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    Apple Will Become A Trillion-Dollar Company, Says Altucher — $1,000 a Share

    Apple recently blew past Microsoft, Cisco, and other companies to become the most valuable tech company in the world.

    But that's just the beginning, says investor James Altucher of Formula Capital.

    Altucher thinks Apple will eventually be worth more than $1 trillion, maybe even $2-$3 trillion. Apple is currently worth about $320 billion, so $1 trillion would be a price of about $1,000 per share.

    Why does Altucher think Apple's stock will go to the moon?

    Because Apple's growth rate is astounding for a company its size, and the company's global market share in its key markets--smart-phones, tablets, and Macs--is still very low. Also, factoring out Apple's massive $65 billion pile of cash, the stock is trading at a low price-earnings multiple.

    And what about the biggest concern most people have about Apple, the heath of its founder and visionary, Steve Jobs?

    Steve Jobs is indeed an amazing leader, Altucher says. But Apple is now large and diversified enough that, if Jobs can never return full-time, the company will be okay without him.

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    224 comments

    • Richard  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Of course there will be a trillion dollar company. Inflation insures that.
      • Living the Trek 1 year 0 months ago
        Um... the idea is that it is on the verge, not 50, 75, or 100 years from now, but in the surprising next 10 yrs.
      • MauriceB 1 year 0 months ago
        At the current rate of inflation, it would take well over hundred (175)years for inflation to make a company without any natural growth worth $320 billion to become a trillion dollar company. You and 14 other people have never studied economics and are using opinion rather than fact. The results of a poor American education system.
      • Randall 1 year 0 months ago
        Actually, it can be said that with the tremendous "quantitative easing" or injections of capital into the economy by the Federal Reserve to get our economy moving again, our cash is worth less to our foreign creditors. Combine that with our tremendous borrowing for the same purpose (to pull us out of the recession) making our national debt soar and threatening our AAA credit rating, and we could see a period of double digit inflation and lean spending like we saw in the late 1970's (which was triggered by the OPEC oil embargo among other things). Don't count on inflation remaining at our historically low levels. Richard has a point.
    • Rob  •  1 year 0 months ago
      He's the same guy that says "Dow to 20000...but don't buy any stocks"....but look at who he's being interviewed by and you get the idea that history really does repeat itself. My advice to everyone is do your own DD and forget the siren's song from half baked anal-ists! Listening may indeed drive you onto the rocks!!!
    • Rita  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Apple will remain profitable as long as they continue to manufacturer their products in China, avoid taxes and convince people their products are worth more then their competitors.
      • pablo t 1 year 0 months ago
        I think Steve Jobs thumbs down your comment.
      • Gregory 1 year 0 months ago
        @Innesa - I have to reply to your post. The following diverts from the main topic, but it demands attention. Your statement ends with "...convince people their products are worth more 'then' their competitors." The word you want is 'than', not 'then' - "...worth more THAN their competitors". I point this out because it's very hard for anyone to take your point seriously when you don't use proper grammar. Also, you left out a comma. I say this because these are the reasons why China is poised to take over the U.S.
      • Kimberly 1 year 0 months ago
        It will be our own fault when we have a standard of living similar to China's. While their economy and industry is growing and growing, their standard of living remains... sub-standard. No health or safety regulations, no environmental regulations. Cheap, cheap, cheap; that is all that matters. They buy our old machinery which would never be allowed to be used in shops today. Doesn't matter to them if an arm comes off, there's a million more workers to take that one's place. Apple employs over 350,000 Chinese making their gadgets. Sickening when you think we're the ones keeping it going by buying their products and growing our trade defecit.

        Innesa, I don't care about your comma or your then/than because your point is correct.
        Gregory, I'm an attorney so feel free to proofread for me. My secretary is busy. No need to be mean or condescending.
    • Felix Krull  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Technology is a trend driven business and trends change. All you need to do is look at the history of the sector to see the reality of this. In the 80's Sony and IBM were dominant, then in the 90's it was Microsoft and Intel that rose to the forefront, in the 00s it was Apple and Google, in the 2010's maybe Facebook or one of the App stocks. The point is that tech companies do not reign for very long. It's simply the nature of the business. No matter how innovative your products, you can only hold the lead position for so long in tech before another company surpasses you.

      Investors are not going to bid a growth stock like Apple up to a trillion dollar market cap! It simply won't happen, no matter how good the underlying fundamentals. Therein lies the fundamental problem with Apple. It is a classic growth stock yet it is trading like a value play at a time when it is at the peak of its popularity.

      The question you have to ask yourself is why isn't Apple trading at 20 or 30 times earnings? What do investors see that prevents them from taking the stock up to 500 or 600/share? If Altucher was right and they have all of these innovative product lines and business growth opportunities then the market should be rewarding them, but it's not. The market is punishing Apple. I go back to my basic point. If the market thought iphones/ipads/ipods were more valuable than oil Apple would be the largest company in the world, but it's not. Exxon Mobil is because the world runs on oil, not gadgets.
      • Fred 1 year 0 months ago
        good points, but...

        1) The world runs on Oil AND information.

        2) AAPL's stock price MAY be discounted right now because of portfolio re-balancing due to the re-weighting of the NASDAQ. A short term issue. Also private investors may re-balance based on massive appreciation over the last 5 years.

        3) Simplistically, AAPL, at $350 is at a PEG of .7 (really PEG of .63 factoring in Cash). The discount of 37% implies a target price above $500 today. $1,000 three years out is not unreasonable.

        4) AAPL will remain discounted by at least 20% forever - reason cited above, plus fear about Steve's health and general fear - so many tech superstars have crashed.
      • Yoda 1 year 0 months ago
        Apple's technology is fad based and fads don't stay around long. The Exxon correlation is a good one because how much demand will there be for the same barrel of oil vs how much demand will there be for the same iPad.?

        Apple's products have to undergo constant change which is hard to do.

        Apple continues to raise the bar on themselves, making it harder the next year to meet expectations.
      • Alan B 1 year 0 months ago
        IBM is still a major player 30 years later, just not in the mainframe business. If my memory is correct, their stock is at an all-time high. Not saying that apple will have a 30-40 year run but they have shown an amazing ability to innovate over the past ten years. I see $450-$500, but not $1,000.
    • Bill Fields  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Never take financial advice from a virgin.
      • Kam 1 year 0 months ago
        Thats frickin hilarious
      • Lawrence 1 year 0 months ago
        forever alone
      • yahoo 1 year 0 months ago
        u r very funny!
    • Mad  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Apple's days on top are numbered. There are only so many brand new products like smartphones or iPads. Once the competition catches up Apple will stall. Look at smartphones. Apples is stuck in the mid 20% market share but as the competition continues to get better Apple will have to offer something completely new to counter and there just isn't unlimited completely new things that everyone must have. Same goes with the iPad. Apple refined the tablet into something people really want and have to have but sure enough a year or two later the competition is coming out swinging and again Apple's market share will stall. How many brand new products can Apple hope to release before they start falling off the bandwagon.
      • Kanman 1 year 0 months ago
        Yeah, the competition is really catching up. Look out for that Zoom and Playbook... right? Or maybe not. How is RIMM doing vs iphone by the way?
      • Reagan Fan 1 year 0 months ago
        What an idiot.
      • Stephen 1 year 0 months ago
        what eagle said, 'What an idiot.'
    • AndrewP  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Do the math people. Assuming AAPL is undervalued presently @ 350 and a fair evaluation could be taken to 500 in the short term, a $1000 share price in 5 to 8 years is actually very conservative based upon the profit the company rakes in every quarter. The difference between now and the tech bubble is the profit and cash companies can now deliver. AAPL haters and Android lovers need to look at investing in a company without their personal passions about an opperating system.
    • samiam  •  1 year 0 months ago
      If only they can somehow improve the working conditions for those labourers in China..
    • Jerrami L  •  1 year 0 months ago
      When did rick moranis start doing stock analysis?
    • Dr. Dick  •  1 year 0 months ago
      What is the next "big thing" in personal electronics?

      Robots - look for Apple to break out of the computer, tablet, iPod, & phone arena, and extend into "the next big thing".

      I am betting big on their ability to remain innovative as long as they keep the bankers away from that huge cash hoard. FINANCIAL people are the kiss of death to entrepreneurs and innovators. If Apple can keep Wall Street's greedy opportunists at a safe distance, there is virtually no limit to their ability to out-innovate and out-deliver any competition. They can afford to hire the best and brightest, and give them the R&D $$$ necessary to be wildly creative.

      To the moon, Alice! Right to the moon!
    • A Yahoo! User  •  1 year 0 months ago
      why does Yahoo continue to have this "yahoo" on? anyone that has a hairdo like him is a TOTAL @#$%!!! then you have Blodget, who is BANNED from the securities industry and was fined $4 MILLION for fraud!!! how do these idiots get on here?
    • nine yarder  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Look at the worst case. Apple does not grow at all from this point for the next 10 years. They're putting $20M in the bank every year now. Add the $60M cash they have now and in 10 yrs, at the current level of sales, they will have $260M in the bank. The stock price is low now, so if it just maintains the same level of price to value, the stock will rise proportionately to about $1,500 in 10 years. That's at zero growth in sales. In fact they will probably double their sales over the next 3 years.
    • Conor Kelly  •  11 months ago
      Apple start selling food, very funny
    • FERNANDO  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Wow, could you image how much work APPLE could bring to the states?
      A good example, CIRCUIT BOARD production. Also, who will buy these
      products once all your money is spent on gas when working at MCDONALDS?
      APPLE IS A GREAT COMPANY FOR THE RICH NOT FOR THE REGULAR AMERICAN!!!
    • mattg  •  1 year 0 months ago
      $1,000 .... Groovy Baby...Yeaahhh!
    • TonyL  •  1 year 0 months ago
      When idiots start talking like this you know its time to sell and take your profits.
    • Tim N  •  1 year 0 months ago
      I think his strongest argument is the P/E ratio is at 10X after the cash is taken out. Very lean for a tech firm.
    • GoAAPL  •  1 year 0 months ago
      AAPL will grow share price on a low PE, on cash and growing earnings.... not on a bubble. Stock is at $350 because it often grows, rests, and grows more. $400 is a given this year; $450 is probably too, $500 has a decent chance.

      Why? Because AAPL's 2012 begins before the year ends and in 2012 they will make at least $37 per share; and will grow their cash to $81+

      Would you buy a company that could pay for itself in X years? Yes. Its a cash machine.
    • morozco  •  1 year 0 months ago
      To the guy that talks about exxon stock, do you remember what happened to BP? In just a couple of months, the stock lost more than half of it's value, and there was even discussion of possible bankruptcy. Exxon could easily have that happen to them...... again.
    • AnnualRunRate  •  1 year 0 months ago
      Ahhh yes, the nay sayers. Google will never be worth its IPO, Apple is a $16 stock and always will be, hospitals can't afford to buy Intuitive Surgical's robots in a recession.. etc. etc.

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