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    • The term Flash Crash didn't exist until May 6, 2010 when the spontaneous, inexplicable and dramatic 1,000-point plunge and subsequent rebound of the stock market left an indelible scar on investor psyche. There have been a few small but well-contained instances since then, but for the most part, the Flash Crash was a one day event.

      Speaking for myself, and an unscientific survey of friends and contacts in the business, no one believes that it won't happen again. In fact, at least one expert thinks it not only could happen again, he thinks it will happen again and will be so large and interconnected with other asset classes and exchanges, that he's coined the term "Splash Crash" to reflect the predicted spillover effect.

      "Our concern is, with extreme correlation between different asset classes - equities, futures, commodities, energy and foreign exchange - a flash crash in one asset class could spill over... this could lead to an even bigger crash" says John Bates, the Chief Technology Officer of Progress Software and consultant to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

      To be fair, the original Flash Crash spawned a six-month probe led by the Securities and Exchange Commission that resulted in a series of new trading limits or collars that halt trading when irregularities occur. So far, it has largely worked for the stock market, but experts like Bates think a lot more needs to be done in a lot more places.

      Read More »from “Splash Crash” Could Rock the Global Financial System: Security Consultant
    • OK, armchair quarterbacks, here's a real buy, sell or hold scenario for you: A well-known, large-cap company is down over 20% year to date and has slumped to an 18-month low, vastly underperforming its benchmark, which is essentially unchanged. What would you do?

      If you were portfolio manager John Carey with Pioneer Investments, a self-proclaimed value and contrarian investor, and the stock in question was Target (TGT), you'd be all over it. He says he's "not deterred that it (Target) has not performed well ... from my point of view that's where you want to be looking."

      Target clearly has lost its way. Whether that was due to efforts aimed at reaching down to consumers during hard times, a recent Wall Street Journal article suggested the retailer has lost its cachet and thus its unique ability to "mix mass with class" by focusing too much on food. But "time will tell ... I have confidence in their strategy and think it will work longer term," Carey argues.

      Next on the docket is Ford (F). The stock rallied hard out of the March 2009 lows, rising from $2 to $20 a share. But so far this year, Ford has seen a lot of selling and is down 17%. In this situation, Carey says he's "mainly impressed with management and the company's improving book value." Not only is he undaunted by Ford's just-announced expansion plans for China, Carey thinks the automaker has great prospects in Europe and improving market share in the United States.

      Read More »from Time to Rethink Unattractive Stocks Like Target, Ford & Microsoft: Fund Manager
    • Apologies up front to the tech geeks out there if this is old news, but for me, your average unsavvy computer user, it is awesome!

      Chances are you have at least heard of the term megabyte and gigabyte as it relates to your computer's memory space. Generally speaking, the bigger the number, the bigger the "brain" a particular device has. Now here's where it gets crazy. After gigabytes (1 billion bytes) come terabytes (1 trillion bytes), then petabytes , exabytes, zettabytes and yottabytes. Each level adds 3 more zeros to the previous level, rising it by a multiple of 1,000.

      For context, a new iPad comes with anywhere from 16 to 64 gigabytes of storage. It would take more than 6,250 base model iPads to get to one petabyte of storage space.

      While the data deluge is hardly a new trend, Breakout guest Josh Brown of TheReformedBroker.com and vice president of investments at Fusion Analytics explains that there's "exponential growth that is mind blowing" and offers different angles to play it as an investment. "In 2008, in terms of all digital data output, we're talking 180 exabytes. An exabyte is one billion gigabytes. There are estimates out there that by 2020 we could be talking about 35,000 exabytes," says Brown.

      So where do companies store all of this information, how do they format it, analyze it and so on?

      Read More »from Data Explosion Underway! Buy “Big Data” Storage Stocks: Brown
    • It must be the Meredith Vieira effect, because I can't help applying her Today Show send-off tune Don't Stop Believing, to the optimistic outlook of Jim Paulsen, Wells Capital Management's chief investment strategist.

      Rome is burning, baby, and Macke and I are loath to step in front of it. But Paulsen, in all his scruffy Minnesotan glory, continues to have his feet planted firmly on the soft patch and is looking forward to rising estimates and up to 4% GDP growth in the second half of 2011.

      Right now, Paulsen says he's "looking at the cyclicals. The stuff that's really getting beat up." And even though he says the market could stay sloppy all summer or take off next week, his line of sight arcs six months into the future -- a future he predicts will bring economic improvement, positive earnings revisions and people running to get back into cyclicals.

      If you're not quite ready to wrestle a bear market to the ground, then Paulsen's other strategy might suit you well. "My favorite is the emerging markets (EEM) right now," he says, adding that they've just begun to thaw from their longest post-recovery slump. He adds that emerging market central banks have been tightening for a year to keep their economies from overheating and "they've succeeded in creating a soft-landing ... and the market is already picking up on this." As they announce that their tightening is done, he thinks "emerging markets will lead again."

      Read More »from Buy Cyclicals and Emerging Markets Ahead of the Upcoming Rebound: Paulsen

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