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      Europe may not be done haggling over the details of the Greek bailout but, at least as far as Wall Street is concerned there's only one real question: Is there going to be an end of the year rally, or what?

      Ryan Detrick, chief technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research says yes! He has three good arguments for taking an upside shot:

      1. Chart support: 1,220 on the S&P500 and 2,600 on the NASDAQ are as clearly defined support levels as you'll ever see. Pretty much every bull, including me, is using 1,220 as an entry point for at least a trade. You can dismiss charts all you want but I like to trade levels where I know I have company. Traders are buying 1,220 so far almost regardless of the news. That's bullish.

      2. A reversal pattern: A student of market history, Detrick sees this bullish and rare setup unfolding: "When the Dow breaks down to a 2-month low then, 2-weeks later makes a two month high." Still with us? Good because this pattern has happened "only 5 times since 1990 and only 17 times since 1950." Markets have been higher 2-months after these trading setups more than 70% of the time.

      Read More »from 3 Reasons to Believe in a Santa Claus Rally
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      There's conflicting and rather dramatic news out of Europe today over the BBC's report that George Papandreou is offering to resign from his role as Greek Prime Minister. New information says the embattled PM will fight to keep his position. All of this comes just days after announcing that Greece would hold a referendum on the terms of the country's bailout. The prospects of a Greek vote causing a delay in the implementation of the rescue plan announced last Thursday shocked global markets and outraged European officials.

      In response, German Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy demanded any Greek referendum be simple yes or no choice on whether the country will remain in the Eurozone or go it alone. Regardless of Papandreou leaving office or not, staying on as Premier, or slinking off the international scene entirely, it's been made clear that Greece will either accept Europe's charity as offered or get nothing and deal with it. From what we've seen so far, it looks like the Greeks are going to go with the former.

      Oh yeah, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced a surprise 25-basis point rate cut to address the growing crisis.

      It's unclear whether these developments qualify as the "monumental" moves from Europe some traders want, but it certainly changes the conversation. The only debate now is whether or not Greece will be allowed to stay in the Eurozone and what it would mean if they left. I spoke to Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital yesterday, prior to the latest developments, to discuss Greece's plight.

      "Greece itself is not the problem," says Schiff. "It's the moral hazards that result from how Greece is handled." Schiff believes whatever the EU does with Greece now will set the tone for the rest of the troubled nations.

      Read More »from Greece Must Stay in the Eurozone: Peter Schiff
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      The Federal Reserve may have released a relatively benign statement taking no further action to stimulate the economy, but a fierce debate is just getting started over the Central Bank's next moves.

      The FOMC statement reiterated that interest rates will hold near zero through mid-2013, and "Operation Twist" —the program to shift its bond holdings toward longer dated maturities, remains in place. This, along with language stating "economic growth strengthened somewhat in the third quarter," enabled a sturdy Wednesday afternoon market rally.

      During his quarterly press conference held nearly two hours after the FOMC statement release yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke issued the committee's updated economic outlook, forecasting a gloomier picture for GDP and the unemployment rate. The Fed's 2011 GDP outlook was slashed to a range of 1.6 - 1.7% from 2.7 — 2.9%, and 2012's cut to 2.5 — 2.9% from 3.3 — 3.7%. The outlook for the unemployment rate is now 8.5 — 8.7% for 2012. Due to the weakened forecast, the Fed Chief made it clear that the central bank is ready to act if necessary.

      "You might call it over propaganda," says Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital in the attached video. " I think the U.S. economy is getting worse and the Fed is constantly having to ratchet down its previous expectations."

      Bernanke did make it clear that he's "dissatisfied" with the rate of economic improvement calling it "frustratingly slow." Subsequently, he's not alone, as there's a growing chorus of complaint that wants the Fed to back off.

      Read More »from “Reckless” Bernanke Is Creating the Next Crisis: Peter Schiff
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      The Federal Reserve board's latest statement today was expected to be a whole lot of nothing. It didn't disappoint, more or less repeating the September notes, with the exception of noting that economic growth had "strengthened somewhat" in the third quarter. According to Jeff Kilburg, Sr. development director of Treasury Curve, the Fed's inactivity made some sense, given what's happening across the pond.

      Kilburg has demoted the Fed Chair calling Bernanke so ineffectual that he "looks like he's on a Vespa right now, cruising around Milan." Traders' attention is now fixed on Europe and the G20 Summit starting tomorrow in lovely Cannes.

      Kilburg says markets need "something monumental" from the meeting, pointing specifically to the creation of a Eurobond or some other measure to give Europe's recovery measures some bite. After the debacle of last week's scuttled plan, whatever emerges from the G20 needs to at least appear feasible.

      "It's all about implementation right now," says Kilburg. Having been burned once, the markets are going to look askance at any plan that doesn't come with some specifics and a schedule.

      Read More »from Forget the Fed, “Something Monumental” Is Needed from Europe: Kilburg

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