ha- hitting them out of the park. lightson is as hit and miss as they come. That being said, it is possible Tully is worse
I went back and check some of his calls to "close positions" at certain levels and the calls were .500 or worse. Anyone can look back at his calls, looking at the closing price on those days and then look at the near-term trend after that. At best he made 1/2 good calls, at worst maybe 1/3rd. Certainly his calls and timing aren't investable. Try April 1-15, for instance, pay attention when he makes specific calls, such as "I sold this at XX price, etc." and then track whether it was a good time to close the position. Because people can lie about the buy-in or closeout price, also consider the closing price and track from there. lightson is not at all prescient.