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    • The day was January 6, 1999. President Bill Clinton had just been impeached by the House of Representatives, John Elway and the Denver Broncos were cruising through the AFC playoffs en route to their second consecutive Super Bowl victory, and Apple's (AAPL) then interim CEO Steve Jobs was wowing MacWorld with iMacs that came in five colors. It was also the first time the S&P 500 crossed and closed above 1,25o.

      Investors were not only on the cusp of the tech bubble (and burst) but were embarking on what would ultimately become a lost decade for stocks. Lost, that is, unless you had the foresight to buy and hold in the emerging markets (EEM). If so, you'd be up somewhere in the neighborhood of 350 percent today, instead of starting all over again from scratch.

      And it is for this very reason that Cabot Money Management's President & CIO Rob Lutts has hitched his wagon to the developing world once again. It's one of the three bull markets that he says is still under way, and investors should gain exposure to (if you haven't already).

      "Wealth and power are moving from West to East," Lutts says, adding that this is one of the rare times that you can get better growth rates and better valuations from emerging markets. "Investors need exposure there [China, Brazil, India]," Lutts says, and the recent pullback offers an opportunity to get on board. Emerging markets "belong in everybody's portfolio."

      Read More »from 3 Bull Markets to Invest in Now
    • I'm sick of being bearish. So... very... sick of it.

      Bearishness is an insidious beast of mindset. Too much bearishness gives you a creeping case of cynicism that washes over everything you see. Not the fun cynicism where all things are equal and every pomposity is a chance to laugh. The ugly cynicism where everything is lame, and everyone except you and your friends is an idiot.

      Being bearish should be a temporary state. Like bullishness, only less friendly.

      Right now the bears are getting smug, and the market is starting to rally on bad news. It's time to consider, if only for a moment, that the world as we know it isn't about to come to a screeching halt just because the politicians we elect are thinking about "shutting down the government" or cutting off the services that our tax dollars pay for.

      Forget them. I want to talk to a bull. A credible market bull.

      So Breakout turned to Rob Lutts, the president and CIO of Cabot Money Management. Rob has five reasons why we can all relax just a wee little bit. For a change, I'm not going to push back, make snarky jabs or otherwise act the cynical, know-it-all, gas-bag permabear.

      Read More »from 5 Reasons to Stop Whining about Stocks
    • Dos Hombres: Two guys, two dour outlooks.

      "If you don't have anything nice to say don't say anything at all." It's a cute idea and a super policy for grade school kids, but whoever said it wasn't a financial commentator.

      Right now, we don't have nice things to say unless it's Nesto talking about the Boston Bruins.

      My burly Bostonian benchmate notes that what's been billed as an economic "soft-patch" is being revealed as an economic wasteland. And that's before the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey hit the tape. I'll save you the time it would take to look up what the Philly Fed measures exactly. Let's leave it at "manufacturing." The scale is negative 100 (manufacturing coming offline) to +100 (Booming, baby).

      The Philly Fed number was in the 40's in March. It was expected to come in somewhere between flat and +20 today. It came in at -7.7, the lowest reading since 2008 which, as old-timers will recall, wasn't a good time for the economy.

      Nesto points out that the same people calling for this nascent downturn to be transitory never saw the downturn coming in the first place. "A rut is nothing but a grave with both ends kicked out" he says. I believe that's Boston for "We're not in danger of a double-dip but only because we didn't get better in the first place."

      I kicked my segment off with a note on hubris. I said a lot of stuff which was essentially things I've said before phrased in a slightly different way. I'm not plagued by an absence of creativity. I'm plagued by a deep-seeded fear that Breakout viewers are going to get themselves hurt in this market.

      Read More »from Economic Data Slump: Time to Short the Market?
    • The U.S. government can choose one of two economic paths: Austerity or irrelevance. Our debt burden and money-happy efforts to avoid the icky parts of an economic crisis have left an economy virtually immune to stimulus yet devoid of actual growth in jobs or GDP.

      On the other hand, clamping down on stimulus in a world of 9% unemployment is the equivalent of shooting a man with a sucking chest wound in the foot to increase his ability to recover from trauma.

      "Pick your pain" says Paul Schatz of Heritage Capital.

      Despite facing what Schatz says is the most divided Fed of his lifetime "and maybe even all of our lifetimes," Bernanke & Co. are still "sitting on top of the financial food chain for the entire world." What's more, he says the "dollar is putting together a secular bull market."

      By arguing for a sustained dollar rally Schatz is taking the opposite side of recent Breakout guest Jim Rogers; a man bullish on the dollar for a trade and Apocalyptic on the greenback long-term. "Too much has been made of the dollar's decline," Schatz claims. It's an idea which gives little solace for American ex-pats paying $20 for a newspaper in France (albeit a nice idea for all of Americans in the very long term).

      Read More »from U.S. Must Choose Austerity or Irrelevance: Fund Manager

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    About Breakout

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