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    • Steve Jobs is one of the greatest business leaders in American history. This isn't merely a function Jobs' unimaginable success at Apple (AAPL) since reclaiming the mantle of the company after a forced hiatus, but his entire body of work.

      Among Jobs's other successes is buying Pixar from George Lucas for $10 million in 1986, then selling the company to Disney (DIS) for $7.4 billion in 2006. The transaction made Jobs the largest shareholder in the Mouse House. Not bad for what amounted to a side-gig/ hobby.

      Even the man's missteps turned to gold. After leaving Apple in the mid '80's, Jobs founded NeXT Computer. Though technically advanced, NeXT was shunned by the mass market, received a tepid response from corporate users, and sold only 50,000 units. NeXT was widely regarded as a disappointment -- that is, until 1996, when Apple brought Jobs back into the fold by paying him nearly half a billion dollars.

      Jobs had, and indeed still has, a preternatural ability to understand the wants

      Read More »from Steve Jobs Steps Down: The New Picture
    • According to Merriam-Webster's dictionary ambivalence is "simultaneous and contradictory attitudes or feelings toward an object, person, or action." For Dan Fitzpatrick, the President of StockMarketMentor.com, it's all about the ambivalence-trade right now in the stock market. "There's no real conviction one way or the other," the former trader and hedge fund manager says. "There's just this ball of confusion going on where most traders are waiting for the next catalyst."

      And if you're looking to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech on Friday morning from Jackson Hole as a catalyst, make sure you're positioned to the downside. "I don't think that anything that Ben Bernanke says will be by itself, a reason to buy stocks," says Fitzpatrick, especially if we have rallied before hand. "The worst thing to happen would be to rally right into Friday and the Bernanke decision, because almost irrespective of what he says... the market would sell the news."

      While labeling the current investment climate as a really difficult time, Fitzpatrick suggests investors "zoom in on a few stocks or sectors that you know and that you really like because you're probably going to get a really good buying opportunity.'' And he says the same will soon hold true for gold, specifically if it dips to $1600 or less.

      "I am one of those guys that says the long-term trendline will support the price of gold," adding that this "hasn't been a blow-off top." Fitzpatrick calls himself a "buy and never sell gold guy" who agrees with Louise Yamada, well-known technical analyst who discussed gold on Breakout last week. Both think gold is headed significantly higher; up to $2,500/oz. next year then upwards of $5,000/oz. longer term.

      Nothing ambivalent about that call!

      Finally, a note from my co-host Jeff Macke updating his "Sell Today and Go Away" column from yesterday:

      In yesterday's column I discussed selling off my trading positions, not to be confused with long-term holdings. In my case, I refer to "core holdings" as names I've held for more than a year with fundamental stories which remain unchanged. I still think the bottom was put in at 1,100 on the S&P 500. But with the market over 5% higher than that point, the "easy money" trade may be done.

      Read More »from Why Bernanke Is a Lose-Lose Trade
    • It was fun while it lasted, but it looks as though the gold trade is finally unwinding. The precious metal booked a record high close just two days ago, settling at $1,891.90 an ounce on Monday. Today it took a fast and furious 5.6% dive to close at $1,757.30/oz; its biggest single-day drop since March 2008.

      What's been curious about the recent rush to gold is that gold mining stocks weren't taken along for the ride higher. "There's long been a knock on the miners," says Ryan Detrick of Schaeffer's Investment Research. "Gold is making multi-year highs but the miners aren't."

      A simple comparison chart shows spot Gold leading the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) by about 30% on a year-to-date and 1-year basis. But as relative strength in miners improves and the world's favorite safe haven plunges, Detrick says it might be time for "a catch-up buy."

      There are many theories as to why the miners have lagged at a time when Gold and gold-linked funds like the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) have soared. "We're seeing that negative sentiment on gold miners in the options market. Analysts are wishy washy...by no means are analysts extremely bullish on miners. So there's contrarian thinking there," says Detrick. He points to Royal Gold (RGLD) as a favorite.

      Read More »from Gold Tumbles 5.6%: Are Mining Stocks the Next Big Trade?
    • I feel like I need to get in touch with my inner Bob Barker this morning, the legendary host of The Price is Right. After talking to Ryan Detrick, Senior Technical Strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research, and hearing him list a half dozen positive reasons to own stocks, his sentiment is still cautious as he waits for a better price.

      "Price action is the key," says Detrick from his office in Cincinnati. Usually, a better price would imply a lower or cheaper one, but this is not the case. As much as he's encouraged by earnings, unconcerned about inflation, emboldened by buybacks, and reassured that rates will stay low, he is ultimately unmoved by any of it until the S&P 500 gets back above the 1260 level, about 8.5% above current levels.

      Fueling this unease is Detrick's analysis of the options market, specifically the Put-Call Ratio. He says in good markets, money managers buy lots and lots of puts as a form of insurance on their investments and that causes the Put-Call Ratio to rise. Right now, it's falling and that gives Detrick reason for concern that in the short-term will see little rallies that attract more sellers then dips that attract buyers.

      "There's a lot of room to go lower to the previous major lows. So right here we're concerned that the hedge funds aren't putting their money to work and kind of know that market is weak. So for us, it's kind of dicey here," he says. "The bears appear to be in control."

      Read More »from Stocks Pare Gains As “the Bears Appear to Be in Control” Says Technical Strategist

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