Wed, May 23, 2012, 1:54 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 7 hrs 36 mins

Next Stimulus Must Be for the Housing Market: Hays

As investors anxiously wait to see whether or not Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has another rabbit up his sleeve, at least one pro is calling for the next round of stimulus to come from the government rather than the Federal Reserve.

"If you look at the economy, it is slowly coming back, but there is one area - a massive area - that has hit this economy for the last two years, and its housing," says Don Hays, President and Chief Investment Strategist of Hays Advisory. He wants policymakers to try something new and different that will jump-start the entire economy, not just the banking sector. As much as stimulus has become a much harder sell in Washington, D.C. these days, I think a populist pitch to prop up housing might just catch on.

Hays is particularly fond of a proposal that is being circulated by Ed Yardeni that would make rental income tax-free for a decade to encourage investment into vacant homes. Given the dubious benefits derived from the first few rounds of stimulus and easing, a handout to housing seems at least worth a try.

"We have 2.2 million people in the housing construction industry that are still out of work and cannot get a job so that is the place that has to be stimulated," Hays says. "We think that is the one area that has not had the same long term encouragement."

Normally, when economies are rebounding, housing is a locomotive. But this time Hays says it has been a "terrible laggard" that has been left behind. Whether you agree or disagree, the reality is that housing plays an outsized role in our economy and to attempt to repair one without the other just doesn't make sense.

As Hays sees it, a shot-in-the-arm for housing would lead to knock-on effect for the broader economy, a spiral-effect that would feed on itself for the better. "People feel more optimistic. Banks start lending. Companies start hiring more and it sort of feeds on itself and that's what we have to have, that stimulus, that fuel, to kick-start the economy."

Hays is clear in pointing out that this is not an investment idea, but something for Washington, D.C. to consider as a starting pointing at a time of great hunger for fresh solutions. Nothing ventured, nothing gained?

Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below.

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467 comments

  • Mike C  •  9 months ago
    Just absurd. Who exactly will rent these investment properties from the tax-subsidized investors? This is so wrong in so many ways I have lost count.
  • Mike C  •  9 months ago
    This is vintage nonsense of the highest order. The out-of-work construction industry people need to accept a painful reality - those jobs were based on gross over-construction for years and won't come back for a long time. And after the ease with which 'investors' were able to buy properties during the boom, the idea of giving them a taxpayer handout now is obscene.
  • Man vs Food  •  9 months ago
    Stimulas does not work. Get gas back to $2, without the yearly threat of it speculated up 400% and the economy will fix itself. Everytime there is a tax break or a stimulas package gas prices spike. Look at GW's $600 tax credit in 08' and now the 2% Social Security tax in 11". It amazes me that more people don't realize this!
  • Joe  •  9 months ago
    Don hays is full of crap. He is nothing but an old socialist.
  • An A.C. Resident  •  9 months ago
    One look at this shriveling retirement home escapee and you are seeing the face of whats wrong. Backwards ideas! Jobs are the answer, take a look at South Dakota. Lots of jobs there in the oil field, so many that workers are renting rooms in homes. Trailer parks are full with workers. High wages for service workers are a secondary plus there, as they are in short supply. By the way homes there are in short supply with all the influx of workers. The answer is: Jobs in the area, then the houses will all full up.
  • Don  •  9 months ago
    Let's see.... The banks use what is called fractional reserve lending. Which means that they can write more loans than they actually have on deposit. So the banks write/give loans to people who, in many cases, they knew couldn't pay it back. They go through forclosure, and the bank obtains the property. So the banks basically obtained these properties, from money they loaned to people, that never really existed in the first place. Then they receive a tax payer bailout. They have been hanging on to this money and making it harder for people who do pay their bills to even obtain loans. So they receive properties on a fraudulent basis, receive a bailout on the tax payers dime, and the little guy is left to keep on working, and being a slave to this corruption. The homeowners should receive some sort of help. What about every homeowner who is current on their mortgage be allowed to add 6 month's on to the end of their loan/mortgage, and be able to coast on their payments for 6 month's? It wouldn't be with tax dollars, and for six month's the American worker could have a break, and get back on track. Most families would greatly benefit from an extra $8,000 or so. But the fools keep voting these pukes into office. WAKE UP PEOPLE!
  • JODYNNC  •  9 months ago
    We just went through this Debt Ceiling ordeal and it's back to #$%$ normal. Lets spend another half to a whole $Trillion. Uh Huck a Huck well heck it's worth a try don't ya reckon? A Huck.
  • Robert L  •  9 months ago
    What next? Just another attempt from the President and the Dems to buy more votes for the upcoming elections. I just wish they would use their own money and not steal it as they twist and use the law to cover their illegal ways.
  • John  •  9 months ago
    THE DUMBEST REPORTER EVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!STIMULUS WORKS IN THE BEDROOM, NOT THE ECONOMY YOU DUMBSHIT
  • rhuihsd  •  9 months ago
    This dum #$%$ need to put his money up first and see if it works.
  • Cali41  •  9 months ago
    The cost of housing has been out-pacing wages since the seventies. I'm a moderate liberal but I think the government should stay out of the housing market. Let the prices come down to equilibrium. Then people will buy.
  • John Cager  •  9 months ago
    Another reminder of the result of Conservative economic policy! Sadly this whole mess started under Clinton when he been deregulation near the end of his second term! The Bush family threw a party deregulating us right to where we are today! With so few rules left Wall Street still managed to crash the economy and find some laws to break!
  • Richard  •  9 months ago
    The government say: Let's artificially stimulate the businesses we want to succeed by taking money from people and businesses who are actually succeeding.
  • CHARLIEHORSE  •  9 months ago
    30k in suplies but 250k for the house...
    more rampant greed.
    ...and they still wonder people aren't buying.
    Its like they are waiting for the "bubble" to re-inflate!

    Time to roll the price of everything *EVERYTHING* to the 80's prices.
    ...greed was always there, but thats when things changed from a fair price to screw the consumer.
  • Kahye  •  9 months ago
    speaking of housing,why is it that HUD does not buy up repossessed houses or foreclosures to house their sec 8 people.it would make more sense to do this and the money they get for rent on their properties would be put back into government housing dept.it seems like this would solve some problems with the financial situation of the government.i mean look at the prospective of this comment.if people are renting to buy the property ,this would save sec 8 and hud millions of dollars.
  • IfOnlyI..  •  9 months ago
    If there is another stimulus. the onlyone that will work is:

    Give all workers age 55+ $500,000 ea tax free (means tested. No millionare bailouts!) to leave the work force Just require them to pay off their mortgages and buy an American car. Let them migrate back to work, if they need to, in 5 years.

    Then there will be enough job openings to go around!
  • IfOnlyI..  •  9 months ago
    NO! NO! NO! NO! NO!
    No more govt stimulus!
    Just get out of the way, get rid of Obamacare and Dodd/Frank et al and JUST GET OUT OF THE WAY!!!
    Progressive Idiots!
    • Oscar 9 months ago
      maybe if we borrow and spend fast enough we can get out of hole! Yeah Right!
  • Kahye  •  9 months ago
    speaking of housing,why is it that HUD does not buy up reposessed houses or foreclosures to house their sec 8 people.it would make more sense to do this and the money they get for rent on their properties would be put back into government housing dept.it seems like this would solve some problems with the financial situation of the government.i mean look at the prospective of this comment.if people are renting to buy the property ,this would save sec 8 and hud millions of dollars.
  • Tony  •  9 months ago
    NO MORE "so called" Stimulus!! We are broke..We dont need to borrow more money from China!!
  • C  •  9 months ago
    You can't build homes economically in California. It costs over $50,000 in fees, and that's before you break ground! Cost of land has not gone down enough! I do not agree with hiring illegals, you get what you pay for!
    • Popsy 9 months ago
      Depends on where in CA you are building. Permits for our house in CA were around $25k, in Idaho they were still over $15K
    • Brian 9 months ago
      $50 in Southern IL

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