• Here’s 222 years of interest rate history on one chart

    By Lawrence Lewitinn | Talking Numbers – Wed, Sep 18, 2013 1:33 PM EDT

    Legendary technical analyst Louise Yamada looks at two centuries of US interest rate cycles and says we're at a generational bottom.

    How far back should you go to chart interest rates if you want to know what kind of cycle we’re in?

    Since this is Chart Week on Talking Numbers, let’s take it up a notch: How about since the 1790s? That’s exactly what Louise Yamada did for us. The founder of Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors went back to the early days of the republic to see if there are any patterns to interest rates and what they can tell us about what’s next.

    And, Yamada says now will see the start of higher interest rates for the next couple of decades.

    (Read: It's Fed Day: Here's what to watch for)

    Charting 222 years of US interest rates, Yamada see seven completed major periods lasting between 22 and 37 years. Three periods had rising interest rates and four had falling interest rates. She sees now as the start of the eighth period, which makes it the fourth rising interest

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  • This is Starbucks’ secret weapon

    By Lawrence Lewitinn | Talking Numbers – Wed, Sep 18, 2013 5:39 AM EDT

    China will soon become Starbucks' second-largest market. Will growing an infrastructure in a tea-drinking country help grow the bottom line?

    China will surpass Canada to become Starbucks’ second-largest market after the United States. But will mostly tea-consuming China be a good long-term growth play for the coffeemaker?

    The Seattle-based company announced the opening of two flagship stores in China’s capital city of Beijing. One will be a 24-hour store in Taikoo Li Sanlitun for those who need a 3am caffeine jolt before buying at some of the nearby luxury stores.

    (Read: For Chinese brides, gold no longer all that glitters)

    But China remains a tea-drinking society. The country consumes a quarter of the entire planet’s annual tea production of four million tons. That breaks down to nearly 1.5 pounds of tea for each of the country’s 1.35 billion people.

    On the other hand, China’s annual coffee consumption of 0.1 kg (3.5 ounces) per person is relatively sleepy compared to the 9 lbs. each

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  • Pimco: Forget taper, watch this

    By Lawrence Lewitinn | Talking Numbers – Wed, Sep 18, 2013 5:39 AM EDT

    Tony Crescenzi, Executive Vice President, Market Strategist, and portfolio manager at Pimco, discusses today's Fed meeting and what investors should be aware of.

    Today’s the day: the world will find out if – and by how much – the Federal Reserve Bank will taper its $85 billion per month bond-buying program known as “quantitative easing” (“QE”). And, we talk numbers with a portfolio manager at the world’s largest bond fund to find out what we should expect this afternoon.

    Of course, word of any tapering won’t come as a surprise. The market has been getting ready for it since May. That was when Chairman Ben Bernanke told the US Congress that the Fed would consider tapering (the media’s term, not his) the QE program should economic data improve. For the past several years, the Fed has been buying US Treasury and mortgage bonds to add dollars into the financial system and simultaneously lower interest rates.

    (Watch: Fed taper? Might as well be tightening, Wien says)

    As bond prices move

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  • Trader: “Tesla is Apple, pre-iPhone”

    By Lawrence Lewitinn | Talking Numbers – Tue, Sep 17, 2013 5:00 PM EDT

    Will Tesla leave GM in the dust?

    Shares of Tesla have far outpaced General Motors this year; it's up nearly 400%.

    But, GM now wants to go after Tesla's market, saying it is working on a $30,000 electric car, less than half of Tesla's lowest-priced model.

    Taking a further look at the two companies today on CNBC's Closing Bell's Talking Numbers segments are CNBC contributors Gina Sanchez, founder of Chantico Global, and Richard Ross, Global Technical Strategist at Auerbach Grayson. While Ross earlier looked at the charts on GM, he now takes on Tesla's.

    Watch the video above to see what Sanchez and Ross have to say about both Tesla and GM.

    More from Talking Numbers:

    Forget Goldman Sachs, the government’s after JP Morgan

    Cramer: “This stock is terrifc but…”

    Acampora: This stock is a double

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  • Forget Goldman Sachs, the government’s after JP Morgan

    By Lawrence Lewitinn | Talking Numbers – Tue, Sep 17, 2013 1:50 PM EDT

    JP Morgan Chase may be paying up to $800 million to settle a government suit stemming from the "London Whale" debacle. Is JP Morgan replacing Goldman Sachs as the government's new whipping boy?

    The government went whale hunting and it looks like it’s about to come home with a fairly nice catch – a hefty chunk of cash.

    According to published reports, JP Morgan Chase is about to settle with the US government for $800 million stemming from last year’s “London Whale” debacle.

    In the early spring of 2012, a London-based JPMorgan trader named Bruno Iksil took on such large positions in credit default swaps (CDSs) that he was referred to as the “London Whale”. The bank ultimately took a $2 billion loss that quarter but losses ultimately mounted to $6.2 billion.

    Yesterday, a grand jury indicted two JP Morgan employees – Iksil’s boss, Javier Martin Artajo, and Iksil’s assistant, Julien Grout – for their role in trying to hide Iksil’s losses. Iksil has not been charged.

    (Read: My client's a

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