With just hours to go before the first presidential election debate there's another debate involving the campaigns—a debate about presidential polls. Republicans argue the polls—which show President Barack Obama ahead by an average four points—are biased in favor of the president. Democrats maintain that the polls are correctly showing the president pulling ahead of his opponent Mitt Romney.
Nate Silver, who tracks political polls at the New York Time's fivethirtyeight.com blog which he founded, says these controversies are nothing new. The Democrats in 2004 had the same complaints when Republicans were leading. The polls were proven right.
"Now it's the Republicans turn where they're losing in the polls," says Silver, adding those complaints "involve an outright denial of reality."
Silver gives Obama 86% odds of winning the election but warns that polls can miss and the underdog could turn top dog. That's what happened in 1948 whenRead More »from Presidential Debate: Romney Must Score on the Economy Tonight to Win Race, Says Nate Silver