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Louise Yamada: S&P 500 Groping for Support, New Leaders Emerging

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Legendary technical analyst Louise Yamada graced the Breakout set to give us her take on the tape's field position in the wake of recently volatile trading.

Louise sees the S&P 500 as resting almost precisely on intermediate support at the 1,300 level, offering bulls a chance to get long provided they keep a tight selling stop below. She characterized the market as lacking sector breadth, with industrials and energy names leading the way along with small and mid-caps. On the dark side, sectors such as financials and consumer discretionary have lagged and will continue to do so, in Louise's view.

The two-year rally has been a secular correction within a bear market, not yet the start of a new bull market, she says.

She is turning bullish on technology, but with a catch. "I'm not (bullish on) names like Microsoft (MSFT), Cisco (CSCO) and Intel (INTC) , which have lagged and will continue to lag," she says. Instead, she suggests some of the companies more under the radar, noting that many tech stocks have been working off their bubble excesses for as long as a decade. (In the next clip, she offers several specific picks.)

Overall Ms. Yamada sees the environment as one for trading, not long-term positioning. That means buying dips and taking gains, or losses, if the tide turns against your position.

Louise Yamada has made me money both at my hedge fund and in my personal trading. Equally important, she's helped me keep those gains with her strict rules for when to sell. Whatever your core discipline, you ignore charts at your own peril. Be sure to watch both this clip and the ones which will be posted throughout the day.

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7 comments

  • Ira  •  1 year 0 months ago
    When the market was tanking a couple of years ago, she said that the S + P was going down to 600, maybe as low as 450. She'a another self promoter who gets over because people have short memories.
  • Jason  •  1 year 2 months ago
    In case you didn't happen to see it because they removed it almost as fast as they posted it!

    Get ready California for another round of increases from Blue Cross and Blue Shield. But this time they are trying another strategy to stick it to us! Instead of increasing to the full amount of 16.4% on April 1. They are going to split the increases between reducing your coverage benefits and increasing your monthly premiums for a total of 16.4%!!!

    THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU HAVE "WALL STREET CONTROLLED HEALTH CARE!!" It's time to get rid of the middle man (the insurance companies) that haven't healed a single person and do nothing but take profit out of the system and yet go out of their way to get rid of you if you get sick! It's time for a system that ONLY removes the middle-man; and that system is Single Payer. It will free up billions for businesses and individuals alike. The money should go directly to medical professionals and institutions that actually provide care and NOT for Wall Street Investors and bonuses for Health Care Executives!

    Please read:

    Excerpts from AP on March 21, 2011

    LOS ANGELES (AP) -- Anthem Blue Cross, the largest health plan in California, said Monday it will delay and reduce rate hikes that would hit some 600,000 policyholders at an estimated cost of $40 million.

    Anthem is one of four major health insurers in the state who earlier agreed to put off premium increases for at least 60 days at the request of California Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones.

    Los Angeles-based Anthem said it will delay a planned 16.4 percent premium increase from April 1 to July 1 and reduce it to 9.1 percent. The company also said it will put off increases in deductibles and co-payments from April 1 to Jan. 1.

    Taken together, the premium and benefit changes would amount to a 16.4 percent cost hike for policyholders in the middle of the year and might have forced people who thought they had met their deductibles to put off treatment, Jones said at a news conference.

    Last week, Blue Shield of California announced it was withdrawing its plan to increase health insurance rates for individual policyholders in what would have been the third such rate hike since October.

    The three hikes combined would have raised rates by as much as 87 percent for some of its 200,000 policyholders, according to the state Department of Insurance.

    Two other insurers -- Aetna and PacifiCare -- also have agreed to delays.

    Anthem proposed a 39 percent increase last year at a time when its parent company, Wellpoint Inc., is making billions in profit, but Anthem eventually reduced the increase.

    "If you buy health insurance in California, your only hope right now is that publicity and politics might convince some executives to scale back the rate increases, at least for a few months," said Doug Heller, executive director of Consumer Watchdog, a Santa Monica-based advocacy group. "Insurance companies with huge profits aren't nice guys just because they gouge us a little less."
    • Jimmy 1 year 2 months ago
      Excellent point. We're paying insurance companies that provide zero health care.
      All they do is to spend money on their organization ans staff to collect our premiums, figure ways not pay or play the least possible and pay lobbyists, politicians ans media to keep us paying them for nothing.

      Yes we need all our health care money to go directly toward our health care and record keeping of that activity. We'll save billions.
    • A Yahoo! User 1 year 2 months ago
      Hey Jason to back to slope country and leave us alone....no Commuunist....forwarded to FBI
    • Bruce K 1 year 2 months ago
      Obamacare is the first step in the progressive plan for single payer Government take over of health care. The reason that Insurance rates are rocketing is due to the Government mandates, you must pay for the beggar's health. Progressives want to destroy the Capitalist, and bring in the Socialist. If you want absolute Government control of your health care and medical needs you will be happy. You will get the same medical attention as the vagabond. Just remember this fact: THE BIGGER THE GOVERNMENT the smaller the freedom.
  • Beendare  •  1 year 2 months ago
    A 5 minute discussion saying essentially, "We don't know what direction the market is headed"
    No offense to the parties involved, all well respected.

    This only emphasizes how difficult it is to call market direction. Trading range for sure, take small profits and be happy. Never loose sight of what is moving these markets,the fed pumping- but spending $3 [or more!] to make $1 will end badly.
  • Henry  •  1 year 2 months ago
    This reply is in response to Blue Cross Ins replies from John, Bruce K & Forest Gump.

    First thing you need to understand is that the US government is the largest health insurer in this country. Just look at the number of people covered under Medicaid, Medicare, and the Veterans administration. As for your worthless arguments that we would loose more freedoms if there was a one payer system Get Real.

    You three have been drinking the republican cool aid way to long. The republicans are not for us middle class or poor citizens they are only for the rich. The republicans need to change their party plank to say ���THE USA Of THE CORPORATIONS, FOR THE CORPORATIONS, AND BY THE CORPOATIONS��� because they sure do not care about anyone but the rich and the corporations.

    Also don���t be confused by the verbal vomit that tax cuts create jobs. Company���s create jobs, not rich people. The company���s they own create jobs, not them.

    I defy you dissolution want-a-be republicans to prove with real hard evidence that we would be better off with the current system instead of a single payer system. I am in sales and speak with many people from foreign countries where there is a one payer system. I have yet to speak with one of them that would want our health care system over their country���s single payer system. In fact everyone of the 50 plus customers from foreign countries that have visited our company in the past two years likes their system and they have no idea where the news media gets these stories about shortages and problems with their health care system.

    In addition with hard facts please show me when jobs were created by giving the rich tax breaks. Go all the way back to your hero Ronald Reagan. Just show us all the evidence and back it up with facts instead of the verbal vomit from the republicans.
    • John 1 year 2 months ago
      Henry,

      I am well aware of the fact that the US Government is the largest "health insurer" in this country. It's a huge part of the existing problem. It's a large part of why we have such mialigned incentives.

      I'm getting really tired of the "cool aid" comments from libs. The hypocrisy is laughable. It's also laughable that you ask us to supply facts for you when you offered NONE in your post. Your counter-argument is "Get Real"?? Oh the irony of you calling our posts verbal vommit...

      "Company's create jobs, not rich people"? Now you're not making any sense. Who do you think work hards and risks their capital to start and grow companies?!?

      Other nations that have nationalized health care are able to create somewhat adequate systems largely because they are able to piggy-back off of U.S. based R&D (for drugs, devices, advanced procedures, etc.). Even the large European-based pharma companies (Roche and Bayer for example) are largely supported by their U.S. operations. In other words, new developments in the medical world only happen because companies can actually make money in the U.S. Innovation will dry up in a hurry if we abandon a free market system here.
    • L 1 year 2 months ago
      John, double thumbs down.
    • Peter New 1 year 2 months ago
      Yeah he (John) is a WS yerk.
  • Gerald  •  1 year 2 months ago
    Good clip.. it's like a pop quiz for newbies: "IF you can understand what she's saying, then you pass." Technical analysis along with fundamentals makes an investor. Keep up the good work.
    • Lol 1 year 2 months ago
      I can't believe there are still people that believe in technical analysis...

      It's truly embarrassing
    • Z.D. 1 year 2 months ago
      Indeed, technical analysis does not make an investor. It may make a trader or a speculator, but investors invest based upon a fundamental basis.
    • Peter New 1 year 2 months ago
      Fools ... You are to late for the fundamentals, smart money has figured it out and priced it in before You already start. That is where technical analysis is for, the market doesn��t always what the crooks wants and then we ( the poor or middle class ) can get something out of it to.
  • Cap  •  1 year 2 months ago
    Most of these stock promotionals seem geared to inducing the reader to buying and selling, buying and selling--always chasing a potential hi-flier with little attention to the equal if not greater importance of conserving capital. If the 1-2% advantage of mid-cap funds over big caps constitutes a "stellar performance," I fail to see anything worthy of a standing ovation. Moreover, that's past performance--which appears to be the only reason the guest offers for going with the current "hot crop" (the "spry young ones with new tech").

    Someone has to pay the bills at Yahoo, so the priority given to "promotion" over "information" is understandable. But if you can purchase a Microsoft or Intel with a dividend of 3%--and during a world-wide financial crisis if not "depression"--you're doing the smart thing--putting "safety" first; "speculation" second. Many of the professional "hypsters" talk as though 2008 was a blip rather than a symptom of a major underlying problem in the world's economies. Even today's rush to gold suggests that there are a significant number of investors who foresee a financial tsunami comparable to the natural one we've just seen.

    Rukeyer always referred to the technical chartists as "elves." Even the guest acknowledges a difference between "the charts" and "reality." The elves deserve a look now and then--as much to confirm investors' behavior as to dictate what it should be.
  • AmericansFirst  •  1 year 2 months ago
    Anything related to Japan, Egypt, and Portugal and Greece are emerging ! To the down side ! and the US !

ABOUT BREAKOUT

Breakout is Yahoo! Finance’s daily all-out, roll-up-your-sleeves, dive-in, interactive investing show, offering fresh segments throughout the trading day. If you love making money, if you want to protect what you have, if you’re passionate about understanding these crazy markets, you’re in the right place. Welcome!

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