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Harold Maass of The Week The Best of Today's Business

Harold Maass of The Week, The Best of Today's Business

Bollywood Dreams, Generic Wars

by Harold Maass of The Week

Excellent (42 Ratings)
4.238096/5
Posted on Wednesday, June 18, 2008, 12:00AM

NEWS AT A GLANCE

DreamWorks looks to India to shed Viacom

DreamWorks SKG is close to a deal with Indian entertainment conglomerate Reliance ADA Group, The Wall Street Journal reported. The joint venture would give DreamWorks $500 million to $600 million that it could put toward ending its increasingly tense relationship with Viacom's Paramount Pictures. (Reuters) Viacom bought DreamWorks for $1.6 billion in 2004. Reliance is talking to other Hollywood studios. (Los Angeles Times, free registration) Hollywood, meanwhile, is on track to beat last year's record $4 billion summer take. So far this summer, box office receipts had totaled $1.46 billion, up 5 percent from last year. "It's the least expensive way to get that entertainment fix," said Paul Dergarabedian of Media By Numbers. (MarketWatch)

Sanofi makes play for Czech generics maker

Top French drugmaker Sanofi-Aventis made a $2.6 billion bid for Czech pharmaceutical firm Zentiva, topping an earlier offer from financial firm PFF Group. Sanofi already owns 24.9 percent of Zentiva, which specializes in generic drugs, and PFF and its allies own 19.2 percent. (Reuters) Sanofi's offer tops PFF's by about 11 percent, and is 15 percent higher than Zentiva's share price before PFF's offer. Generics, which are seeing twice the growth rate of branded drugs, currently account for only 2 percent of Sanofi's sales. "This might signify that they are truly interested in building their generics business," said Bram Buring at Wood & Co. (Bloomberg)

LinkedIn joins ranks of billionaires

Professionals-oriented social networking site LinkedIn said Bain Capital Ventures and three existing investors purchased 5 percent of the company for $53 million, valuing LinkedIn at just over $1 billion. The 5-year-old company, which has been profitable since 2006, joins Facebook in the billionaire social-networking club. (Los Angeles Times, free registration) LinkedIn was the fourth most visited social site in May, but in contrast to the demographics of the other sites, its average member is 41 and earns $109,000 a year. It has 23 million members worldwide. (Reuters) "There are a lot of people who have both a Facebook and a LinkedIn account," said Jeffrey Glass of Bain Capital. "I think there's a lot of opportunity for these worlds to coexist." (The Wall Street Journal, paid subscription)

BEST COLUMNS OF THE DAY

Oiling your portfolio

As everyone knows, "oil is in a raging bull market," says Brett Arends in The Wall Street Journal. And "if you're sitting on the sidelines, you are missing out on profits." You're already "on the other side of this market," paying exorbitant gas prices, so you might as well cash in. And it's not too late. Oil is at record highs, but "so far, the boom has left big oil stocks trailing." The safest way for average investors to buy in is by slowly investing in a fund that invests in big oil companies, like an exchange-traded fund. It's true that "no investments are perfectly safe," but the shares of big oil companies "already anticipate a pretty sharp fall in the oil price." Comparatively, big oil today isn't that big of a risk.

Why the long face?

Ask Americans about the economy and "their answer is stark," says Neil Irwin in The Washington Post. They'll say "it is not just bad, it is run-for-the-hills terrible." But is it? "Soft? You betcha. In recession? Quite possibly." But when you look at "most broad measures" of the economy, "it's not that grim." Unemployment isn't that high, not so many jobs have been shed, and GDP is still growing. So why the disconnect? Maybe the things that are up (gas and food) and down (home values) affect most people more often. It could also be that we're just used to good times, so any downturn "feels terrible." But real or not, it matters what we think -- pessimism can easily become a "self-fulfilling prophecy."

GOOD DAY FOR: Working in the park, after a group of local investors took over a work-in-progress Philadelphia-wide free wireless Internet venture from EarthLink. EarthLink dropped the project after few people signed up for its $20-a-month service. Under new ownership, the service will be free and, eventually, available outdoors all over Philadelphia. (The Philadelphia Inquirer)

BAD DAY FOR: Belt tightening, as people looking to trim expenses are finding that walking and jogging outside is cheaper than belonging to a gym. Gym memberships fell for the first time in a decade last year, according to the International Health, Racquet & Sportsclub Association, and the numbers seem to be getting worse for gyms. (Los Angeles Times, free registration)

NOTED: Stockholm-based Hennes & Mauriz, Europe's No. 2 clothing retailer, reported a better-than-forecast 14 percent rise in quarterly profit, to $650 million, as budget-conscious shoppers started buying summer clothes. "Stores in the low price segment are relatively better off," said Evli Bank analyst Anders Wiklund. "People still need to buy clothes." H&M buys 60 percent of its clothes in Asia, in dollars, and the greenback's weakness versus the Swedish kronor also helped its bottom line. (Bloomberg)

This column was written by Peter Weber and edited by Harold Maass of TheWeekDaily.com.

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9 Comments

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  • fong_chay_nun - Wednesday, June 18, 2008, 2:31PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    The issue is not what is said, but how much is timely. This is a "must-read" column. Those who object to the content must still recognize that it is relevant. The issue is not what is true, but what people are saying and (maybe even believing) is true.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday, June 18, 2008, 11:10AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    Russia's biggest oil company, Gazprom, has predicted that oil will hit $250 per barrel in 2009. I don't know which is scarier... that prediction, or Jus being a "money manager". He doesn't know squat about fundamentals (or anything else he continually spews out diatribes about). Oil demand in the US is falling, by about a marginal 4%, but demand is steady or increasing elsewhere in the world. And worldwide production is falling. Production in Russia alone is falling 5-8%, and that's not likely to change in the next decade. Mexico's oil wells are seeing significant production decreases as they start to peter out. Saudi Arabia after a Bush visit says they are going to produce more (less than 1%), but they won't release what their production capacity is. Maybe because they are close to capacity?!? You can speculate about the effect of speculation on the market, and my guess is speculation maybe accounts for 10% of the price, but the fundamentals are there --- demand is outstripping supply.

  • Chris G - Wednesday, June 18, 2008, 10:53AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    I agree with bigrhyno69. Jus, if you would actually go and read the article, it says that big oil companies like Exxon are trading at a P/E of about 13. That's pretty decent and prices in a decline in the oil price.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday, June 18, 2008, 10:40AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 3/5

    What's up with Gus. He's playing money mgr now -- good grief. Some already said the bubble would burst for the last 4-5 years. Keep saying and the bubble will burst someday of course. The fundamental problem is that Gus only talks -- and talk is cheap. Show us a $70pb gas pump.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday, June 18, 2008, 10:06AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    Jus, I agree that the supply/demand fundamentals do not support oils current high price. Emotional speculation as well as increased coverage by an uneducated media have made a mountain out of a mole hill. If this weren't an election year, we wouldn't be having this discussion. Additionally, I don't understand why you consistantly rate these articles with one star. In my mind, the material presented is always informative and timely. Do I disagree with some of what's said? Sure I do. But it isn't Harold (or really Peter) who's saying it. They are just the messenger. . .

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