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    Bernanke Speaks! Fed Chair Defends QE2, Says Inflation Not His Fault

    Hours after the FOMC released a policy statement that was largely as expected, Ben Bernanke held a historic press conference notable for the chairman's comments about the economy, inflation and QE2.

    "Most of the slowdown in the first quarter is viewed by the committee as being transitory," Bernanke declared, a day ahead of a first-quarter GDP report that is expected to show U.S. growth slowed below 2%.

    "All I can say is while the recovery process looks likely to continue to be a relatively moderate one compared to the depth of the recession, I do think that the pace will pick up over time," Bernanke said. "I am very confident that in the long run the U.S. will return to being the most productive, one of the fastest growing and dynamic economies in the world."

    But in the meantime, the Fed also announced it's downgrading its 2011 GDP forecast to 3.1% to 3.3% from 3.4% to 3.9% previously, while upgrading its core inflation estimates to 1.3% to 1.6% from 1% to 1.3%. (Did somebody say "stagflation"?)

    Defending QE2, Watching Inflation

    Regarding QE2, the FOMC said it plans to reinvest proceeds from its securities holdings and complete the $600 billion QE2 program by June 30, as expected.

    During the press conference, Bernanke defended the policy, which has come under criticism for hurting the Fed's credibility (and the dollar) while doing very little to boost the economy.

    "We saw increases in stock prices. We saw reduced spreads in credit markets. We saw reduced volatility," Bernanke responded. "We saw all the changes in financial markets and quite significant changes one would expect... Indeed we saw the same type of financial responses in the first round which began in March of 2009."

    While the FOMC wouldn't rule out additional quantitative easing, Bernanke asked and answered the rhetorical question 'Why not do more?' by declaring: "The trade-offs are getting less attractive at this point."

    Specifically, those 'trade-offs' include higher inflation expectations, which Bernanke admits have risen "fairly significantly" in the short term.

    Should inflation — and inflation expectations — become "unmoored" and rise in the medium-term as well, "the employment loss in the future would be quite significant," the chairman said.

    The challenge here is the Fed — at least publicly — believes inflation pressures will prove "transitory" and largely the result of higher energy prices which it believes are up because of increased demand from the emerging markets and unrest in the Middle East and North Africa.

    "If the situation stabilizes in the Middle East, that will provide relief on the inflation front," Bernanke said.

    In other words, Bernanke is sticking to his story that the Fed's extraordinary actions and exceptionally low interest rates -- which the FOMC reiterated it will keep "for an extended period" -- are not responsible for rising commodity prices. (Keep moving people! Nothing to see here.)

    Suggesting traders are looking past the Fed, financial markets resumed their recent trends in the wake of Bernanke's presser: Stocks rallied while the dollar hit at 16-month low, which gave a boost to commodities such as oil and precious metals. Treasury prices fell sharply, after rallying ahead of today's events.

    In the accompanying video, I discuss Bernanke's comments and the Fed's statement with Yahoo Economics editor Dan Gross, who was in attendance.

    Aaron Task is the host of The Daily Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at altask@yahoo.com

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    135 comments

    • me  •  10 months ago
      Bernanke you are such a liar, Obama and your policy of printing more money as killed the dollar and the hopes and dreams of every American. YOU HAVE FLUSHED THE U.S. DOWN THE TOILET.
    • Save it  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Sad. I mean, isn't that supposed to be the job of a central bank? To preserve the national currency as a store of value and protect what folks have working for all their lives?
      • AbolishTheFED 1 year 1 month ago
        No, the job of the Private Central Bank is to take you hard earn money though inflation and charge interest on the national debt. Is a private for profit corporation it doesn't care about you or me.
      • Impaler 1 year 1 month ago
        he's a rothschild biotch
      • Dan 1 year 1 month ago
        There are multiple objectives to managing a money supply. Those objectives need to be balanced. Protecting the national currency as a store of value is only one of those.
    • D2FOXES  •  1 year 1 month ago
      2011 core inflation will be 1.3 - 1.6%?????? It's already more than that - No, not the way the govt revisionist cook the numbers - but in reality at the pump or the supermarket or anywhere you want to honestly look without fed's "hedonism substitutions" of counting something cheaper for something that's gone up sharply. Or its geometric weighting of assuming if six items in the consumer basket of goods have skyrocketed we'll count them for far less this time and instead find the six things that have gone up the least and count them for far more. Folks, THE CPI IS THE BIGGEST LIE.

      And Ben Barnacle isnt the one most responsible. Alan Greenspin and Gingrinch and Boskin dreamed the game up over a decade go. They realized that if they found a way to understate the CPI all the social security recipients and others whose income was adjusted to inflation would get less and that would reduce the deficit and help "balance the budget". Gingrinch even warned the BLS that their department's funding depended on their "going along with it." And govt bean counters have been massaging the numbers more and more ever since. The CPI is the biggest lie.

      THE CPI IS THE BIGGEST LIE.
      • GordonGecko 1 year 1 month ago
        No, Gingrich and the Publicans are the biggest lie...
    • Hello  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Core inflation is a joke. It is calculated using things that rarely go up in price. Food and fuel prices do fluctuate but over the long term they always are up. I could care less that a computer is lower in price than it was a year ago and home prices are also included in core inflation. They tanked because of the very policies of Greenspan and the FED. Bernanke is clueless to what the people are going through and he could care less. He is hanging the seniors out to dry with his ultra low interest rates and helping his bankster buddies at the same time. I can't eat a freakin ipad. Bernanke = Wall Street lapdog.
      • Dan 1 year 1 month ago
        So inflation should only be based on what you can eat?
      • A Publius in training 1 year 1 month ago
        Wrong Hello. Bernake is Wall Streets biotch.
    • Joe Plumber  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Finally he admits there is INFLATION!
      • AbolishTheFED 1 year 1 month ago
        He admits it, but nothing is his fault
      • Dan 1 year 1 month ago
        Not only admits it, but has provided an estimate of the rate of inflation.
    • B  •  1 year 1 month ago
      No inflation not our fault. We are holding interest rates at 0 when others are raising rates.
      dollar has tanked and commodities priced in USD so they are going up.

      No, not our fault. Its his intent. the way to pay back debt cheaply is do devalue our dollar. simple and easy way to pay off debt.

      Let's keep it simple and look for most obvious reason. Don't pay attention to what these people are saying, watch what they do.
    • Smuckers  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Bernanke, it is too your fault for inflation!!! YOU DEVALUED OUR DOLLAR!! Your printing press needs to be put AWAY!!!
      • Fiscal Conservative 1 year 1 month ago
        Smuckers --

        Bernanke has a PhD in economics from MIT. Where did you get your PhD in economics?

        Did it ever occur to you that modest inflation like we are currently having is actually not that bad for our economy?? Perhaps instead of inflation you would prefer deflation. In economics there's a term for sustained deflation: economic depression.

        Yes, the dollar has been devalued. Is that a bad thing? Yes, imports are more expensive, but US exports are cheaper which leads to greater demand for US products and more JOBS for Americans. Maybe that is a good thing. Remember, the Federal Reserve has TWO mandates: stable prices and maximum employment.

        For decades we have run a huge trade surplus and that has killed millions of US jobs. I see you are 66 years old. Do you care about Medicare and Social Security? Guess who pays for those programs? American workers and employers. So cheaper US products leads to more jobs which leads to more payroll taxes for entitlements. Maybe we should just cut entitlement benefits instead of focusing on creating jobs. Think about that next time you spout off your economic wisdom about our devalued dollar.

        Even higher oil prices (oil is traded primarily in dollars on the global market), while painful, has some longer-term benefits. It provides a financial incentive for Americans to buy more fuel efficient cars. That extra demand stimulates innovation and also makes us less reliant on foreign oil.

        The point here is that this situation is not as simple as you suggest.
      • Rhee Ali Tee 1 year 1 month ago
        And kick his royal Chairman out in the street while you're at it--
      • Roberta 1 year 1 month ago
        "Federal Reserve has TWO mandates: stable prices and maximum employment."

        That is only because Obama needs to be re-elected. Maximum employment is not the role of the Federal Reserve.
    • Fedup  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Here is an example of how the inflation books are cooked. A plastic gas can of years ago had a lid with a spout. Just for arguments sake, let's say it cost 5.00. A plastic gas can today has a lid and spout plus vapor saving devices and costs 7.00. For arguments sake again, we will assume plastic cost is the same for both. But, because of the added features, it isn't considered inflation since the quality or features have been "improved" or upgraded. Of course, it's twice as difficult to use the new style, but that's another argument, and you can't buy the cheaper model anymore because of EPA rules. Cost has gone up 2.00 but it's ignored as inflation because of the "quality" rules of inflation calculation.
    • Truth Trooper  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Bernanke says it is not his fault obama made him do it
    • Bowman  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Bernake just doesn't get it. He thinks the gas price inflation is caused by Middle East news items? But that doesn't explain why gold, silver, food, health care, etc. are skyrocketing.

      The fact is he's been debasing the dollar by running the printing presses full steam well after the financial crisis was over. His goal has been to boost the stock market through inflation, which basically benefits the rich and hurts the poor.
    • Papyrus  •  1 year 1 month ago
      "Inflation not my fault"...What kind of dream world is Bernanke living in? What a schmuck...He PRINTS the money, therefore he controls inflation...The more you print, the less value the dollar has...I mean doesn't he understand that?!? In reality it is a vicious circle: the Fed prints more money to pay for the interest on the T-Bills China and other US creditors are owed...Therefore, the Fed most print more and more money in order to pay those interests...Of course, it is quite a devious plan...print more money...reduces the value of the dollar:
      1. Increase in corporate profits from exports
      2. Corporation selling products overseas get more dollars for their products, after exchanging from the foreign currency into dollars....the Fed uses the extra cash to pay for the interest on T-bills, effectively screwing over China.

      Come to think of it, we are actually in a currency war with China. The Fed will continue to devaluate the dollar in order to compete with China...The downside is that the people will have to live along Chinese standards in order to compete....Manufacturing will return to the US, albeit once American living standards are so dismissly low. It's the quiet. smooth way of swallowing the pill the English are swallowing now...

      Last but not least, I don't understand how the people profit from an increase in stock prices....The stock market is a casino, it has nothing to do with the actual ecnonomy...so the increase in the Dow benefits traders not the economy, unless you believe that the richer the CEOs become the more they will hire (not likely given their greed).
    • chas  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Hey folks, it's all a lie. Fact is we are completely broke and don't have the will to turn it around. Sooner or later it will all come out in the wash, you can't spin or hide something this big. Prepare for the absolute worst.
    • Scrubby Bear  •  1 year 1 month ago
      They know there is widespread inflation....they just don't care. They know the inflation is caused by their tinkering with the economy...they just don't care and will deny it until the end or at least until it is safe enough to "come out" about it.
      The Fed is an institution that was questionable in creating in the first place, but progressive Wilson forced it through by having a vote on it when most of his opponents to the bill recessed for Christmas. It was suppose to end all the "panics" that were results of the up and down of the economy--not long after we had the Great Depression. What is it's real agenda?
    • JHOWA  •  1 year 1 month ago
      i literally watched gold rise 20 bucks during his speech or his transmission of words
      of no meaning.
    • b  •  1 year 1 month ago
      It's not my fault officer. I was texting while driving, and this big @#$% tree tried to stop me from going forward. IT'S NOT MY FAULT!
    • David  •  1 year 1 month ago
      It is simply ridiculous for Bernanke to deny any responsibility for rising commodity prices while simultaneously injecting liquidity into the markets by buying treasuries and expanding the money supply at unprecedented rates. That is the DEFINITION of inflation! The only thing saving us right now is the fact that banks are still not lending (which negates the usual multiplier effect of printing money) and interest rates are staying low. If either of those ever changes, and they will eventually, look for blowout inflation rates and exploding interest rates to try to control the inflation and rapid erosion of the value of the US dollar, perhaps leading to abandonment of the dollar as the global currency standard. If that happens, our debt suddenly gets MUCH more expensive and we go down the tubes, never being able to reduce our deficit, much less pay off the debt. If you think it's painful to cut spending now, just wait until our annual cost for debt interest goes from $450 Billion to almost $1 Trillion. We'll be wishing we had that cushion to use as a way to cut spending, but it'll be gone, with NO BENEFIT to us and NO SAVINGS for national spending.
    • Liberty  •  1 year 1 month ago
      According to Wall Street Mr Bernanke can do no wrong. Benefits without harm to the very rich. But is it possible that the average American is receiving the opposite? Harm without benefits. If you double the price of gas, the CEO of Goldman still only pays 0.05% of his income in gas but the average american pays up to 13% of his income in gas. That is a big difference. That is why Saks and Coach have appreciated 150% while Walmart has not.
    • Adam  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Hey Ben, maybe you need to take an economics class at your local community college. More manufactured dollars chasing the the same goods is your manufactured inflation!
    • yahoo user  •  1 year 1 month ago
      obama reappointed bernanke so bernanke could be the fall guy for blowing up the economy.
    • hurdygurdyone  •  1 year 1 month ago
      It's time for new faces, and everybody knows it.

      For someone to step up to a microphone and acknowledge there is still high unemployment, go back to his plush house and eat a T-bone steak dinner with a $100 bottle of wine, does nothing for the middle class taxpayer who Obama says will continue to be the backstop for the bankrupt Fannie and Freddie.

      What does this overpaid idiot do again?

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