive operation."

      In a short report "Santa, Inc: By the Numbers" the firms puts a $42.3 billion annual price tag on the entire North Pole operation. They broke down the numbers starting with the heart of the business.

      Gift Production: $39.5 billion

      Ferro says 90 — 95% of Santa's operation is gifts. Here's how ParenteBeard determined the costs: There are roughly 526 million kids under age 14 that celebrate Christmas. They estimated a $75 value for each gift.

      "We didn't differentiate who's naughty and nice," says Ferro. "We just assumed everyone gets a gift." This costs Santa, Inc. an annual total of $39.5 billion.

      Employee Costs: $2.77 billion

      Of course, somebody has to make the gifts. ParenteBeard estimated there are 50,000 elves producing the goods. Since the average real life toymaker in the U.S. earns $35,859 a year, the firm assumed Santa would be more generous and pay his employees a $40,000 salary + $15,475 for healthcare costs.

      Read More »from Checking It Twice! Santa Gets Audited
    • A good detective always looks for a motive when beginning an investigation. And so, when Nick Colas discovered that the number of $100 bills printed last year suddenly spiked, the chief market strategist at ConvergEx Group decided to figure out what was going on.

      The first thing he discovered, as we discuss in the attached video, is that "$100 bills are still wildly popular and growing in popularity." On the other hand, the use of smaller denomination bills ($1, $5, $10 and $20) has been declining for over a decade, as the number of cashless transactions has steadily gone up. In fact, in the fiscal year that just ended in October, Colas writes in a recent note to clients, the U.S. Bureau of Engraving and Printing cranked out 3 billion, $100 notes.

      "That's substantially higher than the run-rate of the past couple of years," Colas points out, and 50% more than the 2 billion $1 bills that were inked up. "It's actually a record amount of production," he says.

      All of which begs the question, why?

      Part of this new demand, he says, comes from the classic nefarious sources: drug dealers, arms smugglers, tax cheats and bribes. But some of it is also due to hoarding or the fact that more people than ever, oddly enough, are losing faith in government and/or the economy and are shunning the surety of traditional investments. It's a phenomenon that's led to a huge increase in demand for gold and other precious metals, but also for — you guessed it — $100 bills.

      Read More »from Cash Is King: Printing of $100 Bills Soars

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