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    • There's a crazy game that kids play where they try to pick which hypothetical travesty or torture would be preferable. A typical quandary might ask if you would rather "be run over by a steam roller or stung by 1,000 bees." In reality, neither choice is desirable but that's not the point of the game.

      Along those lines, I posed a similar line of questions to Patrick Wolff, chief investment officer at Grandmaster Capital, on the sidelines of the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A, BRK-B) shareholder meeting in Omaha, where he was a spectator and performer, showing off his skills playing blindfolded chess against six players at once.

      From his viewpoint, Wolff is far less concerned about the Fed extracting itself from its quantitative easing "experiment" than he is about the risks lurking within the world's second-largest economy.

      "I'm no too worried about it," Wolff says in the attached video of the Fed's easy money policy; a policy that Warren Buffett refers to as a ''huge experiment." "If and when the U.S. economy really comes roaring back the Fed (will have) lots of ways to tighten appropriately."

      On China, however, Wolff is blunt.

      "My own view is that China's economy is in a bubble," he says, referring to the fast-growing Asian nation as "a dangerous place" to invest that is likely "to end very, very badly."

      Read More »from From Chess Master to Fund Manager, Patrick Wolff Uses Buffett as His Guide
    • "This time is different," is widely accepted as the most dangerous phrase in investing. Author of the new book The Art of Value Investing, Whitney Tilson has a 3-word phrase that's done even more damage to investors this year: "I missed it."

      "It's the phenomenon where you look at a stock that's doubled in the last year and you just say 'I missed it' and you don't do any further research," Tilson says, in the attached video.

      Everyone wants to be the first to own an obscure company that becomes a mega-cap or boast about stepping in to buy the most recent market panic. But buying a market or stock that's been on a tear requires an investor to risk being "the greater fool." Studies show that overcoming the fear of losing money or looking bad is much stronger than the desire to seek reward.

      Tilson says the most important part of good investing is the ability to understand how to value a company and recognizing when market inefficiency is creating opportunity. Once those skills are in place, what differentiates the good investors from the great is controlling emotion.

      Read More »from There Are 3 Words Every Investor Must Avoid, Warns Tilson
    • After three consecutive quarters of disappointment, Groupon (GRPN) is back in the positive surprise column once again. Thanks to a simplified approach and amended objectives, the daily-deals site saw its first quarter revenues rise 7.5% to a better than expected $601 million.

      Under the leadership of its new co-CEO's (Eric Levkofsky and Ted Leonsis), the company scaled back the spam-like email outreach of yore and is focusing instead on growing its search business.

      As my co-host Jeff Macke and I discuss in the attached video, the stock has more than doubled since November and the turn-around is being driven in part by the company's conversion from what it calls "Push to Pull," which allows users to search for the sort of deal they want, rather than scanning their inbox to see if something enticing might be in there.

      "The stock is going higher because the company is no longer at risk of completely dying," Macke surmises, adding that investors should not confuse one quarter's worth of progress "with a huge comeback story."

      Read More »from Is Groupon Back From the Dead or Just Faking it?
    • Gold investors can make the long term case for the yellow metal as loud and often as they want, but the market price is the final arbiter investing success. By that objective measure the barbaric metal has had a tough run over the last 18 months.

      Since peaking near $1,900 in early September 2011, gold has fallen more than 20%. Over the same period the S&P 500 is up more than 40%. Even for patient investors, that type of spread in performance is cause for concern if not outright panic.

      Peter Schiff, outspoken author of The Real Crash and head of Euro Pacific Capital, says the euphoria has been well and truly beaten out of gold. "I've never seen such negative sentiment since I've been buying it," he says in the attached video. It's that negativity that Schiff thinks will provide a wall of worry for gold prices to climb in the coming months.

      The move from gold to stocks is, in Schiff's words, based on a false narrative. "People think the U.S. economy is recovering." It's an illusion based on quantitative easing and inflation. When reality hits, as Schiff and other hawks think it must, stocks will crumble and the real value of gold will be realized.

      Read More »from Gold Fundamentals Have Never Been Better: Schiff

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