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    Dow Jumps 430 Points After ‘Stealth’ Fed Ease

    A wild day in the stock market ended with solid gains for major averages as traders interpreted the Fed statement as a stealth easing of sorts.

    "Despite three dissents--the largest number since 1992--the committee adopted an even easier policy stance than expected," Goldman Sachs' economics team wrote in reaction to the FOMC statement. "First, the committee now anticipates that rates will stay on hold 'at least through mid-2013.' Second, the committee effectively signaled an easing bias, saying that it is prepared to employ additional easing steps as appropriate."

    Aided by that sentiment, the Dow rose 430 points, or 4%, to 11,240 after trading as low as 10,613 intraday. Meanwhile, the S&P gained 4.7% to 1172.53 and the Nasdaq rose 5.3% to 2482.50.

    The stock market was no means alone in experiencing dramatic moves on Tuesday. Treasury prices surged after the Fed statement, which included a downgrade of its economic assessment, sending the 10-year yield to an all-time low of 2.03% before it settled at 2.19%.

    Gold hit a new record intraday at $1782.50 before settling up 1.6% at $1740. The flight-to-safety trade sent Swiss francs surging further as well and crude futures below $80 for the first time since September, before risk appetites resurfaced later in the day.

    Major averages only recovered a small percentage of the big losses suffered in prior 11 trading days, when the S&P slumped 16%. Still, Tuesday's late-day strength is likely to encourage bulls to believe the worst has passed, at least for now.

    Doug Roberts, chief investment strategist at Channel Capital Research and the author of Follow the Fed, believes the market will remain in a "prolonged volatility environment" until the economy fully breaks down or the Fed announces another round of QE. To Roberts, the market still has another 100 S&P points to go down before fully pricing in an economy, about which the Fed says "downside risks…have increased."

    In the meantime, he remains bullish on gold and small-cap stocks which historically do well in an environment of negative real interest rates. The Russell 2000 rebounded sharply on Tuesday, rallying 6.6% after falling more than 20% in the prior 12 sessions.

    Aaron Task is the host of The Daily Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at altask@yahoo.com

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    20 comments

    • Paul  •  9 months ago
      Let's see: Another big down day at 3 pm, when suddenly, out of the blue, a rocket ship to the moon and beyond in only one hour! I swear I've seen this chart several times in the past, hmm, when was that? hmm ... I'm sure it will come to me.
      • James 9 months ago
        Yep 600 points in an hour, smells a bit fishy to me !
      • Timothy 9 months ago
        Speculation is the nature of the stock markets, don't confuse a market average with an economic indicator.
    • NSB  •  9 months ago
      I wonder who made the money on those quick drops in the last couple of hours. Indexes dropped really quickly a few times and then went back up. Weird movement very unusual.
      • STEVE 9 months ago
        The wealthy, at everyone else's expense.
      • Logical One 9 months ago
        The Repube bill removes 1.2 trillion debt over 10 years..... And the Dems bill had 4.1 trillion debt removed over 10 years......... hmmmmmmm. So ask yourself this question. WHY DID THE TEABAGGING REPUBLICONS WANT A BILL THAT ONLY CUTS 1.2 TRILLION OF DEBT OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS, WHEN THEY ARE FOAMING AT THE MOUTH OVER THIS MESS THEY CREATED IN THE FIRST PLACE????????
    • R.T.  •  9 months ago
      More give aways behind the scene to the big banks.
    • Canuck  •  9 months ago
      What happens if inflation hits double digits? That's controlled by interest rates, so them keeping their word could lead to stagflation.
    • KahokFan99  •  9 months ago
      Too volatile for me. Made my money on shorts yesterday. Made a little on longs today on the dead cat bounce. If you're a gambler nows a good time to make some money or maybe loose some money? I agree with the author we need QE3 or the markets to completely tank to get a trend line going. Going to sit on the sidelines until there's somekind of trend.
      • miz_A 9 months ago
        dead cat bounce...lol
    • Quick  •  9 months ago
      The Fed says they are going to continue the window exchange near zero for another couple of years -- same as the last two. How is that an easing? And they note that the second half is expected to be weaker. So why a 430 point rise?
      • NSB 9 months ago
        Profit taking tomorrow for the rich!
      • Timothy 9 months ago
        Since when is the ups and downs of the DJIA have anything to do with the Federal Policy, ooooooo, since 3 years ago. Pretty short term trading history if you ask me. The bond market leads this economy has for 100 years, it is so much bigger than the fed it isn't even worried whether the fed exsists. Bonds are saying no growth. Real yields are now negative, that may even mean contraction. The discount rate is meaningless in the face of actual economic growth. This country's economic model is failing unless we grow above inflation, the DJIA is reflection the odds that this is going tohappen. In the last month we have seen a move to the bear side of the camp, that we will in fact not beable to growth out of our short term prolems, and/or our intermidiate term problems.
    • anonym  •  9 months ago
      The day 8/9/11 you witness the real result and rewards of the 'Stealth' Fed Ease at working,the zero or 0.25% interest good up to mid-2013 ease loan from Fed does the wonderful thing Dow rebound 429 points!
    • Skeptical  •  9 months ago
      Wall Street doesn't care nor do they respond to the economy. It rocketed because taxpayers will continue to provide FREE money to the 19 banks at least another 2 and a half years.
    • Big Duff  •  9 months ago
      There are times in the past 40 years or so that I thought the stock market resembled a turkey shoot. Unfortunately of late it resembles a crap shoot and not much different from our Washington leadership in overseeing, (ha ha ), our economy. Unfortunately anyone in the middle class that is still solvent is really as the old saying goes, screwed, blued and tatooed! Why? It really doesn't matter where you have any savings, unless it is in a can in the back yard, it is tied to the stock market and and the Feds. near zero interest rate. There is only one reason for this abomination and that is to keep the interest on the ever raising national debt from absolutely going though the roof! It is still the same old song and the stupidity of trying to kick the debt problem down the road in the hope that some genie will come along and solve the problem later. Unless some miracle is out there some place, the road ahead looks bleak at best! I for one take most of the pure manure the public is being feed from all sides with nothing but a grain of salt and try to rely on what common sense I have left. I hope my system works for every thing else doesn't seem to offer me much hope.
      • STEVE 9 months ago
        Someone needs to force the return of middle class jobs to this country, and taxes will take care of the deficit problem.
      • Logical One 9 months ago
        The Repube bill removes 1.2 trillion debt over 10 years..... And the Dems bill had 4.1 trillion debt removed over 10 years......... hmmmmmmm. So ask yourself this question. WHY DID THE TEABAGGING REPUBLICONS WANT A BILL THAT ONLY CUTS 1.2 TRILLION OF DEBT OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS, WHEN THEY ARE FOAMING AT THE MOUTH OVER THIS MESS THEY CREATED IN THE FIRST PLACE????????
    • A Yahoo! User  •  9 months ago
      Here business has been in a deep downturn. After Obama got elected my health care costs per person went from 880 to 2430. Koolaid drinkers say this has nothting to du with Obamacare fears. They will probably re elect Obama since so many are government connected. QE3 will reward some group with koolaid and they will re elect their god obama again.
    • Patton  •  9 months ago
      The Weimar Republic economic approach. Just print more money and dig a deeper hole. Yeah, that's the ticket!
    • disgusted American  •  9 months ago
      Has anyone thought to look at who is making all the money and ask your self why are they capitalizing on everybody elses losses. Who stands to gain the most when a market is down 500 points one day and up 4to500 the next.
    • Jane  •  9 months ago
      Does anyone know a website that tracks movement of the high frequency traders who are shaking investors down with their fake-outs? CNBC Fast Money called foul on the HFT action yesterday, and I hope they continue to cover it.
    • anonym  •  9 months ago
      It is the system,the capital initiative and derivative driven value system that downgraded the US Credit Rating. The observation of outcome of consequence of failure of American Capitalism in their great enterprise and endearvor of financialization of the American economy.The Financial Capitalism learned to indulge and eager to rely on ,and in fact really needs the shares of public revenues, like QE1,2, and now QE3 for relief of crisis and distress.
    • QDN  •  9 months ago
      The policy is to pump the market, but not to fix the economy. The low interest and the QE are responsible for the decline of the USD. This helps the multi-national corporations that make more than 50% of their earning overseas (if the USD declines 10%, their profits can easily improve by more than 5%). For Americans, we have to pay higher for imports due to the weak USD, and what is not imported nowadays?

      Also, the policy forces investors to keep money in stocks! We earn nothing and soon will pay the banks to keep our money (low rate and the banks have to pay to insure our money, so they will eventually charge us to keep the money in the bank). This happened in Japan before.

      How long can the illusion of growth last? This depnds on how long the ecomomies outside of the US hold up. The day is near as the debt crisis in Europe will certainly shrinks the economies of the PIIGS which will also affect the entire Euro zone. We need to watch China more closely to look for hint of if the world economy as a whole slow. If China slows down, it means less exports, and hence means weak and shrinking world econmy.

      So, I am not jumping onto the buy-wagon.
    • Reality  •  9 months ago
      Obama and his lacky Bernanke will do or say anything to spike up the stock market. It hides the real rot they created in the economy... crushing debt. Obama knows that his re-election hinges on healthy 401k's. I voted for him, and it was the worst mistake I ever made. His middle name is "duplicitous." He says one thing, and does the opposite every time. Wall Street has him in his back pocket, and they have since day one!
    • Dave K  •  9 months ago
      Plung protection team to the rescue.
    • damion  •  9 months ago
      'Daily Ticker' seems doomed
    • jsjs  •  9 months ago
      Anyone surprised that when congressmen use the threat of default as a bargaining chip in negotiations you can create a market crash?
    • Magic Dog  •  9 months ago
      Idiots.

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