Wed, May 23, 2012, 1:57 AM EDT - U.S. Markets open in 7 hrs 33 mins

Precious Metals: The Forgotten Asset Class

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After spending most of its trading day in the red, gold staged a sharp turnaround in the final hour, rising 0.7% to $1,771.30 an ounce --marking a new 2012 closing high. Silver fell 0.3% to $34.25.

A year ago it was the calm before the storm in the metals market. Silver was on its way to a parabolic move that saw prices peak at $48.58 an ounce in late April. And gold --which was trading around $1420 an ounce last February-- climbed to a record high $1920 an ounce in early September.

These moves made precious metals the hottest trades last year; so much so that investors seem either unaware or unimpressed by their strong performance this year. Silver is outperforming most commodities, up 23% year-to-date, and gold up 12%.

For investors like Dan Fitzpatrick, president of stockmarketmentor.com, this is exactly why he believes gold and silver are the "forgotten asset class" and just the type of opportunity he's looking for right now.

"Look at gold, look at silver, they've actually consolidated really nicely in a healthy way," says Fitzpatrick. "They haven't broken down, it's not a top, it's just some really great price action to get these stocks and metals down to levels where investors are starting to buy them."

Despite weakness late last year, Fitzpatrick believes the uptrend still remains. Remember gold fell below $1,600 an ounce in mid-December, breaking below its 200-day moving average for the first time since January 2009.

"Gold spent four weeks below it's 200-day moving average, after having been up above it for two, almost three years," he points out. "That's a pretty good track record."

Given his positive stance, Fitzpatrick likes the largest metals etfs, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV), but says if you're technically inclined, look for some opportunities in metals stocks. His favorites include Yamana Gold (AUY) and Silver Wheaton (SLW).

Are you still buying the gold story? How about silver? Let us know in the comment section below or visit us on Facebook.

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14 comments

  • The Road Warrior  •  Sparks, Nevada  •  2 months ago
    It's not a forgotten asset class for anyone with an ounce of brains. A blind man should be able to see where this country is headed.
    • Fillup 2 months ago
      Those that have no brains will vote for O'Bama
  • Ready Now  •  2 months ago
    We got into metals in 2008 when Lord Super Fly was elected and are quite happy with the 147% gain so far. We plan to unload about 12% of it in a few months and pay off the mortgage.
    • Dennis 2 months ago
      Many people have difficulty deciding when to sell some of their metals stack. Your mortgage interest rate is probably 5% or less. Each month that you make a payment, most of the payment (except for the escrow) goes toward your principle. In a few months, silver could be around $60 per Troy ounce. But, in a year or so, it could be over $100. All of the reasons the metals are rising are still firmly in place. I'd re-think the mortgage silver payoff and just continue making mortgage payments. Recently, a number of states have begun passing bills that legalize gold and silver as money in their state -- which means that state taxes on precious metal sales are eliminated. This is an important trend to follow. As more and more states pass these laws, the federal gov't will be under pressure to remove taxes on metal sales too. At this time, the feds tax profits from metal sales as collectables (the highest rate), and not at capital gains rates. If I was in your situation, I would not sell any silver until this trend plays out -- in other words, until silver is again legal money. At that time, you won't be selling any silver, you will be spending it with no tax on your gains. And, at that time, you will owe less on your house and silver will probably be triple its present price.
    • Stopthemadness! 2 months ago
      Congratulations! I love a positive and happy outcome.
    • Ready Now 2 months ago
      Dennis, I like the way you think!
  • batmansquared  •  2 months ago
    I think the fact that there are only 9 comments in this section shows how many sheeple are willing to continue to ignore the facts. Paper currencies are done and inflation is on the way.
  • Lord Fauntleroy  •  Cincinnati, Ohio  •  2 months ago
    Agree with Road Warrior. Inflation will be a big problem in a few years. I've got silver, but everyone should own 5-10% in precious metals.
    • Dennis 2 months ago
      The proper question is not "how much precious metals should I own?" It is "how much of my paper wealth am I willing to watch be destroyed?"
  • Ryan  •  3 months ago
    Commodities are like treasuries, this is the swan song. Rates have nowhere to go but up, and once that starts happening, all that glitters will not be gold.
    • Toooldtofail 3 months ago
      And yet gold soared in the late '70's when the federal funds rate approached 20%. But you had to be there to believe it. We just need to be flexible in our expectations; logical correlations and reverse correlations, even historical ones, will not necessarily repeat themselves. And I do hear that buy bell ringing in my ears.
    • mp 2 months ago
      Yes, except that u r talking about FED rates. Gold does not give a dime about your FED rates. What gold cares about is the REAL interest rates. And these r negative now and will continue to go down.

      REAL rate = FED rate - REAL inflation rate
    • Andy 2 months ago
      Mp and Tooold...great comments guys. You said exactly what I was thinking!
  • RAZOR  •  2 months ago
    Too illiquid. Old grumpy vanishing coin shop owners will pay you less than you are looking for, but no other easy way to sell the metals when you need to.
  • Mister Z  •  Olathe, Kansas  •  2 months ago
    Gold is almost $1800. That's forgotten?
    Who writes these things? Another expert I bet....
  • Stopthemadness!  •  Raleigh, North Carolina  •  2 months ago
    If people are trading an asset it is not forgotten at all. Does this person read the business news at all? The precious metals markets seem to be on everyone's mind these days.
  • batmansquared  •  2 months ago
    also, i think this Jeff guy is a real douche and working for the bankers. smug punk.
    • gary 2 months ago
      Batmansquared---- Youve gone too far. Jeff Macke is a cool guy.
  • Chip  •  2 months ago
    We all remember what happen to Free Willy..
  • Gator  •  2 months ago
    Forgotten asset class? Ha! I watch gold and silver "like a hawk". I make $$$ with my precious metals investments. Gold and silver are the only REAL, long-term investments available to peon investors ... most stocks and bonds are essentially manipulated trading scams.
  • Heavy  •  San Diego, California  •  3 months ago
    Jeff Macke needs to go, that guy is annoying and a terrible interviewer. I'm not watching breaktime at a football game. This is the last "breakout" I'll be watching.
  • Praveen  •  Scranton, Pennsylvania  •  3 months ago
    I think silver is flat for the year and gold stays below 1800.
  • Toooldtofail  •  Ashland, Oregon  •  3 months ago
    I hear the bell ringing for gold stocks. They are very cheap in terms of the metal. Sure, their costs are going up because of energy costs, and the majors have to get more investor friendly with their dividends. But all in all, the stocks are much more highly leveraged than ETFs and a better bargain for those who can only stand and wait. Precious metals should be part of everyone's bucket brigade, and, as I say, I hear the buy bell ringing. (But don't try to trade 'em. They'll bite you when you're not watching.)

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