April 19, 2016
Only three months in, and 2016 will almost certainly be the hottest year on record.
The Earth is warming so fast that it's surprising even the climate scientists who predicted this was coming.
Last month was the hottest March in 137 years of record keeping, according to data released Tuesday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It's the 11th consecutive month to set a new record, and it puts 2016 on course to set a third straight annual record.
Now, it might seem premature to talk about setting a new yearly record after just three months of data, but these months have been such an extreme departure from the norm that Gavin Schmidt, who directs NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, has already made the call.
"I estimate [a greater than] 99 percent chance of an annual record in 2016," Schmidt wrote on Twitter last week, after NASA released its own record climate readings. A month ago—following the release of February's data—Schmidt wrote, simply, "Wow."
Since 1980, the world has set a new annual temperature record approximately every three years, and 15 of the hottest 16 years ever measured are in the 21st century. The chart below shows earth's warming climate, measured from land and sea, dating back to 1880.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
Yesterday FE dropped ~10 yesterday after Fed Energy Reg Comm ruled they can't get the guaranteed ROI that the Ohio legislature approved without also getting their approval. AEP isn't happy about the ruling either and may be next to drop hard. Apparently both AES and FE were hoping to get guaranteed income for aging coal and nuclear plants. FE is a significant nuclear generator in OH but also has a large coal plant too. Note that coal generated 58% of electricity in OH in 2015. AEP is by far the largest OH coal generator. Both say they might sell off some of their generation because of the ruling (I'm not sure how that helps them).
Couldn't that same ruling be applied to EXC's push in the Illinois legislature to effectively subsidize their nuclear generation because of its carbon-free energy production. How would it be different? Without a subsidy EXC claims several IL plants are not profitable enough to keep open. I'd like to hear more about this on the earnings call next week. It does seem that the FE/AEP issue revolves mostly around dirty coal plants but FE was able to get PUCO to include the subsidy for a nuclear plant too which sounds a lot like what EXC is hoping for.
No I don't think most of them are over priced. As far as higher interest rates being the cause of share prices being where they are at. Check out the share price per share chart of most utility companies since 2008 when the Fed started cutting the interest rates down to 0. It seems to me that the chart line has followed the falling interest rates. I think most of what the problem they are dealing with is the current administrations policies and regulations. I am hoping that will all change for the better after 2017. I bought some share today at $34.85 and will hold them long term or until I see something better. Just my opinion, do your own research.
Interesting to note that the S&P Capital IQ reports dated 4/16 for most major utilities puts 12mo price targets at 5-13% *lower* than current prices. EXC is a notable exception @ $38 but that's based on a 3/23 opinion following POM merger approval and citing "higher peer valuations" which they lowered considerably on 4/16. Slow economy, rising interest rates, and low margin generation are among the reasons cited in the sub-industry outlook.
Let's see, maybe you don't agree that it's a BoD decision EVERY QUARTER as to the dividend amount, if any? Speculate all you want about where POM might have gone - doesn't matter now does it? EXC shareholders should be very happy that EXC doesn't squander their cash.
And it's pretty clear you're just plain greedy. No worries about you taking your 100sh of POM payout elsewhere, don't let the door hit you in the rear. BTW - no one here really cares if you make or lose money.
**** not declare a dividend before the closing or EXC would renege on the 180,000,000 fine to POM shareholders.. They went back on their word. Pretty EvIL.
Capturing the POM dividend sounds hostel and war like evil. Not my words.....These words came from the lips of a retired EXC Executive that lives near me. Also says he was hurt pretty bad when they cut their own shareholders divi in half a few years back. Also mentioned many employees feel the same. Evil Empire!!!!
I disagree with most of what you say here except that qparker36 is probably teasing. EXC shareholders should be plenty mad. It clearly screams EXC does not care about shareholders of one of their offshoot companies, and in turn not their own shareholders because they angered many POM shareholders into not considering buying EXC stock. This is the second time they have shortchanged stockholders!. There was an sec filing in January stating that POM will not declare a dividend, however it never sent that it wouldn't get [payed. In light of the fact that they stated 6 times in previous quarters that they would pay a prorated dividend. Its a bad omen to me about EXC, I am happy for you if your comfortable owning this stock. Before yahoo did away with the POM board there where many that felt the same. As far as getting paid handsomely in cash......nahhhhh POM was finally turning a new leaf and had the cash to pay out the Divi, and more then likely would have followed the market to this price anyway. Since I had purchased 20,000 shares at the lows of 2009 (about 11) I did make a bundle, 2 bundles actually as the dividends where pretty handsome. so not one red cent of my nearly 400G profit will go back to EXC. And I an seriously happy about that, as the other utilities I put it into have keept up with the overall Utility market more then handsomely!. Btw POM is now apart of EXC and therefore this EXC board is the correct and proper place to vent. Right now I have a gas utility that's been announced by a take over by DUK, and an electric company in Tampa Florida being taken out by a Canadian company. I will report back here if those utilities do the right thing for shareholders or not! Maybe times are changing. CEOs don't care as much as they used to about it.
Capturing POM's normal dividend is a very SMART move by EXC and one that EXC shareholders should applaud. Goes to show that all sorts of backend agreements are made in buyouts so you have to pay close attention. When the POM BoD *didn't* announce the 4Q dividend shortly after 4Q earnings were announced you should have realized it might not come. And BTW - dividends are a quarterly BoD decision and NEVER guaranteed. Whether you agree or not doesn't matter anymore since POM doesn't exist. Complaining on the EXC board is laughable since EXC shareholders directly benefit from that move. You were paid handsomely in cash for your POM shares ... don't be so greedy.
And qparker36, who claimed he was paid a POM dividend, is wrong ... or perhaps just teasing you.
You talking to me kabuki ?
Let me explain this in such a way, so that even someone of severely limited mental capabilities, such as yourself, might understand it.
If you bought it in early December when it traded below 26$, then indeed you are up 30% actually more. I seriously doubt you were intelligent enough to do that.
But if you've held it long term, in this case 10 years, the return is -39.00%
FYI: This stock was close to $90.00 in 2008
(( I understand your 'a little slow', so I'll try to be extremely clear ))
I'd include the link here, but Yahoo, in its infinite wisdom, sometime ago decided not to allow them. Again, I realize you're a special-needs investor, so I'll give you step-by-step directions on how to see the 10 year chart for yourself.
Click the EXC chart to the right of the message board.
Click the chart again: This opens a much bigger chart.
Now click on 'comparison' This is located on the top left of the chart.
By default, you're offered 3 choices. Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500, or the NASDAQ. Choose one of these & hit the enter button. Then click on 10 year
You can also choose a different stock if you like.
I'd suggest Wisconsin energy. Symbol WEC
Then click on 10 year
some shrewd investors got out of POM twice while you were still lokking for a divi, they SOLD what the price drop Bought it again low and made more $$$ when the deal went through. Yes they will own Cap Gains tax at a short term reate but they exited with more then .23 cents on the dollar
Hear Me out…If you are really serious about trading then you NEED to check out LionStockAlerts. They have been alerting some solid trades recently.
Sounds like a good company to stay away from.......
According to Yahoo, the ten-year return for EXC is -39.29%
Sounds like solid advice