Sun, Feb 26, 2012, 8:22 AM EST - U.S. Markets closed

Breakout

Austerity Coming to America: How to Reduce Your Risk Now

If you ask me, it is completely understandable to feel detached and removed -- even bored -- with the debt ceiling and deficit negotiations in Washington. But it is also completely unacceptable, especially if you see a dire future like Jeff Cox, the co-author of Debt, Deficits and the Demise of the American Economy. Cox not only predicts the crisis ahead, but paints a way to get through it and the coming wave of austerity and inflation.

"For the person looking to prepare for retirement, who's got a long-term investment horizon -- it's gonna mean minimization of risk in the portfolio," Cox says and then lists short-term bonds, dividends, best-of-show stocks, commodities and tangible assets like oil, timber, farmland and even real estate. "You are looking for assets that are going to grow. Things that will stand up in an inflationary environment because that's where we believe we are headed," he explains.

In fact, Cox believes most of the so-called professional prognosticators who have been talking of "soft patches and transitory things" are using "staid, stale, old thinking that's not prepared for something of this magnitude." As such, he says retirement-planning calculators that might factor in 8 percent to 10 percent average annual returns need to be recalibrated in to the low single digits.

And even as we fix the problem, which inevitably will involve some degree of belt-tightening, Cox says that will exacerbate the problem. "We're locked into a very slow-growing economy right now," he says, and "the type of spending cuts we're going to have to do are not going to be extremely growth-friendly and will act as headwinds."  This will not only hinder our ability to control our debt and deficits, but more importantly, to painlessly grow our way out of our problems as we always have in the past.

"The day of reckoning is here. We talk so much about debt and deficits, about how it puts a burden on our children and grandchildren. But now we are the children and the grandchildren, we are the people that are going to have to pay the bill," says Cox. And THAT is why YOU need to pay attention and take action to protect yourself and your financial future, starting right now.

Are we doomed as a nation? Have you made changes to your long-term plans and strategy as a result of the rocky path ahead of us?

Love to hear your comments and feedback below, via email at breakoutcrew@yahoo.com, or you can reach me on Twitter, @MattNesto.

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34 comments

  • Tups  •  7 months ago
    I can write a check to cover all of the debt in the world, which will fix all the problems. Just don't cash it.
  • A Yahoo! User  •  7 months ago
    inflation adjusted per-capita GDP is much higher now than when Clinton was in charge. We're not poor, just stupid. Unfortunately, the effects are the same....
  • ybot48  •  7 months ago
    Regardless of actions taken to resolve our country's debt situation, one thing can be assumed to take place -- the rich will become richer and the midddle-class and poor will become poorer in the years ahead.
  • Jimbo55  •  7 months ago
    sooo:
    What do you do if you are retired. BOnd rates are in the toilet, CD rates are abismal, and stocks are risky. What else is there.
    We are both 66 years old and have done some things at least correctly. We at least have no debt, When we retired we also made some mistakes, our home is paid for but we purchased a vacation home (also with no debt) but that home has probably dropped 1/3rd in value. The only positive is that we continue to use it and hope to wait out the housing market debacle (here in Az. it may take 10-15years). So, what do we do. We have 25% in several cd's at an average of 4.5% all maturing in about 21/2 years. We have another 25%k in short term bonds and treasuries, with 45% in equities and the remainder in cash value of a life insurance policy(about $30k) and some even smaller amounts in cash.We do have a broker who we trust.but am still concerned over our risk. Included in the above is 100k in an immediate annuity (invested in bonds, stocks,etc.This vehicle has not been annuitized yet and I can withdraw it at a cost of $7k Youch. However, it was set up about 21/2 years ago and has increased in value over that time by about 30%.Anyhow, I do not know where to go from here. At my age I should be more into fixed investments but I see no way to get a decent return.THe short term bonds actually have done bettter than I anticipated but I am still concerned over their risk if interest rates rise.
  • Eleanor  •  7 months ago
    Who reviews the reviewer?
  • Rob  •  7 months ago
    You and your employer pay into SS all of your working career. Then when it comes time to collect, they want to take it away from you. What is to prevent this sorry government from taking anything or everything from you? What is to prevent them from taking your 401K savings from you? What is to prevent them from taking your home from you, to turn over to illegals, whom they obviously hold in higher regard than the citizens of this country?

    The government never contributed one lousy red cent to SS, so what gives them the right to take it from those who have contributed? Folks, this is criminal.....and where will their criminal activities stop?
  • VOTE 'EM OUT  •  7 months ago
    2 middle east wars paid by middle class & started by politicians on coporate payrolls. What you think that Big Business did not reap huge profits from the wars & they are the ones not feeling the PINCH NOW? Just reported this week Goldman Sachs, during the bailout rec. the majority of funds. Strange how so many Goldman past employees have responsible jobs in Washington? Reported just last week US gvt. can't find many billions of our taxpayer's dollar given by our people, on the ground in Iraq, to rebuild their country. Thought once the oil was flowing that money would repay what we spent their, not to forget the thousands of our citizens lives lost!!!!! Since this country invested so much in this part of the world, you'de think those gvt.s would lower the cost of crude by half, since we saved their skins. What is going on in Washington, DC these days must have our founding Fathers turning in their GRAVES. FORSHAME!!!!!!
  • Mozart  •  7 months ago
    If you have been in the market for 20 years, your avg, compounded annual earnings after taxes is barely 2.3%. So you can throw out that 8% ROR. Add in real inflation in the 6% range, and you are basically breaking even. This only applies to the middle class though. if you are in the top 1%, your are gaining about 10% per year, and that is after taking into account inflation. It's good to be at the top.
  • blame yourself  •  7 months ago
    this guy has a clue

    we lack political prudence to take corrective measures

    right now government by its sheer size is hindering recovery

    america can no longer bully the world so its government is bullying its own economy for its own benefit

    big government is now the problem not the solution
  • Karen V  •  7 months ago
    Yes, thanks to the out of control spending of one Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi, et al.

    Obama is trying his best to unravel the country. He is doing a pretty dang good job of destroying our economy.
  • Kathy  •  7 months ago
    Austerity is coming to America - unless you are a union member - or a government worker (fed, city or state) -
    If I lose some of my social security - will union members or govt workers lose the same percentage of their pension?
  • Edward pollard  •  7 months ago
    NWO is coming fools- World Debt slaves- thats what all the GOYIM will be!! - listen to the videos on this page 1 and especially 2 - they are now telling you durrrrrrrr.
  • Gerhard  •  7 months ago
    Reality is that most of the problems we face right now with respect to deficits and the federal, state and local level stem from the reality that progressive taxation failed miserably in this recession. We had a collapse in tax revenue from the rich and the solution the Democrats have is just to tax them even more so we can have even bigger disasters in the future and likely less tax revenue from the rich.

    If we can get an agreement on SS and tie Medicare in the age requirement and progressive benefits (like through a voucher that maximizes the outlays per recipient), then we can get some of the long term trends undercontrol.

    All that will be required then is a ditch our current corrupt, ineffective and recently proven faulty tax code with a simpler tax tied to consumption (i.e. GDP) that would apply to corporations as well as individuals. Then the foreign companies will no longer get HUGE tax benefits from not having to pay taxes on their goods here in the US. Revenue won't dip when we only have a minor contraction in GDP like in this supposed great recession that really was only a 2.5% contraction that was quickly overcome leading to new record levels of GDP (even inflation adjusted).
  • Hope and Change  •  7 months ago
    Don't you think the real problem is that past socialists like FDR and LBJ made commitments that can't be kept. Now we get the supreme Socialist as President and it is finally unraveling. He should pardon Bernie Madoff and appoint him as Treasury Secretary. He might be able to put it back in a jar for a couple of more years.
  • Karen V  •  7 months ago
    Unless the Obama Zombies wake the heck up, the U.S. is doomed. But, you know, it was predicted in the Bible. A One World Government, One World Religion. There is but ONE WAY to Salvation, and that is Jesus Christ. For God so loved the world that He gave His only begotten Son, that whosoever believes in Him should not perish but have everlasting life. John 3:16
  • truth  •  7 months ago
    What are we to think/do? Dos Hombres keep having these guests, who, on the surface appear rather credible. Then look at what the market is doing..................
  • AlphaAlbNY  •  7 months ago
    Christ - people on Wall Street actually identified a new norm when it comes to "this time" being different than past recessions. This recovery has only ever been on paper - not practicality.
  • the fulish bastid  •  7 months ago
    Dear God! Reading the comments around here it has become evident that America has become a nation of whiny b!+(#es.
    OH the unions this! Government employees that! whaaaaa whaaaaa!

    GROW A PAIR AMERICA!
  • JB  •  7 months ago
    Audit the Fed.
  • Bill  •  7 months ago
    To the blogger Jim H. You say you are 66 years old. Are you "into" stretching? Because bend over and put your head between your legs and kiss your behind.

    There is going to be much "darkness and gloom" financially in this society. No matter how much financial manipulation you try to maneuver. Think survivalist mode, because that is where it is going no matter how many people they put forth to say otherwise.

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