Wed, May 23, 2012, 1:26 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 8 hrs 4 mins

Gold Prices at 4-Week High on China Demand

Strong buying demand out of China pushes gold higher for a second day, rising 0.5% to $1,639.60 an ounce. Despite a rise in the dollar index, gold bullishness prevailed on record imports from Hong Kong ahead of the Chinese New Year later this month.

Gold prices are up 2% so far this week, now sitting at a 4-week high. The precious metal also closed above the 200-day moving average of $1,632.69 an ounce; signaling what could be a significant shift in sentiment.

Several major Wall Street firms are expecting prices near or above $2,000/oz in 2012. Here are a few of those gold targets:

Goldman Sachs: $1,940/oz.

Morgan Stanley: $2,200/oz.

Citi: $2,400/oz.

"We predict that $2,400 is a reasonable target for this year," says Donald Doyle, Chairman & CEO at Blanchard & Co. —the largest retail metals dealer in the U.S. "The principle factors that are pushing gold higher now have really been in place for some time."

Doyle points to global economic uncertainty, a concerted effort for currency devaluation around the world, strong supply & demand fundamentals, and growing global central bank holdings.

"We think that it's inevitable that we're going to see significantly higher prices," says Doyle.

While super bullish on bullion, he warns against buying a basket of gold producers, like the popular Market Vectors Gold Miners etf (GDX).

"You're also buying serious political risk in the case of many of the producers, and you're buying a whole host of economic uncertainties that exist with any big corporation," he explains. "We think there is a place in your portfolio for shares in gold mining companies, but it's more important and more beneficial to your returns over an extended period to have the pure return on the price of gold."

After a rough close to 2011, are you more bullish on gold? Let us know in the comment section below or visit us on Facebook.

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51 comments

  • GlennQ  •  Columbia, Maryland  •  4 months ago
    Let us remember the demise of gold predicted by those oh so knowledgeable experts posted in articles on Yahoo in December. I hope you kept yours. I did.
    • the truth 4 months ago
      Precisely.
    • David Burge 4 months ago
      Kept mine and did what Buffet and Soros did which was buy more. Also buy diamonds.
    • Guido Speedo 4 months ago
      Diamonds are kept artificially high by the DeBeers cartel. The real value of a one carat flawless diamond is about $300 The Russians as well have a huge stockpile which they could dump on the market at any time. If ever there was a boondoggle of an investment it is diamonds. Same as the Tulip bulb craze many years ago as an investment. People are so dumb!
  • Deeduncas  •  St Louis, Missouri  •  4 months ago
    Gold/silver bullion will get you through the rough times ahead. It has saved my bacon on several occasions. Why are all the central loading up on gold? It will be a currency investors can trust.
  • Sylvester McMonkey-McBean  •  4 months ago
    Oh gee wiz, how can it be that Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Citi are ALL predicting that gold will climb again. I keep reading from the brain trust on these threads that gold is a bubble and that one cannot "eat gold" and how foolish all the gold bugs are. Central banks around the globe loaded up on gold in 2011. Central banks around the globe are stockpiling gold even now. Yet gold is a worthless relic (according to some) and has no intrinsic value. Even the esteemable Mr. Bernanke declared before congress that "gold isn't money". So WHY ARE ALL THE BANKS BUYING AND KEEPING GOLD? Answer me that you anti gold idiots!
    • Zorro 4 months ago
      because it is a self fulfilling prophecy. The more it rises the more you believe it can not fall and the more you buy causing it to rise, but fall it will...
    • Sylvester McMonkey-McBean 4 months ago
      Yeah...who knew that those private and central banks were into prophecy. When GATA finally gets their day in court, we'll see. The FED has been illegally manipulating the market...rigging the game.
  • JoLo  •  4 months ago
    Silver is doing stellar this year, up 10% so far! I'd diversify and buy a mix of gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and copper yes copper.
  • the truth  •  4 months ago
    Funny. This same outfit was screaming about gold's value drop 2 weeks ago. You have to understand, we do not live in a system of money. It's simply paper currency that is not worth much more than the fibers holding it together.
  • A Yahoo! User  •  Brampton, Canada  •  4 months ago
    The historical ratio between gold/silver prices is about 15x. Right now that ratio is about 50x, at some point there will be a reversion to the mean - which implies that 'in theory' there should be more upside to silver than gold - FWIW I own a bit of both....
    • SherylA 4 months ago
      Upside to silver...or serious downside to gold. Both scenarios fit. As always dollar cost average.
    • Howard 4 months ago
      Why must that historical ratio continue? As the economies and currencies of the world's nations change, so can that ratio.
  • The Road Warrior  •  Sparks, Nevada  •  4 months ago
    So long as we continue to send the same clueless free spenders to Washington, and refuse to fix the problems with entitlements, money which actually has a value will continue to shine.
    • Road Warrior 4 months ago
      Gold is only worth what people want to pay for it. Dig it out of the ground and hoard it. Show me how to pay bills with it and who gets the profit when transfers are made. Even the Romans had problems with gold as the coins were shaved and needed to be weighed. This is OVERHYPED as is China itself.
  • FreedomHawk  •  Carol Stream, Illinois  •  4 months ago
    Gold will be $5,000 an ounce soon. It would take the average young worker to save up for 5 years just to buy one measly ounce of gold... Start saving young fellas because gold will be twice as much in 10 years. Just like homes. Oh wait a second...
  • Jesus  •  Hawthorne, California  •  4 months ago
    Chinese are using gold as a hedge against their U.S. debt holdings. Look for gold to be above $3,000/ounce in two years.
  • James  •  Nashville, Tennessee  •  4 months ago
    Gee, what do the Chinese know that we don't?
  • FreedomHawk  •  Carol Stream, Illinois  •  4 months ago
    near ZERO percent interest rates all over the world and endless money printing sure drives up the price of gold... Hate to see what happens when deflation sets in again. I guess they'll just crank up the printing presses again. It's really good having a Free Money Tree!
  • Nova  •  4 months ago
    When these idiots say, "Buy gold", I'd dump it.
    • Willem 4 months ago
      I'll take yours!
  • decono1  •  Dublin, Ireland  •  4 months ago
    Glad I bought my gold and silver back in the early 2000's.

    Will never buy or have to buy a stock again in this corrupt market.
  • noway  •  Haikou, China  •  4 months ago
    Chinese lunar new year is coming, people buy gold for their children.
  • Honest John  •  4 months ago
    Governments around the world are buying up the precious metals.In large quanities.
  • jaykay  •  4 months ago
    i continue to buy an ounce of gold a week as i have been for 10 yrs. i don't try to time my purchases. fluctuations in prices are meaningless in the over all scheme of things. it is clear that a new reserve currency will be unveliled soon backed in whole or in part b gold.
  • Jack Goldman  •  4 months ago
    Not a gold, silver, stock, real estate or commodity bubble. It's a bank debt note money bubble. In real 1963 US silver coins Dow was $700 in 1963. Today Dow is $600 in same coins. Dow is $12,000 in bank debt notes. It's a massive Ponzi scheme played on the baby boom. In 1980 they paid 18% for mortgages and now get zero per cent for their investments. Protect yourself. Buy gold and silver. Silver does not lie. It's really Dow $600. Get it?
  • Ed  •  Boulder, Colorado  •  4 months ago
    China buying more and more gold, they know their 13 trillion dollar investments are worthless next to gold.
  • bean-counter  •  Richardson, Texas  •  4 months ago
    Obama has blasted people that invest in gold and silver, but why should he care? Maybe he wants to increase the tax on it?
  • Rick S.  •  4 months ago
    gold will hit a new high.......between 1950 and 2150....in the next 5 months...

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