YOUR FRIENDS' ACTIVITY

    • "Vision is the art of seeing things invisible" Irish Satirist Jonathan Swift once wrote.

      And right now, it takes a pretty serious artist to see their way through the haze and fog of the markets and auger the confidence to dive in or, if the case may be, to not bail out.

      Even before markets stabilized this week, Portfolio Manager Ted Parrish of the Hennsler Financial Group was trying to see value when none was around and that led him to the Industrials. "These companies have very long type businesses that aren't really affected by short-term actions in the economy" Parrish says. "You've seen the rout in Industrials we've faced over past week-and-a-half. I don't think it's going to persist. When the comps come out with their guidance, Wall Street will see that the numbers are going to be pretty solid going forward."

      And then Parrish gives this caveat to would-be bargain hunters: "I think you should nibble, not really double-down here. Things could get a little weaker. If you don't have an overweight position in Industrials right now I think you should probably take one."

      Read More »from Buy the Broken Down Industrial Stocks: Fund Manager
    • Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, isn't one of those guests Nesto and I have to badger for opinions. Ask him a question and the long-time bear will tell you exactly what he thinks with vigor, even when he has an aching throat. Schiff thinks the U.S. is headed not just for a recession but rather a full-blown depression. On the upside, he believes the coming economic situation will look familiar.

      "The Depression [in the wake of the financial crisis] was temporarily interrupted by a bunch of stimulus which ultimately weakened the economy further," says Schiff. He adds the government's likely knee-jerk response of stimulating is, "probably going to be the fatal dose, the lethal dose" prior to "a complete economic collapse."

      Which is precisely why Schiff wasn't among those expecting a debt deal relief rally last Monday morning. The attention paid to the deal was a "massive victory for propaganda that would have done Goebbels proud" (yes, this Goebbels). Schiff believes the

      Read More »from Double Dip Recession? More Like Depression Says Peter Schiff
    • The markets have been and are selling off hard. But you already know that. If you want a rundown of what caused this carnage, you can click back to our prior videos and columns. This piece is here to tell you what's happening now and help you deal with it.

      Let's break down the internals, then handle the bigger picture. To that end, Matt Nesto ran some numbers:

      * The VIX (^VIX) has climbed 30% over the past month. That sounds impressive but it only brings the index to somewhere in the low 20s. This is nothing compared to the 50 and beyond that accompanied the stock routs from the Internet bubble or financial crisis. Options traders were betting on this outcome in size, per Jon Najarian's conversation with me last week. (I spoke earlier with Jon. He says, in short, that the traders making the bet on a spike in vol got aggressive with it this morning and are taking off the trade now. Which is grossly simplified already but, to make it even more so, the options guys in the pit aren't betting on even more market panic setting in... at least for the moment.)

      * The Automakers, Banks & Diversified Financials are getting kicked in the face with a steel-toed boot. On average the groups are down 25% from recent highs and about 15% in the last month, most of it coming in the past 8 days.

      * Money is coming into Transports and Software, at least relative to the above sectors. Nesto notes the transports work well in a weak crude oil environment. Will they hold up to what seems to be a market bet on a crushing economic slowdown? Hey, I said they were relatively strong, not ripping higher.

      * The market drop is creating seemingly attractive yields, especially compared to the 10-year Treasuries' 2.5%. As I write, AT&T (T) is yielding 5.9%, Intel (INTC) 4% and Pfizer (PFE) gets you 4.2%. It's not my bag, but if you're one of those dividend fans, these things are probably tempting. Again, they aren't so much something I'd do with my money, but your style may vary.

      Which brings us to my style in general. I'm not talking about my rambling inability to stop speaking in metaphors, nor my  shaved head. I'm talking what to do in a sell-off. This isn't my first rodeo, folks. I lived through the Internet, LTCM and housing bubbles, and I'm still standing. I learned most of the below the hard way, and I'm giving this advice to you for free:

      Read More »from Rules for a Market Sell-Off: Don’t Panic!
    • If you own dollar-denominated assets, then you're a fool. It's really that simple in the black and white world of American fatalism that is the trademark thesis of Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital.

      "Unfortunately, because we raised the debt ceiling, because we continue to spend money, the cost of government is going to be born by those foolish enough to hold U.S. currency," Schiff tells Breakout.

      In fact, as much as the Wall Street pundits may attack him, Schiff's longstanding affection for gold and other non-U.S. assets has served him well. Accordingly, there's no strategic shift in sight from the man who's says economic Armageddon will come because the debt ceiling was raised, not because it (almost) wasn't.

      "You can't have a portfolio that's entirely gold and silver, and we don't," Schiff says, then lists foreign stocks, non-dollar denominated bonds, commodities and currencies as alternatives. But his go-to favorite, gold, still holds a special place in his heart and has lots more room to rise.

      "If you look at the value of U.S. stocks in terms of gold, the Dow peaked in 2000 at about 43 ounces. We're now at barely 7 ounces of gold for the Dow [7 x $1650 = 11,550]. Ultimately, I think we see that ratio come down closer to 1 to 1," he says. That would require either much more Dow decline, a lot more gold gains, or some combination of the two.

      Read More »from Avoid Disaster, Get Out of U.S. Assets: Peter Schiff

    Pagination

    (2,332 Stories)

    About Breakout

    Breakout is Yahoo! Finance’s daily all-out, roll-up-your-sleeves, dive-in, interactive investing show, offering fresh segments throughout the trading day. If you love making money, if you want to protect what you have, if you’re passionate about understanding these crazy markets, you’re in the right place.

    Investing 101

    Breakout Profiles

    DON'T MISS

    Subscribe and RSS

    [X]

    How to subscribe

    Roll over each section to subscribe using Add to My Yahoo! or RSS Feed feeds.

    Yahoo! News offers dozens of RSS feeds you can read in My Yahoo! or using third-party RSS news reader software. Click here to find out more about RSS and how you can use it with Yahoo! News.

    DISCLAIMER

    Merrill Lynch is not responsible for any content on this site.
     
    Recent Quotes
    Symbol Price Change % Chg 
    Your most recently viewed tickers will automatically show up here if you type a ticker in the "Enter symbol/company" at the bottom of this module.
    You need to enable your browser cookies to view your most recent quotes.
     
    Sign-in to view quotes in your portfolios.