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    • It's hard to believe but a year ago at this time everyone cared about Facebook (FB). The company was culturally relevant. The idea of owning the stock had investors giddy pre-IPO and miserable literally a day later. The only question was not if but how the geniuses at Facebook were going to make inroads into mobility while maximizing profits from conventional desktop users.

      As it turned out, Facebook's didn't have any real idea how to address mobile. What they've done is use the $16 billion of IPO proceeds to throw money into an abyss of laughably bad initiatives and promotional events designed to convince advertisers that users of Facebook mobile apps aren't turned off by product placements.

      To be fair every ad-based internet company on earth has the same problem. The others get a pass on their efforts to crack the code on "monetization" because they don't have much riding on mobile bets and haven't been as splashily inept in their efforts.

      In January FB hyped up what was supposed to be a game changing new pillar of their business model. The result was Graph Search. Suffice it to say Google (GOOG) remains the market leader in search.

      A month ago at another over-hyped event as Facebook unleashed Home. It was a product that was teased to be a Facebook Phone and turned out to be little more than an app that hijacked user's phones. To say customers disliked Home is to suggest they cared about it at all. Fewer than .1% of Facebook users have downloaded Home and the product is reportedly being overhauled.

      Read More »from Failbook: 1 Year After IPO, Troubles Remain
    • There are simply no safe havens anymore and investors know it. In three short weeks, the 10-year Treasury yield has gone from 1.6% to 2.0% and in doing so, has gouged four percent off of the price of these ''super safe'' assets in the blink of an eye. Gold (GLD) has had an even worse month than bonds, shedding over seven percent just this month alone.

      At the same time, stocks continue to be the only wining hand in town. Even though the ride has been delightful, owning equities is still nerve wracking.

      "Everyone is looking for non-correlated ways to offset risk in portfolios, to offset all the ups and downs," says Tom Lydon, editor of ETF Trends in the attached video. "As long as everyone is long, you have that risk," he adds, crystallizing the What-do-I-do? dilemma investors are grappling with lately.

      Not long ago, the answer to this problem fell almost exclusively into the laps hedge funds, but Lydon says things have changed in the past few years, and now, more than ever, individuals have the ability to do themselves what they used to have to outsource to the professionals.

      "What's happened is, the average investor just isn't up for the risk anymore," Lydon says, highlighting one of the key reasons why so-called alternative ETFs are experiencing massive growth, including MLPs, REITs, Commodities, Alternative Energy and leveraged funds.

      Read More »from Are ETFs Disrupting the Hedge Fund Industry?
    • Here's what you need to know about economics: the price of everything is determined by supply and demand. There are no exceptions to the relationship between supply, demand, and price. By logical extension there is no such thing as a "fake price."

      That doesn't mean prices can't be manipulated. It means that such manipulation requires either soaking up supply (e.g., the Fed buying $85 billion a month of paper) or increasing demand (e.g., paying $200 for a dozen roses because it's Valentine's Day).

      If you're looking for a unifying theory to explain the stock market rally consider this: buybacks. According to FactSet, year over year buybacks by dollar value increased roughly 10% last year. In fact, $384 billion of shares were repurchased last year. There were about $40 billion worth of IPOs in 2012. Simply put, supply of shares is shrinking.

      Demand for stocks is rising. Stock inflows are rising. It doesn't matter why you think that may be. It's simply math. Money is going into equities. Demand is growing.

      "You're getting actually a shortage of stocks and too much liquidity not just from the Federal Reserve but all over the planet right now," says Jeff Saut of Raymond James in the attached video.

      Read More »from Rising Stocks: A “Fake Rally” or Just Supply & Demand?
    • "Why would anybody buy gold except for fear?" asks Don Hays, the founder and chief investment strategist at Hays Advisory Group. And truth be told, it's a question lots of investors are asking lately, as the price of the most widely held precious metal has shed nearly 25% in seven months, and by Hays's calculations, could shed a comparable amount again as it shrinks back down to $1100 an ounce.

      "If you look back, when the price of gold started moving up, it's almost perfectly synonymous with September 11, 2001. That's when the fear really started rising," Hays says in the attached video.

      Interestingly, he finds gold to be more useful as a "fear index" than an outright investment, and explains that it's expected weakness bodes well for his core equity investments, and even the world.

      "The terrorism effect obviously is starting to improve, democracy is starting to improve, the price of oil is coming down, so all of those things play into a much better (investment) environment for the next 10 to 15 years. That is what gold is telling us," he says.

      To be sure, gold's 12-year run to record levels coincided with lots of what Hays refers to as "massive distortions and worries," including the financial crisis, a technology revolution and, of course, an unprecedented rise in global terrorism.

      Read More »from Gold’s Tumble To Continue: Hays

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