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Orbital Sciences Corp. Message Board

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  • Reply to

    EPS 27.

    by mcrf52 Jul 17, 2014 6:53 AM

    Just heard conference call....general opinion....Yucky. No news on new propulsion system. Close to a decision, but no hint due to "competitive" reasons.

  • Adjusted to exclude merger costs .34 per share. Revenues down big due to delayed start on satellite production.FY14 revenue guidance lowered by 50mil . cash flow 15 mil positive for Q2. 550 mil new biz in quarter. Mixed results . Hoping for more positive take in conference call .

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Good thing the Cygnus didn't crash into the ISS. On a day where stocks I own went up on average 3% ( that never happens ), ORB, the stock, fell a like amount. To boot, volume was pretty heavy today. Afraid of the numbers tomorrow? Kind of silly for this stock,which is usually on target or above. They might disappoint on cash flow because of the ORB2 delay, but will get that next month. Maybe new biz? With the merger going on maybe new sales will suffer as the new company becomes the focus. I always see volatility around the options expiration date ,though very few option contracts are traded or are open. I suspect that a few support levels were breached on the way down and short term players got out. IMHO, the stock will be trading firmly in the 30s next week

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Cygnus captured by ISS at 6:36 am. Another flawless execution by Orbital team. Three delivery. Missions in about 10 months. Next up ...ORB 3 in early October.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • If SpaceX was public and a reasonable price I would buy it along with ORB.

    I believe that ORB is still using modified Russain rockets. I hope the merger with ATK includes developing a new first stage rocket of the combined companies design. Most current rocket designs are decades old.

    By the way it looks like SpaceX will be building a new Launch facillity in Texas.

  • Tomorrow 6:49 am hook up with ISS. It is easy to dismiss this part of the mission, but to be sure it is important to look at. I have read that Orbital will improve the vehicle starting next year ,and is working on the ability to return cargo as well. Thursday brings earnings and the conference call. I am unsure of which will be more important. If I have this correct , the cash flow and revenue impact of Sundays launch will not occur until Q3

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • It will be interesting to see how SpaceX handles the backlog of launches going forward. Musk ,it seems , is never deterred bye set backs. The certification by DOD has huge implications for the launch industry. I have a sneaking suspicion that OA will play a big part in this whole launch vehicle capability issue.

  • The launch had the main objective of launching the sats for the customer and a secondary objective of testing a soft landing by the first stage as part of Musk's goal to make rockets reusable. First stage apparently lost integrity on the way down--in other words, kablooey!

  • What if one company, say ORB, listed on the stock exchange beginning in the 1950's had been put in charge of satellite programs in order to catch up with the Russians launching of Sputnik. Of course government aid would be assumed in the Cold War. From Redstone and Vanguard disasters to the launching of our first birds and beyond would have created a stock chart for ORB that only the strongest in faith (the three amigos) would have had the courage to follow with share purchases.

  • Reply to

    A Sight To Behold!

    by mcrf52 Jul 13, 2014 1:20 PM

    Heading for a week's vacation in Santa Fe NM beginning tomorrow so I am putting you and clam in charge of making sure only good things happen with ORB :-)

  • Reply to

    ORB 2

    by wright.tom64 Jul 13, 2014 1:23 PM

    Exactly Tom....great post!

  • Reply to

    A Sight To Behold!

    by mcrf52 Jul 13, 2014 1:20 PM

    Well, I am not selling at this point. Mid to upper 30's perhaps but not 29.

  • Reply to

    A Sight To Behold!

    by mcrf52 Jul 13, 2014 1:20 PM

    Tom, not sure the engine issue is resolved yet. You are correct that one never knows for certain what Mr Market will do in the face of everything going on in the world. That is why I am suggesting buy on dips. Thursday is another key day on the calendar , but for the most part it will be noise. I am not an engineer, but the RD 180' s is a great short term solution for Antares, and a new ATK/ORB engine the long run answer. If they have that answer, the stock is going even higher than I think.

  • Reply to

    A Sight To Behold!

    by mcrf52 Jul 13, 2014 1:20 PM

    I did not want the position I had for this launch. These things can go wrong so easily. That said , not a single issue needed to be worked on. Unlike SpaceX which has had numerous issues on launches.,Orbital stated 12.52PM, and 12:52 pm it was. I have watched Orbital launches for some time. I can recall the emotions after hearing the word anomaly . This launch , and for that matter, every Antares launch , has had no intimation of that. It seemed flawless. I was going to sell some shares at 33-34..... To heck with that! 36-37 is far more accurate. I am drinking the Orbital cool aid right now and suggest my 2 buds on this board join me. To hell with Mr Market this week. Add this, The DOD doesn't like Musk ( I do, and think they are wrong). ULA is their provider of choice. They have the "Russian" issue. Orb does too but hear me out. oRB / ATK are old school military ,with tons of connections and less of a direct SpaceX fight. Who will the DOD turn to? NASA loves SpaceX and ORB. DOD loves ULA and despises SpaceX( for now). Who will they turn too? My bet is O A. As I said, we are going higher...

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Sight To Behold!

    by mcrf52 Jul 13, 2014 1:20 PM

    Second solar panel deployed, Cygnus is flying. Expected berthing with ISS on Wed. AM. NASA TV is great.

  • Reply to

    A Sight To Behold!

    by mcrf52 Jul 13, 2014 1:20 PM

    Commented right after you doc and I agree wholeheartedly with you. Never know what Mr. Market will do overall but the ORB team continues to prove itself. Now to get that engine issue resolved as to supply either in renewing Russian engine contract or actually creating our own (my preference).

  • Spectacular launch and everything nominal thus far through solar panel array locked in place. Good job ORB team! Now, we wait to see if we can catch up to the ISS and hook on to the arm for delivery of goodies. The expertise behind a launch like this should make Americans proud and encourage more young people to pursue a career in this field as well as other science and engineering fields.

  • Awaiting confirmation of second solar panel to be arrayed. Beyond that, execution was. Nominally Beautiful. Congrats to Antares Orbital team for what seems to be a flawless launch of Cygnus .
    For stockholders... Buy on any dip here... We are going higher

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    ORB2

    by mcrf52 Jul 3, 2014 11:31 AM

    Launch rescheduled to Sunday at 12:52PM. Here's the announcement:
    "Mission Update – July 11, 2014

    Orbital announced this morning that the launch of the Antares rocket for the Orb-2 Commercial Resupply Services mission to the International Space Station for NASA has been rescheduled for Sunday, July 13 at 12:52 p.m. EDT. Over the past several days, Orbital’s launch team has made great progress in preparing the rocket for the Orb-2 mission, which will be the fourth flight of Antares in the past 15 months. However, severe weather in the Wallops area has repeatedly interrupted the team’s normal operational schedule leading up to the launch. As a result, these activities have taken longer than expected.

    Orbital has decided to postpone the Orb-2 mission by an additional day in order to maintain normal launch operations processing. With its launch moved to Sunday, Cygnus is now scheduled to arrive at the ISS on Wednesday, July 16 with grapple by the Station’s robotic arm scheduled for approximately 6:37 a.m. EDT. Cygnus is carrying 1,664 kg (3,668 pounds) of supplies for the Station including research investigations, crew provisions, hardware, and science experiments from across the country."

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Can someone explain

    by wright.tom64 Jul 7, 2014 7:26 PM

    We got skunked on the fishing (stripers, blues, tuna) but the beverages were good and I took some fine pictures of the Charles W. Morgan, as it sailed out of Provincetown. It was the last wooden whaling ship and it was magnificent to see. Imagine the engineering what went into that ship. It could leave port and return a year later loaded with barrels of oil.

    Sentiment: Hold

ORB
27.75-0.26(-0.93%)Jul 23 4:03 PMEDT

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