You must have been not listening when they were handing out brains and thought they said trains. You asked for a slow one.
As amerika invades Iraq and Afghanistan, Russia urges Bush to seek peace. What's your point thom ?
Why not? You made up the idea that America is currently a socialist nation.
Let them split into two countries, Crimea and Ukraine. My guess is Crimea will come to regret it in the long run and Ukraine won't miss them very much. Putin will be happy. And I don't care how Obama feels about it. Maybe he will miss that memo as well.
You're unstable. The world will absorb this minor kerfuffle without lasting economic effect. Except natgas will get cheaper in Europe.
AGNC has been acting like a contrarian stock for a while. I don't quite get it. Flight-to-quality it ain't, despite the 2-digit yield.
the only reason it might expand: pipeline over land is cheaper than bridge across miles of water. SW UKR is also heavy with ethnic russians, and might be amenable to being Russia again. but the military component of Russia's entanglement in Crimea is huge, here. i think it makes economics a couple of orders of magnitude less important. and there's none of that in the other UKR provinces ("oblasts"). Crimea is also not legally equivalent to the other provinces; it's considered an "autonomous republic". so there are lots and lots of reasons that Putin will stop with Crimea.
he might even convince the world to let him have it without so much as a shot or a sanction. could depend on how the non-russian population gets treated.
in addition to the VIX and derivatives, several other gambles just got interesting. Gazprom (GZPFY) for instance. Lukoil, Rosneft, and Sberbank as well. VTB Bank got hit very hard, but doesn't appear to have an American ticker of any kind.
I would imagine that an announcement is forthcoming to wit a div increase and another share buyback.
Ray85 let me put it another way: we can all agree this presents buying opportunities but ought to be respected because we dont have a firm handle on Putin's Ambitions.
The most likely outcome will be return to pre-ouster status quo with minimal bloodshed.
Excellent knowledge and cogent analysis. Nice to read a thoughtful summary of the facts rather than the hysterics that we usually get here.
Ray85, you are the smrtest guy in the room, but you are slipping in your take on this Ukraine non-event.
Russia is not Syria.
Ukraine is not Chechnya.
The west has no dog in this fight.
The whole thing will be over in a week.
The circumstances under which Russia would cut off gas to Eurozone is a black swan within a black swan.