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    • Best Buy (BBY) shares were strong in early trading on Tuesday driven by the company's decision to pull the plug on European expansion plans. The embattled Minnesota-based electronics retailer said it is selling out to joint venture partner Carphone Warehouse for roughly $775 million in cash and stock.

      Best Buy CEO Hubert Joly says the retreat shouldn't be taken as a sign that the company is pulling back from all foreign markets; only the ones that don't make financial or strategic sense.

      Joly's move illustrates the advantage of bringing a fresh set of eyes to the corner office. An entrenched CEO would likely have given more rope to a partnership generating more than $5.5 billion in revenues and is less than 5 years old. To Wall Street the European excursion was just a distraction from rotting operations in the US. Killing such legacy operations are exactly what turnaround CEOs are supposed to do.

      As Joly chips away the dysfunction at Best Buy, investors are left to wonder if there will be anything left when he's done. Lee Munson of Portfolio LLC thinks Best Buy is going to have to keep shrinking in order to stay alive.

      "Best Buy used to be a place where you could go and get great information about the products and I think that's slipped over the years," Munson says in the attached video. "To get your profit margins up you've got to provide a value added experience for people."

      Read More »from Best Buy Leaves Europe, Wall Street Shouts “Oui Oui!”
    • Wednesday afternoon the Federal Open Market Committee will release its latest monetary policy statement. For comparison, the March statement is posted on FederalReserve.gov. If you must engage in the act of combing through each word, it's always best to have the prior release in front of you when the new one hits the wires.

      Hugh Johnson, chairman and CIO at HJ Advisors, says investors are safe in assuming that there aren't going to be any seismic shifts in policy. "It's going to be pretty much the same statement," Johnson says in the attached video.

      Ticking through the old favorites, Johnson says he's looking for commentary on low rates, unemployment, slow growth, etc. "You can parse all you want but basically that's what it's going to tell you," he states.

      The exception is whether or not the list of dissenters to current policy expands beyond Esther George. It's the behind the scenes debate regarding the timing of tapering the quantitative easing programs that Johnson is paying

      Read More »from Fed Governor Speeches Are the New FOMC Statement: Johnson
    • Had you adhered to the old adage "sell in May and go away" for the past three years, you would have not only avoided a lot pain, but you would have likely outperformed the benchmarks, as well. This as the springs of 2010, 2011 and 2012 each marked the starting point for sell-offs that would shave anywhere from 9% to 19% off of the S&P 500 (^GSPC) in just a matter of months.

      In the case of Jeff Hirsch, the editor-in-chief at the Stock Trader's Almanac, it's not just about going away from the stock market, he says investors need to have a strategy that will carry them through until the fall.

      "When you come around to the end of the best six months, e.g. April, and the market is up as it is, we start to get defensive," Hirsch says in the attached video. By putting what he calls "the prevent-D on the field," he implements a host of portfolio changes, such as tightening up stop-loss levels to bring them closer to the appreciated value of assets; limiting the new purchase of positions; undergoing simple profit-taking in winners and culling losers; and looking for possible short ideas and some asset shifting into bonds.

      Historically, since the 1950s, Hirsch says the longer-term "sell in May" results are also compelling, but never more so than in the past three years. In 2010, for example, the high watermark set in late April did not get permanently eclipsed until December — and then, only by about 3%. In 2011, the high of the year was hit on May 2 after the S&P 500 had gained 9%. But over the next five months, stocks fell 20% and would ultimately finish the year flat, which was still 8% below where they were eight months before. And then again, in 2012, a searing hot first quarter saw a high set in April, followed by a sell-off and five unproductive months while the market got back to even.

      Read More »from Sell in May and Go Where? Preparing for the Market’s Slow Season
    • "Bull markets don't go wrinkle free," says Hugh Johnson, chairman & CIO of Hugh Johnson Advisors. "They get a bit overvalued and a little undervalued. Right now, if anything, we're a little overvalued."

      Not wanting his observation to be construed as a trading call, Johnson says no one has a timing edge, even if they claim otherwise. The prudent thing to do as he sees it isn't to jump in or out of stocks entirely, but simply to "drag your feet when it comes to making new commitments to the equity markets."

      While not a trader per se Johnson does have his timing "tells," one of which is to take money off the table when a stock or sector's price starts to lag that of the market as a whole. Trim a little to stay ahead of a real pull back that tends to shake investors out at the lows.

      On a 5 to 8% pullback, Johnson is a huge buyer. He sees no evidence whatsoever that the bull cycle is coming to an end (fits and starts on the economy aside).

      Johnson's biggest contrarian play is a whopper.

      Read More »from Market Is Overvalued, ‘Drag Your Feet’ on New Stock Buys, Says Johnson

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