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Entravision Communications Corporation Message Board

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  • Reply to

    Merry Christmas

    by daninfw04 Dec 24, 2014 10:03 AM

    Dan, a wonderful time of year. My best to you and your family.

    Dan T

  • Reply to

    Merry Christmas

    by daninfw04 Dec 24, 2014 10:03 AM

    hi dan first time posting here but have followed the board for the past couple of months. appreciate your contributions and think you provide excellent analysis. have a happy and healthy new year.

  • Reply to

    Merry Christmas

    by daninfw04 Dec 24, 2014 10:03 AM

    Merry Christmas to you too Dan, or shall we say Feliz Navidad? Thanks for your contributions to this board.

    Here's to a stronger 2015,
    Joe

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Just wanted to take a moment and wish All a Merry Christmas. Best Wishes to you and your families. Dan

  • Reply to

    Wedbush Analyst Is An Idiot

    by daninfw04 Dec 22, 2014 8:59 AM

    Keep in mind the CFO was buying at a nickel cheaper than today's close just a few weeks back........DaninFW

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Wedbush Analyst Is An Idiot

    by daninfw04 Dec 22, 2014 8:59 AM

    As I said Friday, the MM put a floor in for the time being by buying the last block of over 450,000 shares last trade at $6.45.......today he gradually fed them back at a nickel profit per share. No big buyers or sellers today. I think smart money is holding pat. Much lower than this and the company starts buying again IMVHO. If Barron's had not republished the article twice today it might have been different as well. There were no big buyers for two days before article. I think Wedbush let their clients out before the article. There are many uncertainties and will be much volatility in EVC for some time to come. Great trading stock. DaninFW

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Wedbush Analyst Is An Idiot

    by daninfw04 Dec 22, 2014 8:59 AM

    It's sad that this guys bs analysis dropped us 10%. What do you make of the tight trading today? We have been trading between a couple of pennies all day, with a slight bump to 6.53. It seems like there may be a little trepidation for the time being, due to this bad analysis, but I think it will progress upwards, and fill that gap soon.

  • Have you read the entire analysis? This guy is an idiot and can't even do math. He says 9X FCF plus $2 for spectrum makes $7 a share. That would mean $450 million FCF divided by 90 million shares plus $2 spectrum value. Even if he was correct on the assumptions..........FCF will be about $630 million in 2014 and at least $60-65 million in 2015 an off political year. Let's take $65 million average FCF per year. That would be $6.50 per share plus $2 spectrum which makes $8.50 per share. Where did they find this fifth grade elementary school drop outs? Then, he says spectrum could actually be worth a lot more,,,,,,,but might be longer than anticipated. However, he even calculates the most would be $400 million. Yes, instead of $1, 2, 3 or 4 billion they could get just $400 million. If so, that's still $4.50 per share not $2.00 per share and added to the correct 9X FCF of $6.50 makes EVC worth at least $11 by his assumptions. What an idiot. DaninFW

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Economy?

    by parisite76 Dec 21, 2014 9:12 PM

    There was an article where advertisers are starting to spend more to get some of that extra money. DaninFW

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Is the "real" economy completely facedown in a puddle of crude oil? Or are we truly oversupplied but "stable?"

    That is going to be the big question this winter. Makes me pretty shaky on my ATLS investment last week. I bought gasoline today for 1.89 a gallon after discount. Prices near me are nearing 1.95-2.05 averages. Never thought I would ever see this again.

    This is essentially QE4 to me..... Everyone I know is talking about how great it is to take the extra 200 bucks a month to go out to eat more/etc. Of course, no one's saving it or investing it.....

  • I already said it. They downgraded EVC and upped PT from $6.50 to $7.00.....don't forget last presentation the CFO said their spectrum was worth $1-2 BILLION based on Greenhill report. He even failed to mention it was worth $2-4 billion based on current spectrum auction. Keep in mind they can only deal with facts and real numbers. The spectrum could be worth $4 billion or zero if auction never happens or SBGI is successful in getting auction canceled so they themselves can lease the spectrum to telecoms or even go in the business for themselves. If that happens then the sector has a new revenue stream and would also bounce but not as much IMVHO. You really need to look at the last SBGI presentation if you haven't. Also, Congress if auction doesn't happen by end of 2016 could just not renew licenses, change the laws, take the spectrum for taxpayers, etc. Many people have a problem with the broadcasters getting paid billions for something they don't even own. This is why this is going to be a very volatile stock till auction.........I do suspect the smart money will try to take private sooner than later. As we get a final real auction date that we know will happen, I am betting someone will take this company out at $9-12 a share before any of this happens. EVC will rocket if not taken out by then. DaninFW

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • "Our PT has substantially discounted a potential of $400m+ in spectrum asset value, with minor loss of free cash flow, for possible delays and variance in proceeds as the complex FCC auction process unfolds."

    Am I reading this wrong or is this guy from Wedbush an idiot?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    Got it thanks!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    A buyout at $7 would give you a value of 280,000 if you have 40,000 shares, but since we were just at $7 yesterday, this wouldn't be that great. A $9 buyout would be better. You wouldn't lose money on a buyout, unless the stock price drops for some unforeseen reason after the buyout, and you are still holding your position. In short, a buyout of EVC would be a good thing for everyone, except the shorts.

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    Sorry I should have been clearer, I purchased back around the drop in 2008 or so. I felt it was best in investing in companies like EVC because of the Hispanic growth. As for me being new the market, I should have said stated less knowledgeable about the stock market. So what your saying is if EVC gets purchased at $7 for example and I have 40,000 shares, what would that mean for me, a $280K value in stocks from the company that purchases EVC? When I hear buyout, I fear that means a drop in stock value and then I would have less shares in another company.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    How can you be new to market if bought this at 44 cents? Not like this was 44 cents a few weeks ago. If it gets bought at even 7 it is great for you.
    Must be nice to know nothing about the market and be up over 1000% on your investment.

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    RSI is now at 49.79, so it appears we are not in overbought territory anymore. I don't forsee any good news coming out anytime soon, except for possible 13D filings. I agree with you 100% about the millions of shares bought above $7, and I'm sure those people will not sell, nor the cfo who bought in at $6.46. I think this will be a trading stock until the next catalyst, which I believe will come late January when the final briefs are due or if a 13D gets filed.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    So if EVC gets bought out at $15 or even $30, is that good for the remaining share holders? I'm still new to the market and am trying to learn. I purchased this back when it was .44 and want to hold until it hits $15 + as I believe the Hispanic market is growing faster and stronger.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    The last trade which was not reported was between 450,000 and 475,000 shares at $6.45.......looks like big seller most of the day and he finally dumped towards the close a few hundred thousand shares and it would appear the MM took it down to $6.44-$6.45 where he bought it for inventory. He took it down to where he felt comfortable taking out the block. Monday will tell the tale but I suspect we have a lot of support at current level. We dropped to $6.41 briefly when Evercore downgraded and today at the close hit $6.40 briefly. I ended up today with 20,000 at $6.52, 20,000 at $6.55 and 20,000 for $6.58. I replaced about half of the 122,965 shares sold last few days at $7.10 to $7.26.............I love this stock. DaninFW

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    A Few Thoughts

    by daninfw04 Dec 19, 2014 2:34 PM

    Someone bought a real lot at the end of the day.

EVC
6.59+0.09(+1.38%)Dec 24 1:02 PMEST

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