Fin - Breakout - US

Monday’s Stocks to Watch, Trading Ideas and Research Calls

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AP Photo/Matt Rourke

The cover story in Barron's over the weekend was an eye-catcher, focusing on a poll showing that more than half of the money managers in the U.S. expect further stock market gains in 2011.

However, that doesn't mean they're recommending across-the-board bets. To have success, you have to pick your spots, after all. Among other things, the pros are also forecasting a continued elevation in oil prices, which have rallied sharply this year and are now above $100 a barrel. For more details on the poll's findings, read on in Watch Your Step.

Meanwhile, earnings reports, the price of commodities such as silver, gold and oil, and the Federal Reserve's economic plans are dominating the headlines at the start of the new trading week. The latter is discussed in The Wall Street Journal's Fed Searches for Next Step. The U.S. central bankers will meet this week, and observers are looking for an announcement that the Treasury-buying program is nearing its end. As for the aforementioned silver, talk is building about whether a bubble is in or nearby, and that's something we've covered elsewhere on Breakout in recent weeks. So as always, be sure to send us your thoughts, either in the comment section below or with an email.

From Twitter:

*Bloomberg News @BloombergNews - Exclusive: S&P 500 #Options at Highest Since Lehman Signal Gains as Buyers Hedge - http://ow.ly/4Gilh ^gm

*Country Hedging @hedgeit - Wheat leads higher 20-25,corn 10 -15 and beans 3-5 as weather dominates and US dollar weakness. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDOrzftAfxw

*Ashraf Laidi @alaidi - thin trading but worth noting euro strength is highlighted against Aussie. $EURAUD is near its highs relative to other euro pairs #forex $$

*Fari Hamzei @HamzeiAnalytics - worth noting: $SPX put in an outside bar on the WEEKLY chart last week

*RedLionTrader @redliontrader - Tricky, Tricky market, much upside resistance looking for a breakout this week $Study http://bit.ly/f3ai3J

*Lawrence McDonald @Convertbond - RT "@BrianKellyBK: with $SLV and $GLD up, don't forget about the grains - VERY dry weather in Texas and Ok."

*Zero Hedge @zerohedge by @Eubiquitous - Silver Margin Hikes Begin ... And Nobody Notices http://bit.ly/gajalv

On the Blogs:

*How Do You Spell Bubble? ... S I L V E R - Peter Brandt, via StockTwits

*People Should Have Been Buying Gold And Silver 10 Years Ago - Jim Rogers Blog

*Silver ... Over the Moon - Pragmatic Capitalism

*Become a Macro Strategist in Five Easy Steps! - The Reformed Broker, via StockTwits

*Monetary Base, Dollar Swings - The Big Picture

*Bull Market Still Dragging Stocks Higher - Money Morning

*3 Reasons Why Crude Oil Prices Will Stay High - Seeking Alpha

Stocks to Watch:

*Celanese (CE): A stock buyback and a dividend increase are in the plans at the chemicals producer. The quarterly payout will increase to 6 cents from the current 5 cents.

*Wal-Mart (WMT): The world's biggest retailer and one of the 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrial Average has begun testing home deliveries of groceries, called Walmart To Go.

*NYSE Euronext (NYX): The stock exchange operator says its savings will be greater if it completes a merger deal with Germany's Deutsche Boerse than if it agrees to a competing offer from Nasdaq OMX (NDAQ) and InterContinental Exchange (ICE).

*RadioShack (RSH): First-quarter sales were up 2.1% year over year, while earnings fell to $35.1 million, or 33 cents a share, from $50.1 million, or 39 cents a share, in the same quarter of 2010. The latest quarter included debt-retirement costs of 2 cents a share. RadioShack now expects full-year earnings of $1.60 to $1.80, down from the previous guidance of $1.60 to $1.90.

*BlackRock (BLK): Shares of the asset manager may be among the market's undervalued stocks, according to Bloomberg's John Dorfman.

*Zipcar (ZIP): The car-rental company, which recently went public, will need to prove to investors that it's capable of turning a profit, Barron's says.

*Barrick Gold (ABX): The gold company signed an agreement to buy Equinox Minerals (EQN.TO) for C$8.15 a share in cash, or a total of about C$7.3 billion.

Upgrades & Downgrades:

*BB&T (BBT): Goldman upgrades to neutral from sell; Oppenheimer downgrades to perform from outperform.

*Valero Energy (VLO): Citigroup downgrades to hold from buy.

*Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): Wells Fargo upgrades to outperform from market perform.

*Energizer (ENR): Morgan Stanley names long research tactical idea.

*Brocade (BRCD): RW Baird upgrades to outperform from neutral.

*Marriott (MAR): FBR Capital upgrades to outperform from market perform.

*Nucor (NUE): CIBC downgrades to sector underperformer from sector performer.

Trading & Investing Headlines:

*Why the Silver Market Has Gone Nuts - SmartMoney

*Bond Titans Differ on Post-QE2 Outlook — The Wall Street Journal

*Dangerous Views of Volatility — Barron's

*Apple's iPad Miss Prompts Cuts in Forecast - Reuters

*Dollar Bulls Hope for Fed Surprise — The Wall Street Journal

*Silver Surges to All-Time High on Inflation Hedge, Industry Use - Bloomberg

*Long-Term Bets on Yuan Are No Sure Thing — The Wall Street Journal

*3 Midcap Stocks to Buy for Any Market - InvestorPlace

*Amazon's Stock Is Overvalued, Overloved - TheStreet

Expected Earnings for April 25:

*AirTran (AAI)

*Beckman Coulter (BEC)

*Cell Therapeutics (CTIC)

*China Automotive (CAAS)

*Chiquita (CQB)

*Emulex (ELX)

*Express Scripts (ESRX)

*First Solar (FSLR)

*Foxconn Technology (2354.TW)

*Hecla Mining (HL)

*Human Genome Sciences (HGSI)

*Johnson Controls (JCI)

*Netflix (NFLX)

*Sanmina-SCI (SANM)

*Tootsie Roll (TR)

Compiled by Elizabeth Trotta and Chris Nichols.

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