The Exchange
  • The Housing Market Gets Bubbly Again

    Thirteen offers. In less than two weeks. This was not the subdued housing market I had been expecting.

    Daily Ticker

    Like many opportunistic Americans, I decided recently that it’s a terrific time to buy a home. The housing bust seems to have ended yet prices are still far below peak levels of 2006. Interest rates are close to record lows. My calculations showed I ought to be able to buy a decent place with after-tax monthly payments comparable to what I pay as a renter living outside New York City.

    I looked around for a while, discovering what “low inventory” means: The good properties attract a lot of interest because there aren’t many of them. After watching a couple of appealing homes sell fairly quickly, I placed my own bid on a fixer-upper with “good bones” in a great neighborhood. On my agent’s advice, I went against my instincts and even offered $20,000 more than the list price.

    I lost the bid. A dozen others bid on the same house in an auction held to accommodate all the offers. My agent

    Read More »from The Housing Market Gets Bubbly Again
  • Bernanke Stumbles, Markets React

    By John H. Makin

    During testimony to the Joint Economic Committee on the economic outlook Wednesday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke made a rare misstep. He left markets confused as to where Fed policy was headed. Here were the headlines in various newspapers Thursday morning:

    These are not headlines that any Fed chairman wants to see on a day after a testimony at a time when there is a great deal of uncertainty about the path of the economy and about the path of monetary policy.

    The problem arose when Chairman Bernanke was answering a series of probing questions by Joint Economic Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-Texas). Bernanke had given a very dovish testimony, suggesting that the Fed was not about to step away from aggressive QE until the economy improved substantially.

    But during the Brady Q&A, Bernanke muddied the waters. When

    Read More »from Bernanke Stumbles, Markets React
  • Why the Rich Don’t Feel Rich

    There’s just about no tolerance left in America for wealthy people griping about their financial woes. But put down the pitchforks for a moment and consider one possible exception we might all learn something from.

    Yahoo! Finance

    The money-news site The Billfold recently ran an interview with an anonymous physician who earns $570,000 a year and says, “I know that technically I am in the 1%, but I don’t feel rich at all.” He went on to explain how he owns a home worth nearly $1 million, three cars, a couple of investment properties, and a chunk of a profitable healthcare company yet still frets that he doesn’t have enough. “I don’t feel secure,” he said. “Before I had a job, the six-figure mark was a goal for everyone. And now I’ve hit the half-million dollar mark. I don’t know if I’d feel rich if I ever met the seven-figure mark.”

    Commenters howled, of course, deriding the discontented doc’s self-indulgence and making many predictable observations about materialism run amok. “It’s emblematic of the

    Read More »from Why the Rich Don’t Feel Rich
  • HP Earnings: Another Upside Surprise?

    By Marek Fuchs

    Is Hewlett Packard (HPQ) one giant malfunction?

    Atlantic Wire

    The media are certainly abuzz with brusque and condemning assessments of HP's second quarter, due to be reported after market close Wednesday. Forbes calls HP’s prospects “poor,” The Associated Press trots out the word “sag” and All Things D says that, strictly speaking, results are going to stink.

    The live audio webcast of HP’s conference call hasn’t been declared dead on arrival – but you get the point.

    Upside surprises

    Here’s the deal, though. HP surprised to the upside last quarter. In fact, it has surprised to the upside the past three quarters. Their earnings and conference calls were – relative to the coverage going into the earnings – quite well received.

    Should we expect the same contortion here?

    Make no mistake about it: HP is not ascendant. FactSet is expecting 81 cents per share on revenue of $28 billion, both marked declines from last year’s second quarter. For congenitally troubled computer makers such as HP

    Read More »from HP Earnings: Another Upside Surprise?

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