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Ben Stein How Not to Ruin Your Life

Ben Stein, How Not to Ruin Your Life

Take the Bait, Ruin Your Investing Life

by Ben Stein

Very Good (671 Ratings)
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Posted on Thursday, February 14, 2008, 12:00AM

We're currently in very stormy seas investment-wise. There have been dramatic moves downward on every index I know of. The media is filled with tales of gloom and doom.

In such times, we all need advice on how best to ruin our investing lives. With that in mind, try the following:

1. Panic.

That's right, get scared. Get really freaked out. Let the panic mongers on TV sell you on their points of view.

2. Sell everything you have in the market.

Even if it's at a loss. Even if you were doing great with it until now, sell, sell, sell. Get the heck out. Just dump everything and go to cash.

3. Believe that "this time, it's different."

Yes, even though markets always recover, especially in times of aggressive repair work by central banks, believe that this time it's different and this time the market will go down, stay down, and never come back.

This time, alone among postwar markets, the market will never rally, never rebound, never reach new heights. Yes, this time, things are so bad that stocks will never come back, so sell out and stay out.

4. Believe that the short-sellers on TV are sincere.

No, they're not just trying to scare you into selling to knock down the market so they can make money. They're not just ginning up phony metrics to scare you and make money on their shorts. They're really trying to help you.

5. Trust the major newspapers to know more than Warren Buffett.

Yes, Buffett's the best investor in history, and says to stay in the market and buy index funds. He also says now is the time that stupid money is leaving the market.

But pay no attention to that fool! Pay attention only to some new young gunslinger at The Wall Street Journal or Barron's who tells you it's time to sell. Even pay attention when someone with no investing track record tells you to sell out of Berkshire Hathaway, one of the most successful investments of all time.

No, don't trust Buffett or other "geniuses" like John Bogle. Trust whoever comes across as the smartest-aleck and most glib, "on whom assurance sits, as a silk hat on a Bradford millionaire" (to quote T.S. Eliot).

6. Trust that you can get back in before the next big move upward.

You may have heard that you can never know such things, and that if you miss the first huge days of a rally you can never catch up. But in your bones, you'll know when the move is coming and you'll get in just in time.

7. Buy only stocks your friends tip you about.

Don't buy indexes. Don't buy broadly based mutual funds. Just buy individual stocks you've heard about in your gym's locker room.

Unhappy Endings

I could go on, but you get the point.

None of us is a genius except Buffett. None of us knows when the market will turn. We do know we make more money if we buy when stocks are down. We do know we make more money by patient, ongoing investing.

But pay no attention. After all, your goal is to be old and poor, right? Right! So listen to what the short-sellers are telling you and put all your money under the mattress for 15 years -- you'll be really glad you did.

After all, when did market manipulators ever lie to you? When did slow, patient acquiring of broad indexes ever make a buck? No, believe the slickest guy in the room. And exit crying.

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166 Comments

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  • roy.tyrell - Saturday, March 29, 2008, 3:19PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    I recently read that since 1999, you would have earned a higher return in tresuries, or just about any other fixed income investment, than in the stock market. be wary of anyone pimping the market right now. stockholders are the last in line to get anything when your company goes tits-up. the fed wont save everyone like BSC - just ask enron bagholders. smart money is in cash right now. buy when this thing hit 8000 --- and it will

  • eclaptonfan - Monday, March 24, 2008, 1:38PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 2/5

    It looks like a lot of people are taking the bait Mr. Stein.....The market fluctuations lately must mean there are a lot short-sellers taking over. The way to rescue the US economy is to have Harvard divest half of it's endowment from foreign companies.....yes even Israeli ones..... and invest in US Treasuries......maybe other ivy leaguers like Yale can do this too.

  • Duck - Saturday, March 15, 2008, 2:38PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    Ben, You hit the nail on the head. If what you said wasn't true there would be no stock market and no US or world economy. The fact that we're here reading your article is proof of your claims.

  • Turd Ferguson - Friday, March 14, 2008, 2:59PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 1/5

    Just got around to re-reading this garbage. The S&P is down over 5% as of now (still a ways to go down from here) since he wrote, so I guess his #2 sarcastic statement was actually right - that is if you want to maximize your returns. This time is not different, in fact it follows closely with the Great Depression - individuals and investment banks way overleveraged (thanks to reduced regulations in both instances). By the way, Buffett has almost all of his 'short term money' on the sidelines. He is NOT investing right now in anything he is not long on. Well, I know I can get back in before the next big upward move - it sure isn't going to happen anytime soon. Ben really is out of it. When he says he is a permabull, he is not kidding - by the way the markets have gone sideways for more than 20 year clips. There is no guarantee the market will be higher in a decade than it is today. Considering the 'financial engineering' of derivatives, the whole banking system could easily collapse. Seriously, scary stuff.

  • proxyguy - Wednesday, March 12, 2008, 3:43PM ET  Report Abuse

    • Overall: 5/5

    Wow, reading the comments here are very...well, I'm not sure if it's entertaining or alarming. What do we here? Every single item that Ben warns about. A few random remarks: - Ben Stein is not just an actor. The guy has a varied background. He's also a very smart man. You don't become the class valedictorian of Yale by being stupid. - Warren Buffett does suggest that the average investor buy index funds and hold them. - Warren Buffet's rule #1 is to not lose money. He does this by investing in what he knows and holding it for damn near forever. He's not losing money if he's not selling at a loss, regardless of what the daily value is. There are numerous studies which show us that the average mutual fund returns something like 10% and the average mutual fund investor makes something like 2.8%. Why is that? Because they panic; because they believe that this time it is different; because they believe they will know when to get back in the market. Still, it could be different this time. We won't know for 10-15 years. Me? I'm staying in. I'm also diversified into commodities, bonds, foreign bonds, foreign stock, TIPS, and real estate (foreign and domestic). If I were really nervous, I'd buy some inverse/short funds as a hedge.

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