There is no economic reason to hike rates. Any rate hike would be for show only. GDP growth was cut in half in Q4 from Q3. Wait until Q1, 2015 numbers come out as the oil patch shows tens of thousands of high pay jobs evaporating, along with jobs of folks that depend on those high wage workers and their spending. And, even if oil prices increase, production will be managed and increases matched to demand rather than over shooting like we've seen - which means less exploration, drilling, and other oil services related spending. Global inflation is close to zero and sub zero in some countries. US inflation will be close to zero, with no predictable increases on the horizon. All of this drum beating by the Fed is nonsense.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
If we have low inflation, why are so many people going bankrupt and walking from their homes in 2014? The bankruptcy lawyers have waiting list again, HUGE ONES.
AGNC's sister company, Euro Capital...........what a brainchild........How are them HEDGES DOING BABY.....
I can't stop laughing.....hee hee hee hee haw haw haa
The markets can humble anyone. I was trying to sell this $39.50, never made it today, there was some good buying around 2:00 PM, then it nose dived before the weekend. Hopefully a rally will ensue next week. The markets are very erratic and falling apart so there will be big down periods followed by sharp rallies like yesterday, hopefully I can cash out with too much of a loss. I have a lot of other positons. I was shorting airlines (too high) from the lower fuel rally. I was also long some ancillary oil stocks like BBEP, which I made a nice 50% $2 profit on a $4 something stock. Thanks for your concern. I do believe a TBT is going to work soon as FED comes clearer when rates will go up.
Who are you listening to, the talking heads of Wall Street and the Financial New Media, these are the same guys that didn't see the 2009 Stock Market Crash.
I think it will. Watch the Virginia, Pennsylvania and DC area, for short positions. If you see this heavily government area starting to buy TBT and other short ETF's, that will be the signal to run and the markets will be toast, in 2015, and set-up for recovery in 2016 for the elections.
Yes, this is flight to safety. When enough stocks drop low enough some of this 10 yr treasury money will rebalance out just as fast as it rebalanced into treasuries. This is short term. I am still long TBT, waiting for a blip. I have hedges to protect my loss, right now my hedges are ahead by $3.-3.50, mostly oil longs and oil short trading. I sleep well at night, I have quick trading schemes to mop up any unexpected losses. All algorithm based.
I am just trying to help people face reality. The enormity of the rampant and unharnessed deception, financial inflation by the accountants and the straight up advance for 5 years is going to go down in history as "THE GREATEST BUBBLE EVER". This is going to end very badly, very very very badly, and sad part I am not exaggerating. So if my doom message upset you they should, you shouldn't even be sleeping at night if you are fully invested in risk assets.
Klumps: Are you still holding your position on TBT?? Would $38.46 now be a good entry, you had said $40. Can you update us please.
1/2 point??? That will DESTROY the stock market AND the economy.
Not. Gonna. Happen.
Sentiment: Strong Sell
And deflating share price of AGNC -- which is already happening, of course.
Sentiment: Strong Sell
I don't think the fed will leave rates low, they will hike by june, maybe sooner. the are going into defense mode now to show they didn't leave rates to low to cause all this wild speculation. ps - expect a massive market crash over the next 12 mos, really huge. this may make 2009 look like a mild downturn before it is all over.
I agree with bill gross, but by 1/4 point more, 1/2 point is what they will raise the fed fund rate.
I will tell you whats next, Deflating Hope, Deflating Excuses, and Deflating Morality everywhere. We need a good old fashion Asset Crash to clean all the sickness and toxins out of this distorted debt slave trade we are in throughout the world. For once, the masses will work less, buy more with less money and improve their standard of living, hopefully for a decade, while the next generation gets ready to take over from the Baby Boomers.