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    Facebook IPO: Beyond the Numbers

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    By now you've heard, Facebook filed paperwork to sell shares of the company to the public on Wednesday. The I.P.O. is expected to top Google's record $1.67 billion 2004 tech offering with a value between $5 billion and $10 billion, making the company worth a hefty $75-to -$100 billion.

    The S1 form, which gets submitted with the Securities and Exchange Commission by companies that wish to go public, is filled with details never before seen by the outside world. In the case of this generation's tech giant, the filing contains a treasure trove of information for the media, analysts and investors to devour and discuss with excitement.

    Nicholas Carlson spent his Wednesday night pouring over the document with a team of his Business Insider colleagues and joined The Daily Ticker's Aaron Task this morning to hash through the revelations and highlights.

    #1 Shocking Number of Users: It's been project by outside forecasting groups that Facebook will hit 1 billion users this year, possibly near the end of summer. The S1 revealed that the company is well on its way to that milestone and could even hit the mark sooner.

    The social networking site has 845 million monthly users and 483 million daily users. The number of people in December who used Facebook on the go using a mobile application was 425 million.

    To try to comprehend those figures, Carlson compares the number of daily Facebook users to the number of people who tune in for Super Bowl, which is usually the most-watched television broadcast of the year. Two years ago, the Super Bowl game between the Colts and the Saints became the most-watched show of all-time with 106 million viewers. Facebook attracts more than four times the number of people each day!!

    #2 Slowing Revenue Growth: Facebook's revenue hit $3.71 billion last year and grew by 88% from 2010 to 2011. But that increase is well below the 154% growth from 2009 and 2010. Profits for 2011 totaled roughly $1 billion.

    Facebook derives 85% of its revenue from ad sales. In 2011, Facebook added 42% more ads than the year before and sold them for 18% more than 2010.

    #3 Mark Zuckerberg's Lackluster Love for Profits: In a letter to investors included in the filing, Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg described how he is more interested in social connectedness than money and generating profits.

    "Facebook was not originally created to be a company. It was built to accomplish a social mission — to make the world more open and connected," he writes. "We think it's important that everyone who invests in Facebook understands what this mission means to us, how we make decisions and why we do the things we do.

    For a man that is now worth upwards of $25 billion, it is hard to believe he does not care about money, says Carlson. But to Zuckerberg's credit, Carlson notes Zuckerberg has always said he does not care about money.

    In that same vein, Zuckerberg does not want to relinquish control of Facebook like the Google co-founders did when they brought in Eric Schmidt. "He doesn't want people who really care about money to screw it up," says Carlson. "I think he sees them as different and he doesn't want them to really run the company."

    Zuckerberg currently owns 28.4% of the company and controls 54% of the voting rights, giving him more power at Facebook than Bill Gates had when Microsoft went public in 1986.

    #4 Facebook Risk Factors: Last but not least are the risk factors Facebook sees as potentially harmful to its bottom line. Among a host of factors, the company sees competition from Google, Microsoft and Twitter as a "significant" risk.

    Carlson agrees that competition from someone who can do it better and faster is a threat to the company, especially coming from a start-up, which might "do exactly what Facebook did to everybody else."

    For more see: Facebook Creates a New Millionaire's Club…And a Few Billionaires Too

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    37 comments

    • Halfrad  •  3 months ago
      It cracks me up ,not only do they steal your pictures , you lose all rights to anything you post on facebook ,including your personal pics and info they sell all your private information ,I have never seen more voluntary disclosure of personal information on a site in my life , they compile profiles and information for government and private sectors and you people keep giving it to them and love them for it , absolute insane
    • YFU Number One  •  3 months ago
      Facebook couldn't do it without your personal information to sell, so all of you stand up and TAKE A BOW. (You won't be getting any of the money, though. Sorry.)
    • Sponge Bob  •  3 months ago
      Anybody for my arse book?If everyone post pictures of their #$%$ on facebook, will see its value farts off.
    • Julio  •  Miami, Florida  •  3 months ago
      Facebook should have never gone public!!!! Here are the following reason:

      1. The company was already lots of money from advertising revenue.

      2. The company will face pressure from shareholders.

      3. Facebook does not produce anything. It will surely rely on creativity, so Mark as Bill Gates will get older, so he will either run out of ideas or someone will do things better than he does, and I do not believe Mark is smarter than gates when he created Microsoft.

      4. Facebook is a cyclical company that relies on a trend or fad. When people get bored or the next big thing comes up, the company will crumble.

      5. Volatility will make the company very fragile since the so-called experts with their silly predictions somehow will make the company miss its earnings. That being said, the market cap will fluctuate a lot, which is not good for business.

      Any questions?
    • Benjamin Kooper  •  Camden, New Jersey  •  3 months ago
      First it was Aol then yahoo groups, then friendster then myspace and now facebook. Tomorrow it could be "legbook" or "headbook.. Social networkinging companies are producer of soft "social" values easily replaced by new fad in the matter of months. There is no production of "goods" in the classical industrial and production sense. Hence, the "value" is not not permanent.. there will be a better version of it - just the matter of time when users will move to yet new flavor of the day.
    • mary  •  3 months ago
      Betty White called Facebook for what it is.
    • Errandboyworld  •  Fort Lauderdale, Florida  •  3 months ago
      Google, Microsoft and Twitter will be more of a "significant" risk. Let's see what happens.
    • Tom KJ  •  San Diego, California  •  3 months ago
      Is that Ace Ventura (pet detective)?
    • Margaret B  •  Columbia, South Carolina  •  3 months ago
      I hope with all this success, that they decide to make Timeline optional for we who like it like it is!
    • lilmama28  •  Elkhart, Indiana  •  3 months ago
      Or we could use the money to fix america up before we go help other countries we are so far down the hole there is no light so rich people could help the american people out. Not me but all those less fortunate, Help the poor starving kids in america that die everyday and there is no reason for that, I pray god touches your heart and mind and soul. In jesus name
    • Victor O  •  Tampa, Florida  •  3 months ago
      1) He should not have gone public
      2) He should care about money, he is responsible for it.
      3) He has emerging opposition from the least of his people.

      this is going to be epic... EPIC...
    • Yitmy  •  Beachwood, Ohio  •  3 months ago
      Frenzy for Facebook. Let it come out and after all the churning of shares wait about 3 months then you decide if it is a good long term holding like CMG, GOOG. You probably can get it lower if you wait. When was the last time you responded to an add on Facebook? So where is the profit at....I cannot find it.
    • pat  •  Knoxville, Tennessee  •  3 months ago
      how can a person buy this stock?
    • Charles  •  Lagos, Nigeria  •  3 months ago
      Pls tell Zuckerberg dat i luv keeping other people's money
    • steve  •  3 months ago
      Money changes everything.....
    • xyz  •  3 months ago
      How much do you think each share will cost?
    • Walter H  •  Atlanta, Georgia  •  3 months ago
      Obviously 845 Millions of users (monthly) believe Facebook has value to them for social usages. The cash amounts cited are only "Paper Profits" until and unless their shares are sold, it definitely not money in the bank until then. Lets not criticize persons who of their devices created a business of such regard. Building of any business which has achieved its status in the market is the reward of their ingenuity and labors over time. This is the power of the Democracy in we live.
      You don't like Facebook...Don't use it!!! Get off you high horses and utilize your time and energies to create your own success.
    • fightfan69  •  Manila, Philippines  •  3 months ago
      the guy started by ripping off somebody else's idea - now he's a billionaire!! what a great and inspiring story! great business model! business ethics --screw that! karma?! does it even exist?!
    • randy  •  3 months ago
      u know wat lives u could bettr just by giving $100,000 to family that work n just make it payday to payday not the lazy ones that sit back with their hand out i am talking bout your hard workers that just cant get ahead .. GOD BLESS N REMEMBER GOD GIVES N GOD TAKES AWAY !!!!
    • fedup  •  Pleasanton, California  •  3 months ago
      well with the way he is selling everyone out it will just be any time now before some #$%$ off people hack fb and let loose all kinds of virul stuff

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