YOUR FRIENDS' ACTIVITY

    • The NY Post is reporting that "at least two major hedge funds" have amassed significant stakes in troubled, near dead, strategically challenged retailer JC Penney. The news comes on the heels of last week's SEC filing from George Soros revealing a 7.9% stake in JC Penney (JCP) stock.

      Adding to the JC Penney positive news from earlier this morning, the company confirms it secured a $1.75 billion financing package from Goldman Sachs (GS). The terms have been rumored to be a remarkably generous 7%.  [JC Penney has now confirmed the financing from Goldman; demand is rumored to be strong suggesting a yield between 5 and 6%]

      A whopping 36.8% of JC Penney's float was short as of April 15th. A big part of the short thesis had been the very real possibility that the company wouldn't have the liquidity to make it to the Christmas buying season.

      Between the Post's unnamed funds and Soros, the timing of the stock purchases are curious if not flat out suspicious. JC Penney had been known to be looking for loans for months, and Goldman no doubt shopped the deal around the Street to find indications of interest.

      JC Penney stock has been locked in the mid-teens for almost two months. So much smart money jumping in all at once is curious if not a smoking gun. Knowing the deal was likely to get done would have made the $15 area a low-risk entry point.

      The company still has a laundry list of problems, but at least for the moment liquidity isn't one of them. "This company obviously has a lifeline now," says Yahoo Senior Columnist Michael Santoli in the attached clip. "You can kind of make the case that if JCPenney can at all stop the bleeding, maybe there's value there." Nothing beats a couple billion dollars at favorable rates when it comes to stanching a cash bleed.

      Read More »from What Luck! Hedgies Load Up on JCP Ahead of Debt Lifeline
    • Gold may or may not be a currency or hedge against crisis but it has been traded for thousands of years. That being the case, gold can probably be expected to fluctuate in value but it's not going to disappear. At least not in a straight line.

      Jeff Kilburg, founder & CEO of KKM Financial, is a gold trader rather than a fundamental purist. For him the underlying demand gives him a trading backstop, but getting ahead of price fluctuations are how he brings home the bacon.

      Kilburg says the trader in him thinks gold is on the cusp of a breakout. "I want to see it get back above $1,500, but I think you can layer into gold positions here," says Kilburg in the attached video.

      Why wait? Because good commodity traders know to respect the technicals. $1,500 is a level from which gold broke down. Those who bought that level and rode gold to the lows and back the mid-$1,400s are weak holders likely to breath a sigh of relief and bail when they get back to their cost basis. Traders who bought lower will see resistance at $1,500 and take profits. Either way Kilburg says it pays to wait.

      Read More »from Gold on the Cusp of a Breakout: Kilburg
    • I like to call them the disaster du jour. It's when a particular stock gets crushed after missing analyst expectations or gets slammed for perhaps sounding more cautious than optimistic in giving its purview of the future. As jarring as these double-digit dips are for existing shareholders, they can also be pure gold for investors who are quick enough to react when they think the punishment does not fit the crime.

      "Whether they miss here or miss there, that's not going to change the arithmetic of how they create value for investors over the long term," says Martin Leclerc, managing partner at Barrack Yard Advisors of IBM's (IBM) recent 10% post-earnings dive.

      In the attached video, Leclerc explains that while he hasn't bought IBM yet, "it's very much on our minds," pointing out that the company's strong cash flow and a share count that's fallen 40% in a decade are the real "driving force."

      Read More »from Earnings Season Volatility Has Investors Scrambling for Short-Term Trades
    • 3 Retailers Rebuilt to Last

      There's no substitute for experience. In the life of every person or corporation there will eventually be moments of adversity. The latest hot, trendy store will someday have to deal with changes in consumer tastes, a downturn in the economy or just its own failure to execute.

      When times get tough, most companies simply disappear; others tweak their business just enough to stay alive. Retailers like Sears (SHLD) and RadioShack (RSH) have been staggering along for years, failing to evolve or dedicate the resources necessary to convince customers to come back. They seem trapped in time, offering the same goods that have been hashed over and rejected countless times already.

      The best companies, or for that matter people, are those that have met adversity by taking it as an opportunity to rediscover what they did best while changing to meet the times. For a business to thrive it needs to reliably deliver what its customers expect and then add just a little bit more as a special treat.

      In the attached clip, retail expert Hitha Prabhakar, author of Black Market Billions lists three companies that haven't just survived but have also come back much better than when they first captured the public's attention.

      Home Depot (HD)

      The housing meltdown hit Home Depot hard. During boom times, when millions of Americans were remodeling and "flipping" houses, Home Depot's biggest problem was keeping all the hardware and supplies in stock.

      When the music stopped, HD was stuck with palates full of lumber in a world with no construction. In short, they needed to rebuild their concept from the studs up in order to survive.

      Read More »from 3 Retailers Rebuilt to Last

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