The Exchange
  • Krugman’s Four Dangerous Fiscal Fables

    By Laurence Kotlikoff

    There are four dangerous fiscal fables afloat. The first is that taxes can be cut to raise revenues and lower the deficit. The second is that spending can be raised to raise revenues and lower the deficit. The third is that the deficit can be financed by printing money with no real consequences. And the fourth, and most dangerous, is that the deficit's accumulated value -- the official debt -- is a meaningful measure of our country's or any country's true indebtedness.

    Paul Krugman, who has been pleading for more deficit spending on a continuous basis in his New York Times column, is hawking all four fables. Pity our children if our policymakers continue to take his views seriously.

    The Deficit and Reality

    Let's start with the worst fable, namely that the debt Krugman is considering is, in fact, the right measure of our government's obligations. The measure Krugman is using is the official debt in the hands of the public, which is $11 trillion. But the true debt,

    Read More »from Krugman’s Four Dangerous Fiscal Fables
  • (Updated at 4:58 p.m. ET)

    Despite the setbacks around the 787 Dreamliner, Boeing's (BA) stock is back at levels it hasn't seen in half a decade, with the latest step upward coming after a report that it could be close to announcing an $18 billion order, one of the biggest it's ever gotten.

    Boeing 737 Factory: Credit AP The Chicago-based airplane maker was trading not just beyond a 52-week high Tuesday, as a cursory glance at a basic chart would show, but instead has returned to an area it last occupied in May 2008. At the close, the stock was up $1.22, or 1.5%, at $84.16.

    Even though the 787 was grounded earlier this year owing to worries about the safety of the aircraft, shares of Boeing have gained 7.6% since the beginning of 2013. That's right in line with the 7.7% gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, of which it's a member, and ahead of the 6.4% advance for the S&P 500. Boeing's all-time closing high was $107.23 in July 2007, according to FactSet data.

    The day's lift for Boeing was being influenced by a

    Read More »from Boeing Stock at 5-Year High, With Ryanair Order in Works
  • Is HSBC Really ‘Too Big to Jail’?

    By Bartlett Naylor

    In December of last year, HSBC (HBC) admitted to money laundering violations covering $200 trillion worth of transactions involving Mexican and Columbian drug cartels, groups allegedly aligned with terrorist organizations, sanctioned nations and others. The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) explained it could not exact a penalty greater than one month’s profits against HSBC because doing so would cause systemic repercussions to the financial system. In shorthand, HSBC was “too big to jail.”

    On March 6, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder affirmed the “too big to jail” policy:

    "I am concerned that the size of some of these institutions becomes so large that it does become difficult for us to prosecute them when we are hit with indications that if you do prosecute, if you do bring a criminal charge, it will have a negative impact on the national economy, perhaps even the world economy. And I think that is a function of the fact that some of these institutions have become

    Read More »from Is HSBC Really ‘Too Big to Jail’?
  • The Fed as ‘Oz, the Great and Powerful’

    By Mohamed A. El-Erian

    Disney's "Oz the Great and Powerful," a bold extension of the classic "Wizard of Oz," opened to audiences nationwide this weekend. Judging from my family's reactions, Disney (DIS) has a success on its hands. And while watching it, I found myself drawing parallels with the Federal Reserve's attempt to promote growth and jobs - not only because of what the Fed is doing and how, but also because success ultimately depends on the same theme that is critical for the movie's happy ending.

    Similar to "Wicked," the smash Broadway play, the new movie is positioned as a preamble to the "Wizard of Oz." But rather than provide us the perspective of the witches, it tells the story of the wizard - his unlikely trip from Kansas to the Land of Oz, and the manner in which he deals with a role that is initially thrust on him but he then accepts rather willingly ... and, ultimately, succeeds at it.

    Some details about the move (and hopefully without playing the role of spoiler for

    Read More »from The Fed as ‘Oz, the Great and Powerful’

Pagination

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