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    • "It's almost impossible to imagine that you were wrong but you might be this time."

      So says tradeMONSTER.com Co-Founder Jon Najarian, gently dismissing my oft-stated opinion that last quarter would mark the start of a US recession. Najarian's view is supported by the government's latest report on retail sales, which came in at 1.1% for September, significantly higher than estimates.

      The number was the latest a list of slightly-less-than-horrible economic data coming across the wires recently, nearly putting to rest the idea that a recession is going to be 2011's business.

      I've got good company in my seemingly too pessimistic forecast; consumer sentiment readings fell to the lowest levels seen in 30 years. It would seem someone's data collection process is flawed, but Najarian is betting it's the opinion polls.

      "Whether it's a Michigan sentiment survey, consumer confidence or whatever, that's absolute garbage and worthless," he says.

      Read More »from Najarian: Consumer Spending Shows U.S. Is Not in Recession
    • Google (GOOG) reported last night and, for those too obsessed with the EU to notice, the numbers were huge. The company reported non-GAAP of $9.72, a buck ahead of the Street, on revenue growth that was a staggering 37% above last year's third quarter. More importantly, Google kicked arse in emerging markets and mobile, justifying its pending $12.5B purchase of Motorola Mobility (MMI) and allaying fears that weakness in emerging markets would sink search.

      It was Google's performance internationally that most impressed Jon Najarian, co-founder of tradeMONSTER.com. Describing Goog's quarter as "phenomenal," Najarian sees the company's global growth as evidence of its ability to monetize products other than search. With revenues in mobile picking up, and MMI's patents presumably securing Android's future, Najarian says Goog remains a buy despite the gap higher that's being digested as I type.

      Google isn't the only company getting giddy over mobile. Najarian is going retro by playing the chip space via Cypress (CY), Intel (INTC) and Triquent (TQNT). The latter was up a staggering 24% yesterday after a couple of "smart guys… broke open an iPhone 4S and found two TriQuint chips inside," according to Najarian.

      Read More »from Google and Apple Soar: Who Else Wins in Wireless?
    • Just when it looked like we might be able to string together an entire week without being hit with a sentiment setback from Europe, and S&P goes and kicks the bees nest with a caustically worded downgrade of Spain.

      Fortunately, markets pay little attention to belated ratings agency actions anymore, but the move still stands as a not so subtle reminder that much work needs to be done to eradicate the psychological grime that is soiling investor sentiment. As Doug Kass sees it, it is the sum of the problems, the totality of headwinds from all corners of the world, that will keep this market trapped within its ranges.

      "There are so many structural issues that face our domestic economy," the president and founder of Seabreeze Partners Management says. "The Eurozone, issues about whether China is going to have a hard or soft landing, they all impact valuations."

      While investors appear to be pinning their hopes du jour on the belief that G20 talks in Paris will move the region closer to finding a funding solution for the debt crisis that threatens its biggest banks, it is fair to say that Kass has been underwhelmed by what has been offered up so far.

      Read More »from Doug Kass: Europe Needs a “Shock and Awe” Solution
    • There are no unused superlatives to describe the trading range that's been trapping markets for more than two months. The range has become something akin to the moon 100 years ago; it just sits there, placidly denying man's feeble efforts to impact it in any way.

      Just about every trader we've spoken to on Breakout for the last month has genuflected before "The Range." If I hear "I'm positioned defensively" again I'm going to go chicken killer. Heck, if I say "I'm positioned defensively" again I may rip out my own tongue. From where I'm sitting the time for defense is ending. Range-bound though we are (as I type), stocks are moving higher more readily than they are falling. No one is positioned properly for a strong breakout, save for those "buy and hold" types who've gotten to enjoy the entire collapse.

      (This being Wall St., that likely means the range will have ceased to exist by the time you read this note. If it's after 4pm on the East Coast and your screen says the S&P closed at 1,225 or more, please disregard and re-title this column "Stocks Make A Giant Leap for Mankind").

      Read More »from Macke: How I’m Playing the Market’s Range

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