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    • Gold and silver prices are down big, hitting new multi-year lows to start off the week. Retail investors still clinging to the idea that the decline in precious metals was transitory have been getting battered in 2013 with the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETFs falling 19% and 27% respectively.

      Louise Yamada, head of LY Technical Research Advisors, says the glitter twins of trading need to rebuild from the ground up, a process that will take years. "It's like a steel ball wrecking crane coming through your house; it's going to take time for the mason, the carpenter and electrician to put it all back together."

      Yamada gently suggests it might be time to consider the possibility that the enormous bull run might not be resting. It could be dead. "The chart is still broken," Yamada insists. Whether you're a chartist or think of technical analysis to be voodoo, breakdowns are easy to understand in human terms. As an asset recovers disappointed buyers come in and sell every move higher, thankful just to get out alive.

      The best case scenario for gold bulls is that the recent lows hold, allowing some sort of consolidation in the charts. $1,539 is where gold broke down and $1,321 is the trading low made in April. The latter mark is under fire today. Should gold close under that support expect another round of panic selling.

      Read More »from Time for Gold Bulls to Abandon Hope: Yamada
    • There's a flippant retort used in investment circles in which mistaken fund managers proclaim: "I wasn't wrong, I was just early." It's used to vindicate a miscalculation as being the result of bad timing rather than bad judgment. Despite its rather corny and cliched premise, it is used more often than you would think.

      In fact, Don Hays, the founder of Hays Advisory Group, points out that the excuse is being widely used right now by red-faced investors who are reacting too early to fears about the Federal Reserve tapering its bond buying program.

      "After being in this business 42 years, how many times have I heard that?" Hays asks in the attached video of current concerns about teh Fed unwinding its $85 billion monthly quantitative easing program. "We have a long way to go before you have to worry about that."

      In a recent not to client, Hays argues it will take years for the current monetary policy environment to deteriorate from near perfect conditions today to a point where it could threaten the bull market. And even when the Fed inevitably does begin to taper, Hays says it won't be as if the accommodative spigot just gets turned off completely.

      Read More »from Fear of Fed Tapering is Overblown, Years Too Early: Hays
    • It's hard to believe but a year ago at this time everyone cared about Facebook (FB). The company was culturally relevant. The idea of owning the stock had investors giddy pre-IPO and miserable literally a day later. The only question was not if but how the geniuses at Facebook were going to make inroads into mobility while maximizing profits from conventional desktop users.

      As it turned out, Facebook's didn't have any real idea how to address mobile. What they've done is use the $16 billion of IPO proceeds to throw money into an abyss of laughably bad initiatives and promotional events designed to convince advertisers that users of Facebook mobile apps aren't turned off by product placements.

      To be fair every ad-based internet company on earth has the same problem. The others get a pass on their efforts to crack the code on "monetization" because they don't have much riding on mobile bets and haven't been as splashily inept in their efforts.

      In January FB hyped up what was supposed to be a game changing new pillar of their business model. The result was Graph Search. Suffice it to say Google (GOOG) remains the market leader in search.

      A month ago at another over-hyped event as Facebook unleashed Home. It was a product that was teased to be a Facebook Phone and turned out to be little more than an app that hijacked user's phones. To say customers disliked Home is to suggest they cared about it at all. Fewer than .1% of Facebook users have downloaded Home and the product is reportedly being overhauled.

      Read More »from Failbook: 1 Year After IPO, Troubles Remain
    • There are simply no safe havens anymore and investors know it. In three short weeks, the 10-year Treasury yield has gone from 1.6% to 2.0% and in doing so, has gouged four percent off of the price of these ''super safe'' assets in the blink of an eye. Gold (GLD) has had an even worse month than bonds, shedding over seven percent just this month alone.

      At the same time, stocks continue to be the only wining hand in town. Even though the ride has been delightful, owning equities is still nerve wracking.

      "Everyone is looking for non-correlated ways to offset risk in portfolios, to offset all the ups and downs," says Tom Lydon, editor of ETF Trends in the attached video. "As long as everyone is long, you have that risk," he adds, crystallizing the What-do-I-do? dilemma investors are grappling with lately.

      Not long ago, the answer to this problem fell almost exclusively into the laps hedge funds, but Lydon says things have changed in the past few years, and now, more than ever, individuals have the ability to do themselves what they used to have to outsource to the professionals.

      "What's happened is, the average investor just isn't up for the risk anymore," Lydon says, highlighting one of the key reasons why so-called alternative ETFs are experiencing massive growth, including MLPs, REITs, Commodities, Alternative Energy and leveraged funds.

      Read More »from Are ETFs Disrupting the Hedge Fund Industry?

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