Three Predictions For The Facebook IPO Filing Today

Thumbs up if you think Facebook has already "jumped the shark."

Facebook stock. I won't be buying it. What a joke and it is a good indicator of what kind of society we live in today.

This typifies what is wrong with this country. Facebook produces nothing, they service nothing.

Facebook/Google wont go away for LONGTIME

Zuckerberg and a few thousand others will make a killing. The rest, not so much. Social Networking as a product? I think Gertrude Stein said it best - "There is no there there".

1B customers... you have to think there is opportunity there. Without a clear plan though, we are certainly gambling on future earnings.

....soccer mom chain e-mailing.

800-Million users, and a supposed $100,000-Million valation. That means your placing a value of $125 per user (and there are only 300 million Americans, and many of them are already sick of facebook). After you deduct for all the duplicate accounts, and inactive ones, and ones started by companies and marketing groups, let's say realistically advertising to 100 million hard-core users that are probably teenagers and stay-at-home-moms for the most part, would mean that you'd be paying $1,000 a head today for access to advertising to those markets. If you were talking about CEO's and Millionaire's, I MIGHT pay a flat rate of $1,000 a head for the rights to advertise to them very intimately on their computer, but I wouldn't as a business person, spend $1,000 a person for the marketing rights to a stay-at-home-mom or a teenager for something that could ultimately be replaced by something else with less privacy issues. The real problem, is that for a public company facebook to deliver, since they are not a search/marketing model like google, they will have to exploit their users, and get even more annoying with marketing and advertising.

Brokers are watering at the mouth on how many retail investors they will scam out of billions.

Oh, and don't look now, but google has entered the social networking fray with Google Circles.... Success breeds competition, and Google has some deep pockets, and even a few bright people working for them....

"Zuckerberg will have a Bezos-like letter that says something how this is day one of a very long haul."

The difference is that Amazon actually had an actual and significant revenue stream already as well as a tangible business plan.

I would not put a $ on this . 90 times sales .Are you Kidding . Buy Apple and /or Google .
Forget this!

Facebook is just a fancy instant messenger application. Once the ads start showing up everyone will leave. And now that parents "know about it" and started their own accounts all the kids will go someplace their parents aren't looking. It's peaked.

most companies raise money to fund an expansion. But even more companies use it just to get their own cash out and leave the rest to the public to manage and worry about. In this case, if Zukerberg was making a lot of money with the backing of Goldmans and Accel he would not have any need to go public. He has a brand and almost monopoly. I seriously think he has realised that its all slowly coming to an end. Once in the hands of the public, the public will have no choice but to stay online and put all the cra*p to make it interesting for others.

Facebook will now be even more "cool and innovative"......but only to the point that shareholder value must grow at a minimum of 15% a quarter. Once that stops....the Zucky train derails.....Cash out the second the market opens if you can Mark....thats your companies high point....trust me.

If facebook is going to make its revenue via advertisement, then it is in direct competition with google, good luck with that one.... If it is some new "untapped" source of income there is a significant chance that attempting to tap it will kill facebook as the 1 billiion daily users refuse to be "tapped". I mean look at what happend with netflix when they attempted to "tap" their customers for more.....

FU FB, Deleted all my posts and canceled my account over the weekend. Yes, you can delete the account, not just suspend it, it takes time navigating the mess of "help" but it can be done.

I am not a Number, I am a Free Man!

Tulip Mania.

Already wrong, since they apparently have not file, and the "morning" is over!
My predictions is... who cares.

Another myspace in the making...... the "cool" kids will find a new social site and flock there, leaving FB with 500 million accts that are rarely used. It will still be a viable company, just NOTHING like they are selling today.