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Ben Stein How Not to Ruin Your Life

Ben Stein, How Not to Ruin Your Life

When Paying Off Doesn't Pay

by Ben Stein

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Posted on Friday, June 22, 2007, 12:00AM

I was going to write a humor piece about the horrors of summer business travel, but after a spectacularly terrifying experience last night flying from Chicago to L.A., I decided I'd better put that in the "too awful to be told" category rather than the humor one for a while.

Instead, I'll deal with some frequently asked questions about finance, and personal finance in particular.

Plenty of Liquids

I get many letters asking whether it's better to pay off your mortgage or invest the money in the stock market instead. This is a complex question, but I'll offer several ways of thinking about it.

First, no one ever spent a sleepless night because she had millions in the bank and stocks but didn't have her home paid off. On the other hand, if you pay off your mortgage and deprive yourself of liquidity, you could be in for some miserable times.

As I see it, if money is even the slightest bit tight, hold onto it and pay off the mortgage month by month. There's nothing magically good about having a paid-off mortgage, but there's something seriously bad about not having ready liquid assets even if your home is paid for.

Slow and Steady

Yes, I know you can refinance and borrow against your house. But that takes time and creates aggravation. Why not just pay off the mortgage slowly but steadily and hang onto the liquidity that makes life so much more comfortable instead?

This is especially true if you're an older person. It doesn't do you one bit of harm to leave a home with a mortgage to your heirs. That's their problem -- and it's a very small problem.

It's far better in your later years to have cash on hand when you need it than to burn the mortgage note in the proverbial fireplace.

On Returning

But what if you can pay off the mortgage and still have plenty left for your liquidity needs? Even then, I'd think twice about rushing to pay off the mortgage.

As pointed out to me by my fraternity brother Larry Lissitzyn -- a very smart investor -- we earn, in rough terms, what the rate of interest was on a mortgage (not counting the immense tax benefit of the mortgage interest's deductibility) when we pay it off.

That is, if you have a mortgage with 6.5 percent interest, you'd earn roughly 6.5 percent by paying it off early. That's a fine rate of return and nothing to sneeze at. But the rate of return on broad U.S. stock market indexes over very long periods is closer to 9 percent -- a substantial difference.

Stocking Up

To be sure, there are long periods when the stock market doesn't return even close to 9 percent per annum. But it usually does, again on average and again over long periods. So you might be better off -- again -- just paying off your mortgage month by month and not taking the money out of the stock market.

On the other hand, if you have plenty of stocks according to your investment advisor and a huge surplus of cash -- which many people do have -- you might well want to use some of that to pay down your mortgage. A standard mortgage is now in the high sixes, and you won't get a risk-free return of that scale on any cash instrument I know of.

In short, unless you're sitting on surplus cash, I see no urgent reason to pay down or pay off your mortgage in a hurry.

Gold-Standard Advice

The second question I'm frequently asked is, Should I buy gold? I've never been a fan of gold as an investment. I know that since the early 1970s it's gone up from about $35 an ounce to (at one point) the high nine-hundreds. But it's also fluctuated wildly.

Gold has been "limit down" day after day in some bad periods. It dropped by almost two-thirds from the late '70s into the early '80s. It pays no dividends. And it's subject to attempts at market manipulation.

If you feel you absolutely must participate in precious metals I suggest buying gold jewelry, or else buying stock in highly diversified precious metals ETFs and mutual funds that combine many gold and silver mining stocks from all over the world. They fluctuate far less often than the raw material, yet they can grow dramatically if the metals rise.

Gold is lovely as a gift, then, but I don't see it as an investment for the ordinary citizen unless he or she is compulsively attached to its luster.

Trust Funds

Third, how do you play the falling dollar? Again, I wouldn't recommend speculation in the currency itself. That's far, far, far too treacherous for the ordinary investor.

But you can buy mutual funds and ETFs that own European, Asian, and Australian stocks, plus Canadian and South American stocks. These are usually denominated in the local currency. As it rises against the dollar, your investment is translated back into dollars and gets to be ever more valuable. Plus, you have the gain in profitability of the foreign stocks should there be any.

As I've said many times, I recommend the EFA ETF for investments in European, Australian, and Asian developed economies -- it's especially heavy into the United Kingdom. I recommend the EEM or the ADRE for investments in developing countries in Asia, South and Central America, and Eastern Europe. All of these have benefited greatly in recent years from the dollar's fall, and they do pay dividends, unlike gold.

The growth in value of these funds has been so immense that I wouldn't expect it to continue at anything like the recent rate. And there have been some serious fluctuations in the developing markets, even to a stomach-turning degree. But even if the EFA, the EEM, and ADRE grew at half their recent rate, you'd handily beat the Dow and S&P's recent moves. I wouldn't put most of my savings into these vehicles, but for a quarter to a half, you might consider it..

Ben Stein has no financial interest in the ETFs mentioned in this column.

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250 Comments

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  • Justin - Tuesday, September 8, 2009, 9:17PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 4/5

    Stein omits a key element: market timing. While few people can call market "bottoms" or "tops," it's not that hard to tell when an investment class has "gone down" (gold, RE, stocks, etc) enough to be a good purchase at the moment. Don't buy RE during a RE boom, or gold during a gold boom -- same for stocks. Another omitted aspect dealing with context: what if your home value is far underwater? Say you have lots of cash -- enough to "pay down" your mortgage so that you'd break even if you sold your house. But what a stupid, STUPID investment decision! At least, in states that only let lenders seize your home in the event of a foreclosure. You're better off keeping the cash so if you lose your job (or something else bad happens), YOU STILL HAVE THE CASH (or whatever else you invested it in) if your lender plays hardball and takes your home despite your best attempts to keep it. There's liquidity again. Those "greedy people" made the mistake of buying stocks when stocks were POPULAR rather than hated. During a boom, low-valued gold is often the best value at the time. Now that we're in a recession, gold however, is highly prized -- so if you want protection against inflation, buy TIPS bonds. They cost the same as they always did, but provide great inflation protection. Bonds are horrible right now because of low rates, but know what's great? Preferred stocks. They work the same as bonds, with VERY slightly more risk (companies owe debtors first, then bondholders, then preferred stockholders, then common stockholders). Many of them pay great rates at the moment, better than most bonds. So...what's low now, overall? TIPS bonds, preferred stocks, and RE. What's high now? Gold...and it could be argued that the current "recovery-bull-rally" has produced an inflated, massively-overbought common-stock market as well. (I believe this personally and have liquidated my stocks after a 25% capital gain, putting everything into preferred stocks averaging 12%, which gives a 1% return MONTHLY. Dunno about you, but I like that.)

  • DenLors Tools - Tuesday, August 4, 2009, 11:02AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    The interest on the onset of a mortgage looks nothing like 6%. On a $1500 at the beginning of the loan youd'd be lucky to have $400 going towards the principle. Save a fraction on a deduction or save huge amounts of interest? I'll save the interest. And don't get me started on the 50% drop my 401K has taken recently!

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday, March 3, 2009, 8:48AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    The problem with Ben's statment: "just pay off your mortgage month by month" is that you are really not paying off your mortgage. Mostly, you are paying interest. Even though the interest is tax deductable, only a tiny fraction of your mortgage payment is decreasing your total debt, at least for the first 2/3 of a typical mortgage term. In the past, this interest was at least partially offset by a home's appreciation. But that's not true in 2009. Nor is that 9% rate of return on stocks going to hold up for the next 5-10 years either. Bottom line - paying off a mortgage makes much more sense now than it did 2-3 years ago. For a number of reasons, financial professionals are indoctrinated to spout thoughtless knee-jerk arguments against paying off a mortgage. They'd rather you invest in stocks and mutual funds (EFT's). And get commissions. And the mortgage companies also don't want consumers to pay off either. They're very happy to be getting a steady profit stream from your monthly interest. But think for yourself - if paying off credit card debt is advisable, and paying off auto loans is good, why is paying off a LARGER debt, with MORE accumulated interest over time a bad financial decision? Answer - it's NOT a bad idea. The financial services industry wants you to think so - but ask them for an alternative investment tool with a guaranteed 6.5% rate of return over the next 30 years. Good luck with that!

  • Alan - Friday, February 6, 2009, 1:04AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Stupid advice. I'm glad I've been paying off our mortgage for the past 10 years instead of watching the stock market tank. We now have 80% equity in our home, while many of our neighbors are upside down on theirs. The peace of mind of having a nearly paid off home is worth it. Those greedy people that used their home equity to buy BMW's are now sweating.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Thursday, September 18, 2008, 10:22AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Ben.......What the hell is going on with Hank Greenberg and AIG?......Why are we "taxpayers" bailing out every CEO when their company fails?

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