Wed, May 23, 2012, 1:25 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 8 hrs 5 mins

Gold Is Heading to $2,500: Nenner

In rocky times and emotional markets there's something calming about speaking to a pure chartist. If not calming at the very least decisive. Specific levels, tight stops, limited banter; a refreshing change from the debate on downgrades and enfeebled government agencies.

So it was with a sense of easygoing mellow that Breakout spoke to Professor Charles Nenner, Head of the Charles Nenner Research Center. We hit him up to tell us where he sees the future of the Big Three trading vehicles that aren't the Dow, S&P 500, or Nasdaq. Here's a summary of what Nenner had to say:

* Gold: It's going to $2,500 an ounce. "Our long term price target is two-and-a-half thousand," he says, adding that he doesn't think it's a straight shot from here. Inasmuch as $2,500 is 50% from here, Gold really doesn't need to get there in the immediate term, though that will seem conservative to the gold bugs in our audience.

* Dollar: There are two camps on the US Dollar. One group who says the greenback is headed for a steep fall, the other who says the world has nowhere else to go. Put Nenner in camp two. "The world is going to be stuck with the United States (whether we're) Triple A, Double A or Single A." Nenner scoffs at the Euro, suggesting it's not even clear the Euro is long for this world. On that the Professor and I can agree.

* Crude Oil: Nenner had an $86.50 target on WTI Crude, which was reached on Friday and was blown through today. I tried to get him to bite on the idea that a drop in crude would be nice for the consumer, but Nenner refused to see the glass has half full. He believes that crude is only going lower because of a crushing global demand slowdown. Let's just say we both have a point.

There you have it; short, sweet and to the point. Just like a chartist should be.

Breakout Asks

Do you think Facebook (FB) will end this year above or below its IPO price of $38 a share?

Loading...
Poll Choice Options
  • Yes, FB will recover
  • No, FB is too unstable
 

130 comments

  • Give Left a Chance  •  9 months ago
    All those with gold teeth ........................ sleep with one eye open and windows barred.
  • NORMANL  •  9 months ago
    Gold will be go to $2500 but how long will it take. Only thing I don't like about gold is no income while you are waiting for $2500.
    • Sharp 9 months ago
      You usually don't get income from stocks either until you sell... hopefully at a profit.
    • Frank 9 months ago
      Up for the last 10 years and climbing. Sell at $2000.
    • mike 9 months ago
      you can always take profits.
  • Mr. B  •  9 months ago
    Silver will have it's run. The World banks can't depress it forever!
  • Jack  •  9 months ago
    Could someone please tell me what the hell is going on with silver??? Where is our 16 to 1 ratio to the price of gold? Silver should be over $100 / ounce now......not $39. Can someone explain please???
    • AbolishTheFED 9 months ago
      JP Morgan Chase price manipulation...paper silver is being bought and sold on the market causing price changes. Only buy physical silver...paper silver like SLV and contracts are a scam.
    • FriendswoodTX31 9 months ago
      It is primarily an inddustrial use metal. If oil falls, so will silver. It is very hard to take physical control of large amounts of silver. it is just not a practical investment tool. Try moving 25,000 ounces.
    • jaykay 9 months ago
      be patient my friend. silver is an industrial metal as well and therefore will be less in demand during slow economic times... platinum and palladium as well. give it time though. silver will begin to shine as a safe haven soon enough. just hold on to what you've got and take advantage of the "disconnect" by buying more. i'm buying much more silver as we speak and i'm still nibbling on gold but the big bang for the buck will come in silver a bit down the road. be confident in your beliefs. you're definitely in the right arena. all fiat "paper" money" ends up worthless. you're watching it happen right before your eyes.
  • Kanwarjeet Singh  •  9 months ago
    No it's not going to $2500 - bloody speculators always creating a hype. Goldman said oil would goto $200 when it was at $130 - it crashed!! Goldman made a ton of money on shorting oil. S&P made a ton of money shorting the market by announcing a downgrade. The same hype with gold. Gold goes back to $1100-1200 once US economy improves - which it has to eventually given how weak the dollar - making US more competitive.
    • RicK X 9 months ago
      I see gold ending up around 1000-1200 by year end
  • Stefan  •  9 months ago
    Gold's silent partner - silver - has brought me a higher ROI in the last decade.
  • Old Geezer  •  9 months ago
    Clean Water is the real Gold. Just ask anybody in the lower Mekong Delta!
  • steve r  •  9 months ago
    It is funny and sad that some of these folks say "gold has no real value" Please describe the "real value" of that $1 bill in your wallet? "Gold at $2500" they say is crazy...and yet adjusted for inflation (loss of dollars value) it should be over $2500 now. When I sell a gold coin at any coin shop, I ALWAYS get more than the market price, so when you go shopping, do not be surprised to pay more than today's $1720 price. Can't afford gold; buy silver as we actually use it everyday around the world...you will be smarter than that $1 in your wallet as it's price today is 90 cents....and dropping
  • Valhalla360  •  9 months ago
    Reminds me of the old price is right game with the little guy who climbs the hill. The trick is getting him to stop before he falls off the ledge. If things stay wacky, we may hit $2500 but somewhere in the near future, gold will drop like a rock and there will be no warning.
    • RicK X 9 months ago
      yep...if U have gold U may think it will keep moving up...this world needs suckers
      for a few greedy people to make millions
  • Army Two  •  9 months ago
    direct treath to the economy and consumer spending is the(manipulated) oil prices
  • rdfcoins  •  9 months ago
    Silver is a much more manipulated market. Silver is being heavily shorted right now. It has nothing to do with fundamentals. Physical gold and gold stocks are the way to go right now. Central banks throughout the world are currently stockpiling physical gold. I cashed almost completely out of the stock market a few years ago to take profits. I would advise the same right now. If you do not, you will lose a ton of money.
  • Bright Bart's Ghost  •  9 months ago
    Gold will get to $2,500. The economy is in for very trying times over the next 18 months.

    Separately, did anyone else notice the disdain on the moderator's face when he asked if it was time to abandon hope that oil would skyrocket again (and instead be "good for the consumer")? When exactly is that not good for the economy? If gas prices fall $1 per gallon, many families could see $50-100 a month in extra spending money. That's a lot for many households.

    In my opinion, oil should NEVER be traded on the open market. I'm okay if they want to set prices and review them every 6 months (sort of like the FED does with interest rates). As the Saudis said during the last run-up in oil prices, the fixed cost of pumping oil out of the ground doesn't fluctuate that much. They said they would be happy seeing it in the mid-$70s per barrel. Honestly, if it meant more stability in gas (and therefore food) prices, let them have it!

    None of us have any control over what the world's power-brokers are going to do (to us). If they want to jick the prices, fine! Nothing we can do. But when Joe Wall Street is looking for a new Ferrari next quarter, I don't want the dollars I'm paying at the gas pump to subsidize it!
  • dan  •  9 months ago
    The same way investors have always turned to the dollar in time of crisis because they have no other place to go,they will continue to turn to gold as long as the future of the usa politically and economically remain in doubt,why? because there's no other place to go.there is no way our economy will recover under our present political and economic system in the short term.After the great depression of 1929 it took 10 years and a second world war to restart economic growth and our national debt was a fraction of what it is today.
  • We The People  •  9 months ago
    I just drove by the casino and the parking lot was full. No market meltdown there.
  • Ronnie G  •  9 months ago
    SILVER WILL BE $100 THIS YEAR ,COMMON SENSE JEWELRY STORES ARE NOT BUYING GOLD ,SILVER IS THE NEW GOLD..GOLD IS LIKE PLATINUM.
  • GROG  •  9 months ago
    AH EAT BEARS FOR LUNCH!

    YUMMY YUMMY, BEAR GOOD FOOD!
  • Dave  •  9 months ago
    Hang on Jack it's coming! Give the ETF's time to adjust. They aren't going to let poor man's gold get to high to fast. It's truly the last cash cow they can milk by manipulation. The 3-7% daly swings and 10% plus two day drops will tell what's happening. Nobody owning physical silver sells and they buy more on the price drops. The electronic silver price will adjust to the real market value soon enough. I'd put money on it. Oh and I have.
  • Crazy Eyes  •  9 months ago
    That's funny, the nay sayers said it would crash at $1100, then $1200, then $1300.......hmmmmm......I'll just keep buying cause I don't know any better.
  • Sporky McCrackin  •  9 months ago
    I don't know if gold is going to $2,500 but it's unlikely to go much lower. Costs of mining are going up and miners can shut down if they can't produce at a profit. At least gold is a pretty safe buy at the current price.
  • H-man  •  9 months ago
    what a bunch of morons.....I just sold 20 kuggs for 1600 plus each that i originally bought forunder 400 each......I took the cash and recarpeted my new house top to bottom and bought allnew doors and windows for the place etc....over 30K worth of improvements and my originalcost for the coins was around 11k.......sure i know if the world goes to hell I cant eat my coins butthe point is along the way I can cash them in and buy things that I need at a fraction of my costa few years ago.....life is not and endgame there are thousands of stops along the way. Who wants to freakin eat gold.....I will trade it for food and eat the #$%$ food....

ABOUT BREAKOUT

Breakout is Yahoo! Finance’s daily all-out, roll-up-your-sleeves, dive-in, interactive investing show, offering fresh segments throughout the trading day. If you love making money, if you want to protect what you have, if you’re passionate about understanding these crazy markets, you’re in the right place. Welcome!

MEET THE TEAM: Matt Nesto, Jeff Macke, Aaron Task, Jennifer Carinci and Kevin Chupka

Investing 101

Subscribe and RSS

[X]

How to subscribe

Roll over each section to subscribe using Add to My Yahoo! or RSS Feed feeds.

Yahoo! News offers dozens of RSS feeds you can read in My Yahoo! or using third-party RSS news reader software. Click here to find out more about RSS and how you can use it with Yahoo! News.

DISCLAIMER

Merrill Lynch is not responsible for any content on this site.
 
Recent Quotes
Symbol Price Change % Chg 
Your most recently viewed tickers will automatically show up here if you type a ticker in the "Enter symbol/company" at the bottom of this module.
You need to enable your browser cookies to view your most recent quotes.
 
Sign-in to view quotes in your portfolios.