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Ben Stein How Not to Ruin Your Life

Ben Stein, How Not to Ruin Your Life

When Paying Off Doesn't Pay

by Ben Stein

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Posted on Friday, June 22, 2007, 12:00AM

I was going to write a humor piece about the horrors of summer business travel, but after a spectacularly terrifying experience last night flying from Chicago to L.A., I decided I'd better put that in the "too awful to be told" category rather than the humor one for a while.

Instead, I'll deal with some frequently asked questions about finance, and personal finance in particular.

Plenty of Liquids

I get many letters asking whether it's better to pay off your mortgage or invest the money in the stock market instead. This is a complex question, but I'll offer several ways of thinking about it.

First, no one ever spent a sleepless night because she had millions in the bank and stocks but didn't have her home paid off. On the other hand, if you pay off your mortgage and deprive yourself of liquidity, you could be in for some miserable times.

As I see it, if money is even the slightest bit tight, hold onto it and pay off the mortgage month by month. There's nothing magically good about having a paid-off mortgage, but there's something seriously bad about not having ready liquid assets even if your home is paid for.

Slow and Steady

Yes, I know you can refinance and borrow against your house. But that takes time and creates aggravation. Why not just pay off the mortgage slowly but steadily and hang onto the liquidity that makes life so much more comfortable instead?

This is especially true if you're an older person. It doesn't do you one bit of harm to leave a home with a mortgage to your heirs. That's their problem -- and it's a very small problem.

It's far better in your later years to have cash on hand when you need it than to burn the mortgage note in the proverbial fireplace.

On Returning

But what if you can pay off the mortgage and still have plenty left for your liquidity needs? Even then, I'd think twice about rushing to pay off the mortgage.

As pointed out to me by my fraternity brother Larry Lissitzyn -- a very smart investor -- we earn, in rough terms, what the rate of interest was on a mortgage (not counting the immense tax benefit of the mortgage interest's deductibility) when we pay it off.

That is, if you have a mortgage with 6.5 percent interest, you'd earn roughly 6.5 percent by paying it off early. That's a fine rate of return and nothing to sneeze at. But the rate of return on broad U.S. stock market indexes over very long periods is closer to 9 percent -- a substantial difference.

Stocking Up

To be sure, there are long periods when the stock market doesn't return even close to 9 percent per annum. But it usually does, again on average and again over long periods. So you might be better off -- again -- just paying off your mortgage month by month and not taking the money out of the stock market.

On the other hand, if you have plenty of stocks according to your investment advisor and a huge surplus of cash -- which many people do have -- you might well want to use some of that to pay down your mortgage. A standard mortgage is now in the high sixes, and you won't get a risk-free return of that scale on any cash instrument I know of.

In short, unless you're sitting on surplus cash, I see no urgent reason to pay down or pay off your mortgage in a hurry.

Gold-Standard Advice

The second question I'm frequently asked is, Should I buy gold? I've never been a fan of gold as an investment. I know that since the early 1970s it's gone up from about $35 an ounce to (at one point) the high nine-hundreds. But it's also fluctuated wildly.

Gold has been "limit down" day after day in some bad periods. It dropped by almost two-thirds from the late '70s into the early '80s. It pays no dividends. And it's subject to attempts at market manipulation.

If you feel you absolutely must participate in precious metals I suggest buying gold jewelry, or else buying stock in highly diversified precious metals ETFs and mutual funds that combine many gold and silver mining stocks from all over the world. They fluctuate far less often than the raw material, yet they can grow dramatically if the metals rise.

Gold is lovely as a gift, then, but I don't see it as an investment for the ordinary citizen unless he or she is compulsively attached to its luster.

Trust Funds

Third, how do you play the falling dollar? Again, I wouldn't recommend speculation in the currency itself. That's far, far, far too treacherous for the ordinary investor.

But you can buy mutual funds and ETFs that own European, Asian, and Australian stocks, plus Canadian and South American stocks. These are usually denominated in the local currency. As it rises against the dollar, your investment is translated back into dollars and gets to be ever more valuable. Plus, you have the gain in profitability of the foreign stocks should there be any.

As I've said many times, I recommend the EFA ETF for investments in European, Australian, and Asian developed economies -- it's especially heavy into the United Kingdom. I recommend the EEM or the ADRE for investments in developing countries in Asia, South and Central America, and Eastern Europe. All of these have benefited greatly in recent years from the dollar's fall, and they do pay dividends, unlike gold.

The growth in value of these funds has been so immense that I wouldn't expect it to continue at anything like the recent rate. And there have been some serious fluctuations in the developing markets, even to a stomach-turning degree. But even if the EFA, the EEM, and ADRE grew at half their recent rate, you'd handily beat the Dow and S&P's recent moves. I wouldn't put most of my savings into these vehicles, but for a quarter to a half, you might consider it..

Ben Stein has no financial interest in the ETFs mentioned in this column.

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248 Comments

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  • Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday, March 3, 2009, 8:48AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    The problem with Ben's statment: "just pay off your mortgage month by month" is that you are really not paying off your mortgage. Mostly, you are paying interest. Even though the interest is tax deductable, only a tiny fraction of your mortgage payment is decreasing your total debt, at least for the first 2/3 of a typical mortgage term. In the past, this interest was at least partially offset by a home's appreciation. But that's not true in 2009. Nor is that 9% rate of return on stocks going to hold up for the next 5-10 years either. Bottom line - paying off a mortgage makes much more sense now than it did 2-3 years ago. For a number of reasons, financial professionals are indoctrinated to spout thoughtless knee-jerk arguments against paying off a mortgage. They'd rather you invest in stocks and mutual funds (EFT's). And get commissions. And the mortgage companies also don't want consumers to pay off either. They're very happy to be getting a steady profit stream from your monthly interest. But think for yourself - if paying off credit card debt is advisable, and paying off auto loans is good, why is paying off a LARGER debt, with MORE accumulated interest over time a bad financial decision? Answer - it's NOT a bad idea. The financial services industry wants you to think so - but ask them for an alternative investment tool with a guaranteed 6.5% rate of return over the next 30 years. Good luck with that!

  • Alan S - Friday, February 6, 2009, 1:04AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Stupid advice. I'm glad I've been paying off our mortgage for the past 10 years instead of watching the stock market tank. We now have 80% equity in our home, while many of our neighbors are upside down on theirs. The peace of mind of having a nearly paid off home is worth it. Those greedy people that used their home equity to buy BMW's are now sweating.

  • Yahoo! Finance User - Thursday, September 18, 2008, 10:22AM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Ben.......What the hell is going on with Hank Greenberg and AIG?......Why are we "taxpayers" bailing out every CEO when their company fails?

  • wealthencyclopedia.com - Tuesday, November 6, 2007, 10:37PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    Excellent article, with practical suggestions. So few people remember that liquidity matters. What good is a paid off million dollar house, if you cannot afford the property taxes. Especially in today's climate, where the dollar is falling and inflation is accelerating, having a large fixed rate mortgage is doubly advantageous - it provides liquidity, as well as a hedge against inflation - you will be paying off that mortgage with much cheaper dollars.

  • vadim.salganik - Wednesday, October 17, 2007, 2:18PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    I love Ben's articles, but the only problem is that Ben usually assumes that the audience he is addressing is on a similar intellectual level as himself. The people criticizing this post simply do not see the big picture. People that want to pay off their entire mortage as soon as the money is available are basically saying "I don't know what to do with my money so I will pay off my mortgae" or more accurately "Well, I don't know enough about investing to actually turn a profit on this money so let me do the no thinking appoach, pay off the house, and stay poor". If you do not know enough about investing, pay off your house. If you don't happen to understand what Ben is saying, here it is in simply laymans terms: What ever amount of extra money you have should be earning the highest rate of return possible based on your experience with investing and your personal risk tolerance. A house, especially nowadays, is not the best of all investments. Also keep in mind that your money today is worth more than the same money 10,20, or 30 years from now. The money you have now has more purchasing power and if you can get a rate of return higher than the tax benefits of buying out your house, than you would be foolish not to do it, provided that you know what you are doing. Your money should be working for you and the more you can get out of every dollar; the better. If you can get a rate of return that is a few percent above your mortgage rate, then you would be turning down extra money for peace of mind. Peace of mind is great, but to be truly successfull, one may sometimes need to take some risks and risk a bit of peace of mind to achieve the results they want.

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