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    “Mortal Wound”: Japan Disaster Could Trigger Global Liquidity Crisis, Martenson Says

    The ripple effects from Japan's crisis worsened considerably Monday.

    First and foremost, engineers at the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant struggled to contain leakage of radioactive water into the sea.

    Second, Toyota announced it will shut down all of its North America factories due to parts shortages while AutoNation warned "production disruptions will significantly impact product availability from Japanese auto manufacturers in the second and third quarters of 2011."

    These announcements follow GM's temporary shutdown of its Shreveport plant and reports Apple is facing a shortfall of batteries for its iPad 2 as a result of the disaster in Japan.

    Chris Martenson, author of The Crash Course, expects more "product shortages and associated work stoppages" in the coming weeks, and warns Japan's natural and nuclear disaster could inflict a "mortal wound" on the global economy.

    As the title of his book and video series implies, Martenson has a proclivity to see events unfolding in a worst-case manner. But there is typically logic to his thesis, as is the case here.

    In a nutshell, he sees Japan's economic crisis leading to a global liquidity crisis, which could trigger a series of "financial accidents," similar to what occurred in 2008.

    If Japan needs to sell Treasuries to fund its rebuilding — or merely stops buying — it could be the first peg in the U.S. "funding crisis" Martenson, and many others, have long warned was coming.

    "If something comes along that makes liquidity pull out of the system, we could have the exact same dynamic as in 2008," he says, as discussed in more detail here and in the accompanying video.

    Aaron Task is the host of The Daily Ticker. You can follow him on Twitter at @atask or email him at altask@yahoo.com

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    91 comments

    • Wyatt Earp  •  1 year 1 month ago
      GM and Toyota is doing temporary shut downs due to parts shortages. I told my CEO back in 1995 this "just in time" parts delivery system was going to sting someone one of these days.
      • human 1 year 1 month ago
        Even a broken clock is right every.....16 YEARS!!!!
      • korok malfesio 1 year 1 month ago
        JIT works better with a diversified (multiple companies and multiple locations) supplier bases. There is risk of failure if price competition reduces choices to a single supplier. It's up to the buyers to keep options open. That means buyers must make an effort to maintain supply channels and not give all their business to a single source. So, you're right, Wyatt. Lowball JIT can come back to haunt you. Buyers and suppliers should be partners, not masters and slaves.
      • jeri 1 year 1 month ago
        @Korok. Its all in the supply chain management and planning. 99% of the time it is either improperly managed with lead times that are incorrect by being too short or too long. Inventory levels are usually off as well.
    • FNTM  •  1 year 1 month ago
      So our Global Economy puts us at risk when anywhere in the world there is a catastophe? And all our smartest elites thought this was a good thing? Who would have thought.
      • Jerry 1 year 1 month ago
        The more EX-'perts' that you have --- THE MORE THE CON-'blems'!
    • bryan  •  1 year 1 month ago
      There will be another liquidity crisis and after it happens all of the economists will get together and try to figure out why it happened and nobody will ever come to a real conclusion.

      Why did the flash crash happen? Nobody knows nor will ever know. The financial system is so complex now that nobody really even understands anymore how it works nor can control it.
      • taopraxis 1 year 1 month ago
        If by complex you meant crooked, then I agree...
      • Linda Carch 1 year 1 month ago
        People can "control" the financial system by everyone living within their means.
      • Deathcat 1 year 1 month ago
        what if your means suddenly changes? Most people live within their means until something rips their income out from under them. That is what most people fail to grasp and try to rationalize that everyone in trouble just spent their way there. Some did... but most were living within their means until they lost a good paying job that can't be replaced overnight. Most of the good paying jobs lost overnight aren't coming back either. Retraining takes time and won't solve the problems that happen now for those families. Please stop rolling everyone into the same mix.. We are all different and have different needs/situations that we must deal with. Help someone instead of constantly tearing them down for something beyond their control.
    • DaVilleN07  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Make it in America and we don't have this problem.
      • J 1 year 1 month ago
        That's not how globalization of corporate America has been done, so that's not how it's set up. In particular, we may have to start producing things we NEED rather consume what we WANT.
      • Bruce 1 year 1 month ago
        I like buying high quality at the lowest price possible. I don't give a @#$% who makes it. Why should I? Its not as if they are needy brother-in-law whre I have to pay him too much for crappy work.
    • Telosnomos  •  1 year 1 month ago
      If it gets bad enough maybe they'll wise up and quit outsourcing all the parts.

      Bring those jobs home.

      A silver lining to the radioactive cloud.
      • vivek 1 year 1 month ago
        Rather simplistic thinking. I had no idea that the US economy was completely inured against natural disasters. I suppose Katrina, Andrews, Hugo had zero impact on our economy.
      • John Bird 1 year 1 month ago
        The article stated that all US plants will close. Not good for the US period.

        I do like your optimism though. We're gonna need more of that soon.
      • Jerry 1 year 1 month ago
        Does that mean it's OPTI-MYSTIC???!!!

        I thought that it is: OPTI-"MISERY"!!!
    • Spicy Bacon  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Perhaps US can pick up on manufacturing due to the need of supplying the world with what japan can't manufacture now. Japan was already not on top of their game. Other countries have been picking it up before the disaster.
    • David  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Financial "experts" tend to think in terms of bits/bytes/pencils/accounting... The real work will be done by the people who do the work in the first place. Shovels, bulldozers, construction projects. Japan has a work ethic that can get it done. So all you guys with the pencils sit down and shut up, or go buy a shovel and help clean up.
    • man in the arena  •  1 year 1 month ago
      This is fascinating! The TRUE intercourse of economics and societal needs. How does an economy run on 40% less power input? Who makes the productivity decisions, the government or the kieretsu corporations? It is a humanitarian disaster that needs the lifeblood of monetary systems to stage it's recovery. In my 50 Summers nothing like this has ever happened. WWII and 911 were man made disasters, caused by man, repaired by man. This is mother earth laughing at our frivolity. How do we recover, grow, and serve the human poulace? I'll be pondering this for the rest of my life with the full effects only known when I'm dust and my Daughter is an old lady.
    • JCInter  •  1 year 1 month ago
      This guy is spot on. The disability of Japanese production this year will result in big sale of USD based assests to rebuild QUICKLY. That means ALL the USD assets holders, i.e. China, India and Mideast, etc. will stop buying USD based bonds expecting continued falling prices.
      This would place tremedous pressure on the US economy, then the Fed has to print great amount of money to buy our own Treasury bonds. There will be a sharp inflation of living costs but deep deflation (recession) in the production sectors.
      A perfect storm worse than 2008 is quickly forming. CASH will be king, precious commodities will be queen.
    • James  •  1 year 1 month ago
      guess what america japan needs to cash in its 900 billion in treasury notes to do its recanstruction. you thank the fed 60 billion was bad, we need to jump on this reconstruction and create jobs in america, after all our money will be going there way, and it needs to be spent in america, but with globalization everything is cheaper elsewhere.this is the big pictuer, is it good or bad only time will tell?
    • Len T  •  1 year 1 month ago
      There is a lot of economic negativity being postulated but thus far Bernanke has been able to avoid the silver bullet. Published economic reports support a turnaround, provided you actually believe the information within the reports. I think all government released information, is pre-election year propaganda to ensure re-election for the incumbents. According to our government nothing is wrong and everything is rosy.
    • Futurist  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Another melt down scenario to get the tax payer to pick up the financial risk by our insurance companies.

      Has anybody got it Too Big To Fail has got to go.
    • SuperFlanker56  •  1 year 1 month ago
      the US government like most american households spend spend spend and leave no room for error.
    • DTT  •  1 year 1 month ago
      I believe this shows some of the weakness of the global market place where parts may come from anywhere. This is an example of how this can occur in the future and how it might impact world wide production and money supply. I doubt it will be a significant or lasting hit, but with a weak economy already, it could hurt more than if we were all doing very well.
    • Common Sense  •  1 year 1 month ago
      The September/October west coast earthquake/tsunami? will be the nail in the coffin. This combined with America's excessive debt and Japan's current problems will cripple America much more than Katrina. Bernanke and Obama are out of bullets to help inn this matter.
    • Art  •  1 year 1 month ago
      OPEC better take a serious look at increasing production and lowering the price of oil a bit - or the combination of the Japanese problems, related parts shortages, and oil above $100, will send the entire world econ back into recession or worse!
    • Bryan  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Global economy contingency. Issue work visa's to some of the displaced Japanese and relocate them to affordable housing in Detroit. Retrofit some of the unused factory space to produce the parts that are needed to continue manufacturing for Toyota and GM. Essentially transfer production to the US. The logistics would be a bit of a challenge as well as the cost. That could happen sooner than rebuilding in Japan and waiting until any viable equipment becomes radioactive or the employees get their housing and lives back in order. Seriously the real estate is available at a low cost.
    • JohnH  •  1 year 1 month ago
      The problem is really the global supply chains in many corporations. For example, Renesas builds small 8-bit processors, which are used heavily in the auto industry for such things as anti-lock brake controllers, or other low-power processors. While most of their plants are open now, it's not clear which plants make which parts. If manufacturers can't quickly switch to other parts, they won't be able to make their product, which will destroy their profitability. Other parts of the tech industry which has had problems is in making of the silicon wafers used to make chips. Inventories are small, and if production doesn't catch up to use, that starts to shut down other industries, again with ripple effects. These events will also start to encourage hoarding of impacted parts, making their prices shoot up beyond their normal values. All of these electronic parts are made in clean rooms, and the earthquake likely both damaged equipment, and let dust into the clean rooms, so that they will need to be cleaned again.

      If you own stock in companies that make things with electronics, it might be a good idea to see if they know how their supply chain will be impacted.
    • Andy  •  1 year 1 month ago
      The world banking system, financial markets and economy are excessively integrated. The loss of control in national systems, giving way to international systems, is not working and will never work. The uniquenesses of each national market are disregarded to the detriment of those nations' real economy. The creation of winners and losers is totally artificial and leads to economic meltdowns effecting each national market. Read 1929 and excessive integration.
    • AmericansFirst  •  1 year 1 month ago
      Globalistic interdependence, JIT, 80-20 Rule, free trade. greed, borderless countries, too big too fail oligarchs, and uncontrolled immigration are proving they are false economic and business concepts ! They didn't exist prior to 1970 and most products Americans bought were made in the US not just assembled! Political policy has made the US unnecessarily vulnerable to economic disasters, terrorists, foreign values, and natural disasters ! There were valid reasons why our form of capitalism and democracy worked ! The structure of our society has been allowed to be changed deceptively gradually ! Americans are being downsized with huge and growing inequality of income ! Americans were not told up front what the plan was or what the risks were and the gambles that are being made longterm with no guarantee of success ! Devaluation of currency does not assure that more goods will be exported and jobs created ! There is no longterm guarantee of American globallism !

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