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Charles Wheelan, Ph.D. The Naked Economist

Charles Wheelan, Ph.D., The Naked Economist

The Twilight of Free-Market Ideology

by Charles Wheelan, Ph.D.

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Posted on Friday, October 24, 2008, 12:00AM

When I heard Alan Greenspan's testimony before Congress last Thursday, I had one immediate thought: This is the beginning of the end for the free-market ideologues.

According to press reports of the testimony, Greenspan told Congress that he "had put too much faith in the self-correcting power of free markets." That's no small statement.

In fact, it struck me that if 1989 was the year when no reasonable person could still believe in communism (or any of its government-intensive relatives), then 2008 will go down in history as the year in which the free-market zealots saw their "wall" come crumbling down.

Too Free to Last

You don't have to take it from me. Just look around. One by one, the economic meltdown is slaying one shibboleth of the uber-free-market camp after another.

Here are some of the inflexible, hardcore beliefs that are crashing along with the stock market:

• Individuals always know best

Not so much, it turns out. The whole financial crisis is rooted in irrational personal decisions. Consumers borrowed more than they could afford based on the naive assumption that housing prices would always go up. Not just a few people -- lots and lots of them.

• Firms always manage resources better than government

Let's take a poll of Lehman Brothers shareholders to see how they feel about that statement. One of the most remarkable things about the whole crisis is the amount of wealth destroyed by private firms. The shareholders and managers of firms like Bear Stearns, Lehman, AIG, Countrywide, and others destroyed themselves.

That can't be blamed on flawed regulation. No matter how bad the regulatory scheme, it's never rational for private firms to destroy themselves along with all of the wealth of their shareholders.

It's definitely true that government incompetence deserves a share of the blame (e.g., Fannie and Freddie, or the push to put low-income citizens in homes they couldn't afford), but that doesn't make blindly eliminating regulations the answer. Deregulation and sensible regulation are not synonymous.

• Tax cuts are an economic miracle balm

I suppose one could argue that the economy would be in even worse shape right now without the Bush tax cuts -- but that's pretty thin gruel. The more reasonable argument is that the deficits that have accumulated over the last eight years -- during relatively good economic times -- are a hugely destabilizing force going forward. Everything happening right now is made much worse by the fact that the United States is highly indebted to the rest of the world. The ideologues pushed tax cuts without demanding corresponding spending cuts, and that's just plain irresponsible.

Three entities borrowed recklessly over the past decade: homeowners, Wall Street, and the U.S. government. So far, only two of them have had their reckoning.

• Less government is always better

I don't think most Americans are prepared to tell Hank Paulson and Ben Bernanke to leave the markets alone right now. Nor are they pushing for the FDIC to scrap the insurance on bank deposits. And many of us are wondering: 1) What is a credit default swap? 2) How could something I've never heard of be destabilizing the economy? and 3) Why didn't someone do something about this?

Does all of this mean that economics books should be burned and Nobel Prizes returned to Stockholm? Absolutely not. The free-market zealots were never right in the first place; they twisted, bastardized, and oversimplified conventional economic thinking. They saw simplicity where the bulk of economists saw tradeoffs and qualifications. They clung to simple and elegant views despite all evidence to the contrary -- and the analysis in the first 10 chapters of any basic microeconomics text.

A colleague of mine, who worked in (and was frustrated by) the George W. Bush administration, coined a term that summarizes it best: faith-based economics. That's not supposed to be how it works.

• Mainstream economists have a profound belief in markets

But they also understand that markets fail in some cases. And they recognize that most markets work better with some government infrastructure, whether it's information, modest regulation, or just a place to sue someone who cheats you.

Mainstream economists recognize the costs of taxation; taxes take money out of people's pockets and distort behavior in ways that can have serious economic costs. But the non-ideologues also recognize that tax revenues can be used to provide government services that make people better off. Good policy is about managing that messy tradeoff.

Mainstream economists recognize that individuals have a pretty good idea of what they want -- but that those same individuals sometimes make systematic errors of judgment, which can lead to things like bubbles and panics.

Mainstream economists recognize that too much regulation can harm innovation and diminish prosperity. But they also recognize that sensible regulation provides information and security, both of which make it much easier to do business with strangers. Regulation also protects third parties from market behavior that has negative spillovers, whether it's the guy who drinks too much at the bar before getting into his car or the paint factory that cuts costs by dumping lead in your drinking water.

A Monument to Self-Interest

There's now a museum in Berlin where visitors can go to see a remnant of the Berlin Wall and learn about the damage done by an overly rigid, poorly conceived ideology.

Maybe there should be some kind of 2008 Meltdown Museum. It would have a large subdivision of homes, all with "for sale" signs out in front. And there would be a quotation from Alan Greenspan inscribed over the arch at the entrance:

"Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders' equity, myself included, are in a state of shocked disbelief."

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1608 Comments

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  • Yahoo! Finance User - Monday, October 27, 2008, 12:10AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    About damn time. Had someone sed this last year he would have been roasted. Oh, the power of ever shifting public opinion...

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Monday, October 27, 2008, 12:36AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Gee. Let's pull out Jimmy Carter, dust him off and put him in charge again. Markets go up, markets go down. It's been that way for a thousand years. Socialism does not work--never will. Individuals are best at making their own decisions--even bad ones. We all make mistakes. We've entrusted the government with Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid--all terrible failures that are about to go bankrupt. And you want them to control MORE of your life?

  • r00t61 - Monday, October 27, 2008, 12:36AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    This is perhaps Dr. Whelan's most disingenuous article to date. Nothing about the current financial situation has anything to do with "free-markets." 1. In free markets, there is no central bank (or international cabal of them), the Federal Reserve, artificially creating fiat credit out of the ether, encouraging the misallocation of capital resources and over-leveraged risk-seeking behavior. 2. In free markets, there is no FDIC insurance that encourages the mass of the uneducated sheeple to put their money in banks, that encourages those same banks to make risky loans with their capital, since any bad bets will be paid via FDIC. 3. In free markets, there are no such things as Government-sponsored Enterprises (GSE), Fannie and Freddie, who can make equally bad bets given their "implicit" government backing and intervention. 4. In free markets, there is no government that actively encourages debt (mortgage interest deduction) whilst simultaneously discouraging saving (manipulation of the Fed fund rate). 5. In free markets, there is no government that actively encourages business-related accounting fraud and manipulation of equity exchanges (see SEC and mark-to-market accounting, off-balance-sheet liabilities, and prohibition of naked short selling). 6. In free markets, there are no governments interested in keeping the values of homes artificially high, since property tax revenues pay for such a disproportionate amount of corrupt state and local administrations' operating budgets. 7. In free markets, there are no governments that, in a transfer of wealth that would have left Marx snickering, take $700 billion and give it to those institutions that were directly responsible for the mess in the first place, under the guise of "encouraging liquidity." I could go and on, but I would gather that most informed readers are already familiar with everything I've mentioned. If you enjoy Dr. Whelan's vision of the future, that of a "benevolent," Keynesian government that knows more than you, that seeks to protect you from yourself and your irrational decisions, just look at the UK today: 50, 60, 70% taxes and beyond, just to prop up all of their pointless Ministries and ubiquitous speed cameras, and your vision will be realized.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Monday, October 27, 2008, 12:46AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Ditto r00t61. Fannie, Freddie, and the Fed are hardly part of the free market. And the blame for this mess is rests squarely with those three entities. Zero down, interest only, no-doc home loans would never exist to the level they did recently in a truly free market. What idiot would loan his own money on those terms.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Monday, October 27, 2008, 12:48AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    This guy always writes good articles. I agree that free market zealots oversimply and place great faith in free markets to correct themselves without devastating consequences. Like it or not, the markets need a constant stabilizing force such as the government.

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