By Terry Connelly
It’s baseball season, so superstition is back in fashion in the stock market – not least, the old chestnut, “sell in May and go away!” And this little rhyme is not really like wearing the same socks to keep a win streak going; indeed, it’s all about knowing when to “fold” on the 2013 equity winning streak, take your cash and head to the beach. And there are even some statistics that bear out the claim that stock market returns in the May-September period do tend to run lower than over the remainder of the 12-month cycle commencing on May Day.
But as Rex Kramer (Robert Stack) warned us so memorably in the immortal movie, “Airplane,” when the hero pilot suggested an apparently obvious life-saving maneuver: “No, that’s just what they’ll be expecting us to do!”
Trusting the conventional wisdom
In this case, as in the past three years when “sell in May” seemed to work right (at least until about July), “they” are the hedge funds and other money managers who missed the Q1
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