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Jack M. Guttentag The Mortgage Professor

Jack M. Guttentag, The Mortgage Professor

When Foreclosure Is the Unwise Choice

by Jack M. Guttentag

Very Good (180 Ratings)
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Posted on Wednesday, April 16, 2008, 12:00AM

When should a foreclosure not occur?

Here is an example: John X had his home foreclosed on this year. It cost the investor who held the mortgage around $40,000 to foreclose. It would have cost only $25,000 to make the mortgage affordable to the borrower through a reduction in the interest rate. Modifying the loan contract in this way would have kept X in his home and saved the investor money. This is not an isolated case; preventable foreclosures are happening all around us.

Note that I am using a cold-blooded business definition, not a bleeding-heart classification, of needless foreclosure. Under this definition, if it costs an investor more to foreclose a mortgage than to make it viable, then it is a needless foreclosure. This is not taking into account the additional human toll exacted by foreclosures, which can certainly be very high.

Loan Modifications

Mortgage contracts are modified, at some cost to the investor, in order to prevent the larger cost of a foreclosure later on. Modifications include adding the unpaid interest to the loan balance -- called interest capitalization -- and calculating a new payment. To make the payment more affordable, the term may be lengthened and/or the interest rate reduced. In cases where the property is worth less than the loan balance, the balance may be reduced.

The problem is that there are major impediments to loan modifications.

Borrower Denial

Developing a new loan contract that a distressed borrower can live with requires the full participation of the borrower. But many borrowers in trouble practice denial -- they don't contact their servicer, and they may not even respond if the servicer contacts them.

Moral Hazard

Investors are very concerned that, if modifications are offered too easily or too early, some borrowers will claim to need one even if they don't. This is a major reason investors restrict the discretion of servicers to modify contracts.

Restrictions on Servicers

Today, third-party servicing where the firm servicing the loan does not own it is more often the rule than the exception. In the case of loans that have been securitized, it is always the case.

Investors restrict the discretion of servicers to modify loan contracts because their interests are different. Investors want modification only if the alternative is a more costly liquidation or foreclosure. They want to avoid early modifications that would later prove unnecessary, and they want to avoid encouraging borrowers to default who might not otherwise.

Servicers, in contrast, want to protect their servicing fees, which they receive only from loans in good standing. Their general preference, therefore, is for early intervention.

A common contractual restriction on servicers is that modifications are permitted only for loans in default or for which default is imminent or reasonably foreseeable. Another is that any modification must be in the best interest of the investor.

These create potential legal liability for the servicer. To be safe, some servicers limit modifications to loans already in default, which means 90 days delinquent or more.

Scarcity of Critically Needed Staff

Most interactions between mortgage borrowers and servicers are handled by computers and relatively unskilled employees. Borrowers in serious trouble are referred to a smaller number of more-skilled and specialized employees. With the onset of the mortgage crisis, servicers were caught short of this critical but costly resource. While they now claim to have expanded their staffs to handle the workflow, a financial disincentive to adequate staffing remains.

Mortgage Insurance

On mortgages carrying mortgage insurance that go to foreclosure, investors are protected up to the maximum coverage of the policy, which is usually enough to cover all or most of the loss. This discourages modifications. Why do a modification for $15,000 if the $40,000 foreclosure cost is going to be paid by the mortgage insurer? Even if the insurance coverage falls short of the foreclosure cost, the shortfall has to exceed the modification cost before modification becomes financially more attractive.

Second Mortgages

Many of the borrowers in trouble have two mortgages with different lenders, which complicates matters. The servicer looking to modify the first mortgage must make sure the borrower can afford both mortgages, and that the second mortgage lender does not upset the apple cart by foreclosing. My mail from borrowers in trouble suggests that some servicers are prepared to invest a bit of effort in working with second mortgage lenders -- and some are not.

Lack of Public Disclosure

Nothing in connection with modifications is publicly disclosed except what servicers wish to disclose, which invariably is whatever presents them in a favorable light. There is no way for the public to know who is doing a good job and who isn't.

Because of these impediments, modifications are making only a modest dent in the foreclosure problem. Other remedies will be discussed in a future article.

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64 Comments

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  • zumaglenzuma - Tuesday, April 22, 2008, 9:45PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    This guy has no idea what a market is. Real Estate is by definition illiquid, therefore, he is using the bid ask for the market to ridicule the lender for foreclosing. Go back to your liberal think tank and remember everyone buy gold and end socialism

  • jasoncawley1 - Tuesday, April 22, 2008, 1:43PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    The problem with all the example numbers is that the required modification size is unrealistic. People aren't barely unable to afford their mortgages, they are hopelessly unable to afford them. The lender is actually choosing between writing off half to a third of the loan principle, or foreclosing and selling the house for whatever it will fetch. The losses on sale dwarf the figures given in the article, but so do the necessary adjustments. Only a trivial portion of the market is in the thin, marginal case the writer describes. It isn't the other disincentives he mentions, that get in the way. There just isn't a hill of beans there if only a tiny portion of borrowers are only barely on the edge of default. As prices adjust for real, that group becomes even more irrelevant to the whole crisis. What needs to happen instead is for house prices to adjust rapidly to sustainable levels, which are way below current prices. All these workout pallatives are an attempt to prevent that from happening. But it is the only thing that will actual fix any of it.

  • Nemo - Tuesday, April 22, 2008, 1:11PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    Why are so many people HAPPY when other people are in financial trouble? Don't they realize that everybody loses when large numbers of people are broke? I suggest we take Mr. G's business-like approach to the problem - cut our losses and MOVE ON! (p.s., I've never even been late on a payment for my modest place - not looking for handouts here).

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday, April 22, 2008, 12:31PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    I'm HAPPY these people are getting foreclosed on. If you bought more house than you can afford, you lied about your income, or you failed to read the loan docs before signing, you should be forced to leave. It is unfair to those of us who are responsible and live within our means that idiots like this get to live high on the hog and then expect the people who are responsible, like me, to come bail them out when things go wrong. Remember the story of the ant and the grasshopper. Live within your means and be responsible, or you belong out in the street!!!

  • Jeff - Monday, April 21, 2008, 8:12PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 3/5

    First off.. everyone involved here is taking a risk.. everyone from the borrower to the investor.. if the loan can be salvaged then why not try and work on fixing the situation.. there is nothing that says you cant modify a contract for a short turn.. at least the borrower has a chance with some relief to eventually pick up where they left off before the modification.. Poor business practices along with "ruthless" lenders and investors is why we are in the state were in.. In all fairness if borrowers try to make good on the loan obligation even with a modification, then the investors should consider that as integrity at its best..

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