Did you all notice that nearly all of DVAX moves today were market related?
What, in this world, have the nearly assured FDA approval of Heplisav and the highly expected success of SD-101 have to do with market moves?
The market-related moves of DVAX clearly indicate that the short-biased hedge funds affecting DVAX DON'T KNOW about DVAX's UPCOMING CATALYSTS.
And this is not a case of "what they don't know cannot hurt them."
The so called "ostrich approach" of burying the head in the sand is undoubtedly going to be very costly to these short-biased hedge funds. The main flaw is that attempts to get out of short positions (cover) won't be swift. We have all seen how small orders totaling a few thousand shares have caused DVAX to move sharply.
And is will get worse for the shorts as we quickly approach July when the final DSMB report will be released. But since all Heplisav patients have long been fully immunized, trial subjects are no longer being vaccinated, and the ONLY POSSIBLE RECOMMENDATION IS TO CONTINUE THE TRIAL until its end in Oct.
In other words, THERE IS ONLY ONE POSSIBLE OUTCOME for the DSMB meeting. And WE ALL KNOW IT.
GET READY !!!
Sentiment: Strong Buy
understand (fine tune)...and any student of these grossing charts knows Canada has been a soft market (probably the softest of Western/ European type)...you break in there, you break it everywhere :) I like comp'in the free list to the top grossing.,.initially free runs high (new interest) and grossing runs low (no spend till I like it :)...watch the turn, when TG outruns Free...motion in the monetized ocean :) fear not my brave investors, this dog will hunt, give 'er time :)
Somehow I managed to get the most out of my puts today (if I'm trading on a cell phone between breaks at work, some of you folks at home don't have any excuse!), but looking at more in-depth charts right now, I am seeing a "hammer" bottom being put in tomorrow... they will need to give this thing a major jolt to the upside to setup the permabulls for the great fall... I would look to buy weekly SPY calls tomorrow at the bottom (monthlies would be more prudent)--my guess on the bottom right now is somewhere between 209.4 and 208.5, will have to check momentum indicators tomorrow.
Once you get that upside breakout, my guess it lasts no more than a few days or up to a week.... my plan is to continue scaling into May22 SPY PUTS as it breaks upside.... if I'm wrong and things breakdown instead, they should find support around the 200DMA, which means "the top" will have to come much later... I just see WAAAY too many bulltards lined up at the gates right now with their (soon to be empty) bags out.
Let me point something out semanresu:
An open article which you can download and read for free: British Journal of Cancer (2014) 110, 1917–1922
"First-, second-, third-line therapy for mRCC: benchmarks for trial design from the IMDC"
In this paper they examine 3 lines of therapy for mRCC as the title suggest. Looking at the data, if the trial wasn't over by December, the data is going to be good. First line treatment PFS was 6.7 months (95% CI, 5.9–7.5 months). Second line PFS was 3.4 months. Third line was 4 months.
In P3 trials, the best second line treatment was axitinib vs sorafenib at 6.7 months vs 4.7 months. Thus, Exel needs and improvement over 6.7 months ideally.
Given that they're at 10 months, the PFS is improving. I'm guessing that the statement MM made is relevant to the 95% confidence range which is typically in a 1-2 month range. 7 months from June 2014 is January 2015. Allow for 1 month for higher half in February and that would be on par (slightly better) with best treatment. It looks like we might have a couple of months added to that at this point. If we're waiting past June.......
yippee ki yay MF!
Try booking a flight and then contacting the company for assistance. There "chat line" does not work. If you call them, expect to be on hold for at least one hour. Any company that mistreats their customers will be on the road to bankruptcy soon. The CEO should be fired!
"from their site they seem to be expecting a milestone payment form ARWR if they are successful."
Ahhhh, it appears everyone (ARWR, Norvartis, Roche, ALNY, etc.) is in bed together...........
Where are the impersonator's 26 thumbs down from? Even though George has 9 accounts, where are the another 17 thumbs down for the fraudster lowlife post titled "Dr. Harvey's Secret Plan"?
This is going to be one painful stock to trade with poor earnings and weak forward guidance!!!
Will be a few weeks before it bottoms!!! Downgrades coming one after another!!!
I am not immoral, but I cannot convince you otherwise. I was raised with old European ethics.
My father lived through the #$%$ occupation of Czechoslovakia. He emigrated to the U.S. and met my mother here. I can speak fluent German and I studied chemistry and physics at the University of Gottingen. I am well brought up from strict wholesome roots and I have an iron work ethic. I am kind and decent. You must really learn to curb your arrogance.