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Why the gold surge is just starting: Peter Schiff

Talking Numbers

Gold rallies on news of a short-term budget deal but Peter Schiff, CEO and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, says that's just the beginning.

Goldman Sachs got it completely wrong, says Peter Schiff, CEO and Chief Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Capital. A budget deal doesn't make gold a "slam dunk sell", as Goldman's head of commodities trading Jeffrey Currie said it would on October 7. Instead, says Schiff, gold is a "screaming buy".

Gold may be up 3% Thursday on a debt deal between Congress and the President. But, Peter Schiff says the yellow metal has more room on the upside to go because of the deal, not in spite of it.

(Read: Gold jumps; Budget deal seen delaying stimulus cut)

Deficit spending far outweighs the benefits to the overall economy, according to Schiff in his latest note. "US GDP is measured at roughly $15 trillion per year," writes Schiff. "Two percent growth means that each year the GDP is approximately $300 billion larger than the prior year. But in the less than five years since Obama took office, the federal government has added, on average, about $1.3 trillion per year in new debt, a pace that is four times higher than the growth."

So, what does that mean for gold?

Appearing in a no-holds-barred interview on Talking Numbers, Schiff makes his case for why he thinks the recent debt ceiling deal should be bullish for bullion.

"When Goldman came out with that bogus call [saying gold will head down after a deal], I criticized it immediately because the crisis for gold was not that they would raise the debt ceiling, but that they would not," says Schiff to Talking Numbers. "What is bullish for gold is raising the debt ceiling because that means we get more government, we get more debt, [and] we get more inflation. That's bullish for gold."

In other words, Schiff is saying that without leaders aggressively taking on the government's debt, gold is headed higher. "In fact, this is probably the beginning of a much bigger rally," says Schiff.

Schiff believes the Fed won't taper its $85 billion per month bond buying program (known as "quantitative easing" or "QE") which has rallied bonds, lowered yields, and added dollars into the financial system. In fact, Schiff believes that the first thing Janet Yellen will do as Fed Chair is to actually increase the amount of bond-buying.

(Read: Prices up as debt deal draws investors)

The increased dollars in the economy will have a direct impact on the price of gold, according to Schiff – it's going up, he says. While this flies in the face of recent history – gold prices are down 20% over the last two years as the size of QE has increased – Schiff likens the selloff in gold to the tech bubble in the late 1990s. Eventually, he believes, the markets will flock to gold.

"Gold is going to make new highs – well above $2,000," says Schiff. "People are going to forget that this correction ever took place and we're going to keep on going higher because we are in a major, historic gold bull market."

Schiff isn't just bullish on gold, either. He thinks other commodities are also set to go up with the increase in the debt.

But, to see more of what Schiff has to say about the debt ceiling, gold, the Fed, Janet Yellen, and commodities, watch the video above.

More from Talking Numbers:

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