Wed, May 23, 2012, 12:52 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 8 hrs 38 mins

Bernanke Must Get Out of Crisis Mode: Paulsen

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When Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke makes his way to Capitol Hill for two days of testimony on Wednesday and Thursday, he better be ready to appease both sides of the aisle --those who believe in a sustainable economic recovery and those who still fear the possibility of recession. The man behind our uber-timid monetary policy, the acronym "QE" (quantitative easing), and the visionary who predicted key interest rates will stay near zero through 2014, has a growing dossier of improving economic data to contend with that contradicts his nervous policy stance.

The Fed chief typically faces his fair share of grilling at these semi-annual Congressional events, but this week Wall Street will be on high alert for any signs that Bernanke is changing his mind.

"They need to get out of that crisis mindset," says Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management, who thinks an about-face on the policy front is overdue. "I mean, do you really think we'd be worrying about Greece in this country if we had a legitimate crisis to worry about? I don't think you can any longer argue that the U.S. economy needs crisis policy."

Paulsen highlights no less than 10 different indicators he thinks make the Fed's zero interest rate policy look outdated. They include employment, low inflation, housing, auto sales, bank loans, and even surging oil prices which are up on Middle East tensions but also due to improved global demand.

That's not to say Paulsen thinks we are home free. On the contrary, he is the first to say the U.S. economy still has a long way to go in its recovery.

"I think they need to back away from crisis policy, start to re-normalize monetary policy, start to realign it more with the maturation of this recovery," he says adding if they don't, they risk creating the next crisis: inflation.

To be clear, Paulsen isn't looking for a drastic or sudden tightening by the Fed and is reluctant to say specifically where rates should be. At this point, he would settle for a simple acknowledgment by Bernanke and baby steps towards normalization.

Do you think the Fed's policy is appropriate for the present economic situation or are they too cautious and falling behind the curve? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below or visit us on Facebook.

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114 comments

  • westerner  •  2 months ago
    The Fed excludes fuel and food costs in their "core inflation" computation, so they will always have an ostrich approach to inflation and understate it. Right now, oil prices are ripping this economy apart, and they don't even pick it up on their radar.
    • big bopper 2 months ago
      I think they do include them in calculations for inflation. They just don't use them in the "core index inflation" because it would mean true inflation figures for Social Security payment. Like having your cake and eating it also.
    • xtra 2 months ago
      also house price inflations.. are excluded (30 years.)..or deflation (?)
  • TheOpinionatedBoomer  •  2 months ago
    Thank you Mr. Paulsen for your recommendation to Mr. Bernanke to raise the fed rate to at least 1%. Mr. Bernanke has hurt many, many saver's with his ridiculous 0% policy. And he has also hurt the economy with his actions. When saver's are getting nothing in return for their bank deposit's, they have nothing extra to spend. That alone prevents a financial recovery.
    • xtra 2 months ago
      who would invest with government after being forced to spend because of zero interest rate policy, lose...and seing no break even points....
  • StockPikr  •  Malvern, Pennsylvania  •  2 months ago
    I think the current Fed Policy of 0% short-term rates is counter-productive. They are not encouraging borrowing and they eliminate income from a large group of people that rely on interest bearing investments for income. 0-percent rates are for panic situations. I'd prefer to see short rates back to at least "historically low" levels of 2 to 2.5%. The Fed has always seemed slow to raise rates. This time, they are way behind the curve.
    • A Yahoo! user 2 months ago
      Should not set monetary policy by demographics, but rather economics. Low rates are trying to discourage people from depending on interest income, which can tie up large amounts of capital in non-productive capacity. Instead it encourages them to invest in businesses, which grows the economy.
    • Free4Ever 2 months ago
      How is investment not a productive capacity???? Money in the bank is lent to small businesses, lent in mortgages, student loans. Use your brain. Not 85 year olds should open businesses, but banks give money to qualified recipients, loser.
    • xtra 2 months ago
      interest income does not tie money in non productivity, it is loaned out by bankss ....perhaps you are right..? certainly literate...
  • DON P  •  Costa Mesa, California  •  2 months ago
    America voted for this 1%er labor pool (washington) that knows whats best for you.
  • Fisherman  •  2 months ago
    He's an Idiot
    • montgomery 2 months ago
      He's not an idiot. He's and EVIL MAN who is intent on destroying the America we once knew.
  • jim  •  Atlanta, Georgia  •  2 months ago
    They should have this talk about the lack of inflation after they fill up with gas , drive to the store and walk down the meat isle and see what ground beef , chicken , turkey and something I`ve not had in a long time a good steak costs these days. I`d be ashamed if I were them.
    • xtra 2 months ago
      exactly horsesheet
  • JERRYR  •  2 months ago
    Amazing...that no one in the administration or congress ever give any thought to the effect on long terms savers and how low interest rates will affect their future. In fact how they will reduce their spending and slow the recovery.
  • Ryan  •  2 months ago
    There's a lot of factors to consider, so I hesitate to say whether or not the FED is on the ball, but one thing I would like to add is that the more debt we accumulate, the more sensitive we become to inflation. Right now, our 2% 10-year bond yield is costing us $400 billion a year. If that merely doubles, it will take nearly 3% out of our GDP unless we borrow even more, pushing interest rates up even faster.
  • Mr.Brooks  •  Columbus, Ohio  •  2 months ago
    When the FED manipulates it s call monetary policy. When we manipulate its call fraud.
  • jack  •  Hampton, Virginia  •  2 months ago
    What?Bernanke is going to shut down the printing presses and stop DEVALUING the dollar? NO, i dont believe it1 This market is FAKE,and the dow is JACKED UP!
  • Tommy  •  2 months ago
    ALERT, ALERT, Bernanke just gave a green light for corporations across the US to raise prices by 20 to 30%! Very, very bullish to inflate!
  • Michael  •  2 months ago
    There should be no Fed. For an organization to have the ability to just create all of the money that it wants to out of thin air, and then loan it to the US government (and effectively the rest of us) at interest, that is just a road to disaster. It should be obvious, but it's been going on for 100 years already. I don't understand how the people running the country, or the rest of us who vote for them, think that it is a good idea.
  • Money  •  2 months ago
    He just gave Euro banks another 1 trillion last night.
  • ted  •  Santa Monica, California  •  2 months ago
    "appease both sides of the aisle" and here I thought they were supposed to be independant
  • JM  •  2 months ago
    The Fed needs to keep interest rates low, as they overspend and need to borrow $1.5 trillion each year! Also each President wants to be remembered for the 1000's of points they add to the DOW. They do not care that a whole class of people who rely on fixed income securities gets destroyed in the process.
  • TheOpinionatedBoomer  •  2 months ago
    Not Soon Enough!
  • A Yahoo! User  •  2 months ago
    "Just another day on Wall Street" Goldman Sachs Group Inc. faces litigation related to its offering materials on $214 million in MF Global convertible notes. The suits, which seek class action status, allege that the offering materials failed to adequately describe MF Global's exposure to sovereign debt.
  • Joe  •  2 months ago
    Easy Money = Inflation... which impacts the poor and middle class w/ higher prices... It's really doesn't matter for the Rich, they can afford it.. Tighten things up to help bring down prices of OIL. Demand levels is like it was in 1997. Clearly there is a problem w/ demand/supply
  • Free4Ever  •  2 months ago
    Why is not in JAIL already?
  • JDanAmerican  •  2 months ago
    Paulsen and Bernanke aparently don't drive or eat....," he says adding if they don't, they risk creating the next crisis: inflation." Go to the grocery store or buy gas.....the inflation ship has sailed, you fools.

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