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Mick Weinstein The Week's Best Stock Blogs

Mick Weinstein, The Week's Best Stock Blogs

Probing Policy Proposals

by Mick Weinstein

Fair (105 Ratings)
1.95238/5
Posted on Friday, February 6, 2009, 12:00AM

"I don't care if you are driving in a hybrid or an SUV -- if you are driving toward a cliff, you've got to change directions," said President Obama Thursday while presenting his administration's $800 billion-plus stimulus plan. In a similar egalitarian spirit, Obama on Wednesday announced he'd like to cap compensation for top executives at companies receiving "exceptional" federal aid in the future. Econobloggers weighed in on this week's policy proposals from Washington:

The $3k Per U.S. Citizen Stimulus Plan

Jesse Eisinger urges the president to stop trying to form a consensus and start acting boldly, as he had promised: "It's time to put some bullets in the heads of the zombies [Wall St. and Republicans] and take control."

• Remember Richard Pryor in the movie 'Brewster's Millions'? 'The Economist's' blog FreeExchange draws a parallel to today -- Obama's Billions: "They need to spend a lot of money in a short amount of time without generating big permanent increases in government budgets. And that, as Monty Brewster discovered, isn't easy to do."

Megan McArdle is "weakly convinced that spending does have more stimulative effects than tax cuts." For more on this particular contentious matter, see Tyler Cowen.

• Harvard economics prof. Greg Manikiw presents his preferred fiscal stimulus: "I would institute an immediate and permanent reduction in the payroll tax, financed by a gradual, permanent, and substantial increase in the gasoline tax."

Diane Lim Rogers draws a distinction between short-term and longer-term goals of stimulating the economy: "If the goal is longer-term growth, we need to focus on policies that truly increase our nation's productive capacity, policies that will leave us -- beyond the recession -- with new and useful infrastructure, new and efficient technologies, and a healthier and better-educated labor force."

Mark Zandi in Real Time Economics in 'The Wall Street Journal': "If I were king for the day I might define the stimulus differently...The part of it that doesn't really fit what I was hoping for was the spendout ratio on infrastructure. The spendout ratio is slower than expected."

Markham Lee is troubled by proposed tax breaks for new cars -- but nothing for doctor bills: "Perhaps instead of encouraging people to continue (or revisit) their bad habits, our government should be thinking about how to incentivize savings."

• Law professor and 'Instapundit' author Glenn Reynolds says the "killer question on the stimulus is, What's the rush? A week or two won't make a difference. Heck, a month wouldn't."

Jay Liao concurs with James Surowiecki that the stimulus plan may be "all about the framing."

• Finally, Jeff Miller presents "fear and loathing of the stimulus plan."

Executive Pay

Felix Salmon thinks the proposed $500,000 pay cap for CEOs at institutions that receive large amounts of bailout money will be productive: "There might be problems in hiring top talent, over the long term, if no one in the company is going to make more than $500,000. But that's not what's going on: For one thing, these salary restrictions are explicitly temporary, and for another, they don't apply to more junior employees."

Joe Wiesenthal at Clusterstock: "This was actually an extremely narrow announcement, covering only a few people at a handful of firms, and even they can probably get paid well under the right scenario... but ultimately we're happy about that, since executive pay debates are all about perception, not about economics."

McArdle , tongue firmly in cheek: "Maybe figuring out how to live on such meagre returns will be valuable training for figuring out how to operate a financial services firm without regular infusions of taxpayer cash."

• From the right, Michael Graham lays into Barney Frank's advocacy of extending the CEO pay cap to all U.S. corporations; from the left, Jonathan Tasini says the proposed pay caps are merely "a mirage."

Fixing the Banking System

Yves Smith, upon hearing of the Obama administration's latest plans to aggressively buy and/or guarantee toxic assets on financial firms' balance sheets: "Dear God, let's just kiss the US economy goodbye. It may take a few years before the loyalists and permabulls throw in the towel, but the handwriting is on the wall." Surowiecki challenges Smith, and believes her position "certainly doesn't describe the way bailed-out banks have acted over the past four months."

Roger Ehrenberg appreciates Obama's "passionate" delivery on TV last night, yet regarding the financial sector, he believes "[t]he ideas being proposed simply won't work, and I don't care which Harvard Ph.Ds are saying so. It is a matter of transparency. It is a matter of good governance. It is a matter of creating healthy institutions that are in a position to fund the renewal and growth of this country. Current plans do not contemplate any of these things."

• Yale Law student James Kwak: "I don't envy President Obama's economic team. When it comes to fixing our banking system, there is no easy solution... any scheme in which the banks receive more than market value is a gift from taxpayers to bank shareholders, and any scheme in which they are forced to take market value is one that the banks will not participate in."

Accrued Interest weighs in on Tim Geithner's "bad bank/worse bank" proposal: "Banks get very little in fresh cash, only certainty as to the downside on their assets. But I argue that's not all bad. If we just give banks cash, they are essentially allowed to grow earnings on the backs of taxpayers."

Finally, for those who can't get enough of the Bernard Madoff story, a few interesting items emerged this week:

• It seems 'The Wall St. Journal' blew a chance to expose Bernie a few years ago. Those editors must have been kicking themselves when Madoff turned himself in, in early December.

A full list of Madoff clients was released by the courts -- do you know anyone?

• Would a blog from Harry Markopolos, the Madoff whistleblower who testified before Congress this week, have stopped Madoff long ago? I think it's likely -- too bad he never started one.

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68 Comments

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  • Brian - Monday, February 9, 2009, 4:20PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    JimJim. You don't understand OWNERSHIP, and OWNERSHIP RIGHTS. If they are overpaid, implying the job is easy, than there would be many more people working on Wall St. The working man has not been forgotten about, companies are run for a profit! It's not a hobby! If they weren't profitable, what do you think would happen to the working man? With his company failing, I'm sure he'd be so grateful his employer was so "fair" and thoughtful. All that incomprehendable cash provides the infrastructure for me to earn 40k a year. I have not forgotten my OPPURTUNITY for employment. The is no right to employment. Madoff is one man. Can you do what Buffet does? I thought not. In regard to the article, i'm not too impressed. Anyone with half a brain knows what this "stimulus package" is all about. A golf course in Nebraska? Frisbee golf in Austin? What the 4ell is all this PORK!

  • JOel - Monday, February 9, 2009, 3:21PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    The comment that the perception that Wall streets execs are over paid is bunk. The justification that a half a million a year is not enough is crap. Mr. Paulsons comments about who earns the money insults the people who come to work every day and grind! This is indicative of what is wrong. The people who make money can not do what they do without the support that they forget about. Ever wonder why the majority of people who work would not dare tell the truth. There was article from a Wall street tyoe who wrote he would work at a Non profit. His expectaion was he would worl 8 to 4 Monday through Friday. He epitimizes the lack of understanding of how " The little people " work. Non profits now hand their management staff Cell phones and computers. Although hours may only be 8 to 4 the office goes home and you are on call 24 / 7. All that for about 40 K per year. Work two years on Wall Sreet 16 hour days and most Americans can retire. I guess Wall street has not lost sight it is just the rest of us working slobs. My wife would gladly let me earn Wall Street wages as I already work the hours. Cannot feel these guys are over compensated Or how can one person earn in day what it takes another fourty years to earn? Ther is no defense to this when people are losing their homes, marriages, and livlihood!

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Monday, February 9, 2009, 7:12AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 3/5

    While the American people are trying to do the right thing and save money again the US Government is trying to eliminate that by borrowing more money. Most of the stimulus will not create perminent jobs but will simply transfer temperary jobs from the future to today. The interest alone on 800 billion, @ 4%, (rates today may be lower but they will go up before we pay it off, you should use the average current rate on Government debt so 4% may actually be low) Will be 32 billion dollars. Fica Taxes are about 600 billion dollars a year, that is about 5% or enough to cut both your employer and your taxes by .4%. Assuming 80% job creation from the extra money, and the Government will get back about 25% in taxes you get about.5% for you and .5% for your employer. It comes out be be effective 40 billion dollars a year. This means that employers could add 500,000 jobs without increasing payrolls. Also consumers making under 100k can spend more without reducing the savings rate. If you assume 50% you will get another 250,000 or so jobs. As a back check you can do 40 billion/ 55K that yeilds 725,000 perminent jobs on the interest alone!

  • kerry b - Sunday, February 8, 2009, 11:13PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    So far the media is hyoing this recession. Notice that they present meaningless data if it seems serious - for example, the latest fraud is to describe the job losses as "the most since 1974." Problem is, we measure in trms of unemployment rate, not number of jobs lost from two economies seperated by 35 years and wildly different population sizes. Those 1974 numbers mean nothing in trying to gauge today's numbers. What they are is around 7.5% unemployment rate, which is less than the typical (and quite mild) postwar recession, of which there have been 11, and which, just like this one, begin, on average , 6 years after the last one. Ho-hum. Noting to see here , folks. Move along.

  • netcomhawk - Sunday, February 8, 2009, 11:29AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    Start off with a $2,000 per person tax rebate. Make it $500 per quarter starting June 1st. (Cost: $400 - $600 billion) This will build consumer confidence, give the politicians and Treasury some more time to negotiate a better deal for future spending and bad bank set up. Most of the'stimulus' in the present bills don't take effect until late 09 early 10.____ Limit pay and get preferred shares (or a stake in) ANY company that receives money from the government whether it be through a bailout, a subsidy, or any pork that the government supplies in ALL FUTURE BUDGETS. __ It's hilarious that out of the House version, of the $150 Billion to the states that Alaska and Montana get over $900 per capita while the majority of states get around $500 per capita.___ Change? I think not. Just the same old smell squishy sandwich wrapped with a 'D' on it instead of wrapped with a 'R' on it. ___ Changing accounting rules is pretty stupid, but hey, it's Enron accounting. Once again the focus is on short-term "profits" and that's what dragged Enron/WorldCom down, and now the banks.

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