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they are propping zillow up at least one more week. a close of 95 is likely by the options traders....the fun commences next week to meet those gaps way down below
Very succinct analysis of Zillow, and I share your views of Zillows gravity defying valuation. It seems to be based on hype and pure "puffery" with no fundamental supporting the stock price. With Caledonia Investments holding 6.26 million shares and Wellington Management holding 3.4 million shares which combined with the holdins of the next 8 largest institutional holdings mean that over 50% of the Z shares are controlled by 10 people. If you look at early day trades low volume of 10,000 or 20,000 purchases increases the price by a $1 or more before sellers bail out. It would be interesting to see the daily trading transactions of the large institutional holders of Zillow.
The Motley Fool discloses that it 'recommends and holds shares in Zillow' which explains their constant pumping of Zillow and its CEO Spencer Rascoff as if he is the Messiah. Last week it was Susquehanna pimping Zillow but I didn't see the disclosure that it owns 173,518 Z shares. Previously we have seen Zacks pimping it just as fervently even though it has a small shareholding of only 5.452 shares. Perhaps the SEC needs to investigate Zillows stock transactions.
Regarding TMF's comment that the court clearing Errol Samuelsons employment at Zillow is the reason for the Z stock price increase then perhaps investors should take a wider view of that appointment. Samuelson was awarded 59,320 RSU's last week with a cost to Zillows of over $5m. In his court declaration he stated his remuneration at Z is similar to what he received at Move Inc which was $1.892M for 2012. With Zillow also recruiting Curt Beardsley from Move Inc after they promoted him to Samuelsons role you can bet that costs another few millions $'s, so the net effect is Zillow has substantially increased its cost base with two very expensive executives, who according to the court declarations approached Zillow, and I doubt they budgetted for this fiscal year, so unless they generate a quantum revenue increase then earnings are blown.
This stock breaks 84.64 its finished its going below 80 and next will retest it.Trend reversal back to 16k and t his is toast They hit the bloated pigs first as evident in last and this weeks action,granted it bounced back like a champion,but when they come they get them all and like the 3d printer stocks,this will be next.disc-long 10 85 puts for next week exp 2.67
1. Insiders are cashing out bigtime. There have been over 1 million shares of stock sold by insiders with no purchases.
2. The company makes no money.
3. With no significant profits now or on the horizon, there is nothing to support a $3.7 billion dollar market capitalization.
4. When the media attributes the recent price rebound to the following, you can bet your bottom dollar that they are pumping this baby so that their friends can sell:
Motley Fool: "I think this week's gains can be largely chalked up to a King County Superior Court decision on Monday evening, which denied a motion by Zillow competitor Move (NASDAQ: MOVE ) to block Zillow's employment of Errol Samuelson."
Does anybody really give a rats behind about an employment lawsuit featuring a nobody like this guy? How stupid do the con artists who write this stuff think we are? You can't make this stuff up. How does Motley Fool make money sufficient to pay all the fools who write this stuff? Do they get donations from the hedge funds they support or from Wall Street? Someone shed some light on these fools.
5. All the internet and tech stocks are tanking. They were all way overvalued, and now they are falling. Nobody with any smarts is going to take the risk to buy an overpriced stock simply because there is a wild chance it might come back in favor. Stocks classes that fall from great heights rapidly take years to recover if ever. Just like the year 2000.
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This is fantastic: this sort of analysis is exactly what I’ve been looking at doing myself. Thank you and great work.